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Sunny Loan Top Co (600830) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.6B CNY

SL Sunny Loan Top Co 600830 · SHG
Price¥7.96
Fair Value¥1.62
Upside-79.7%
Quality51/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 17.4% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
0.22% dividend yield
Trails peers (3/13)
Moderate moat 57/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥1.62 – ¥3.23 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price −1.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 80% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥1.62 to ¥3.23) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥12.91 ¥4.48 Fair Value ¥1.62 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.48 – ¥12.91 · fair‑value band ¥1.62 – ¥3.23 · the ¥7.96 price screens above the ¥1.62 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Sunny Loan Top Co (600830) currently trades at ¥7.96, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.62, implying the stock looks roughly 79.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sunny Loan Top Co generated revenue of 472M CNY at a net margin of 17.4%. Revenue grew 0.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. Net debt stands at 2.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.62 (bear case) to ¥3.23 (bull case); at ¥7.96, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -80%, 600830 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥3.61 ¥3.59 ¥3.15 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.9200 ¥1.28 ¥1.59 72
Gordon GGM ¥1.67 ¥2.63 ¥3.68 70
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥0.9000 ¥1.81 ¥3.03 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.20 ¥2.69 ¥3.44 54
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.4400 ¥0.6300 ¥0.8100 46
EPV ¥0.9200 ¥1.28 ¥1.59 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.67 ¥2.63 ¥3.68 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.67 ¥2.39 ¥3.17 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.92 ¥3.89 ¥4.86 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.9300 ¥1.24 ¥1.56 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.25 ¥3.00 ¥3.76 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.47 ¥5.08 ¥6.69 53
EV/EBITDA ¥2.33 ¥3.56 ¥4.80 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.2500 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.47 ¥3.30 ¥4.93 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.61 ¥3.59 ¥3.15 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.9200 ¥1.28 ¥1.59 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.17 ¥3.10 ¥4.03 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥3.56) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.28). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 472M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.7%
Net margin 17.4%
Return on equity 4.1%
Free cash flow −1.0B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 46.2
More key figures
Operating margin 39.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1800
Dividend yield 0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +9.8%
Net debt 2.2B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sunny Loan Top Co.,Ltd. engages in the pawn, guarantee, financial leasing, and wealth management businesses in China. The company offers real estate, motor vehicle, civilian goods, and stock pawns, as well as joint guarantee, guarantee, inventory pledge, and real estate loans; and other pawn and loan products.

Full company description

Sunny Loan Top Co.,Ltd. engages in the pawn, guarantee, financial leasing, and wealth management businesses in China. The company offers real estate, motor vehicle, civilian goods, and stock pawns, as well as joint guarantee, guarantee, inventory pledge, and real estate loans; and other pawn and loan products. It also engages in bidding treasure, engineering treasure, cluster treasure, and other financing guarantee business; and carries out financial leasing, operating leasing, entrusted leasing, joint financial leasing, leasing asset management, financial leasing consulting, and other businesses. In addition, the company leases ships, medical equipment, public utilities, and other properties. Further, it provides real estate project loans, mortgage loans, equity pledge loans of listed companies, private placement, financial leasing, and other capital supporting services for financing demanders; and various investment projects with high yields and in line with risk appetite for bank funds, idle funds of enterprises, and other social funds. Sunny Loan Top Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is based in Ningbo, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sunny Loan Top Co reported revenue of ¥471M in FY2025 versus ¥261M in FY2021, a compound +15.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥80.3M in FY2025, compounding +48.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
471M CNY
Latest YoY
+15.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+22.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+20.7%
Avg. growth/yr (35Y)
+4.8%
Revenue +15.9%/yr
FY21 ¥261M
FY22 ¥255M
FY23 ¥263M
FY24 ¥409M
FY25 ¥471M
Net income +48.3%/yr
FY21 ¥16.6M
FY22 ¥8.9M
FY23 ¥22.2M
FY24 ¥53.2M
FY25 ¥80.3M

600830 screens 80% overvalued. Compare with Cintas Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sunny Loan Top Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600830

Peer Group

Specialty Business Services · 255 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 40% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.62× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 43.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.60× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 7.60× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 19.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 24
FUTURE 4 · sector 25
PAST 16 · sector 33
HEALTH 69 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 4 · sector 54

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cintas Corporation CTAS $206.25 $95.30 -54%
RELX PLC RELX $33.70 $32.49 -4%
Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI C$133.87 C$70.40 -47%
Copart, Inc CPRT $27.61 $28.59 +4%
Global Payments Inc GPN $80.49 $69.67 -13%
RB Global, Inc RBA C$156.43 C$49.14 -69%
Brambles Limited BXB A$18.79 A$12.28 -35%
UL Solutions Inc ULS $87.76 $33.62 -62%
Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL €62.56 €103.99 +66%
Aramark ARMK $56.74 $13.73 -76%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sunny Loan Top Co (600830) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.62 versus a price of ¥7.96, about −80% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600830?
Our model-based fair value for Sunny Loan Top Co is ¥1.62 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥7.96.
What is the quality score of 600830?
Sunny Loan Top Co has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sunny Loan Top Co (600830)?
Sunny Loan Top Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 472M CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600830?
The net profit margin of Sunny Loan Top Co is about 17.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sunny Loan Top Co pay a dividend?
Sunny Loan Top Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.22% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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