Shanghai Guangdian Electric Group (601616) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 3.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 10, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated today
Share price +13.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 66% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.29). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The models converge in a tight band (¥1.17 to ¥1.29), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.28 – ¥6.17 · fair‑value band ¥1.17 – ¥1.29 · the ¥3.67 price screens above the ¥1.23 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
Analysis
Shanghai Guangdian Electric Group (601616) currently trades at ¥3.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.23, implying the stock looks roughly 66.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Guangdian Electric Group generated revenue of 810M CNY at a net margin of -7.2%. Revenue grew 26.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 843M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.17 (bear case) to ¥1.29 (bull case); at ¥3.67, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -66%, 601616 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥1.89) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.6800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shanghai Guangdian Electric Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells complete sets of equipment, power electronics, and components in China.
Full company description
Shanghai Guangdian Electric Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells complete sets of equipment, power electronics, and components in China. The company provides power electronic products, such as medium-voltage and low-voltage switchgear, high-voltage and low-voltage start-up cabinets, intelligent precision power distribution cabinets, intelligent AC medium-voltage switchgear, marine AC low-voltage switch cabinet, box-type fixed AC and DC switch cabinet, dry-type power transformers, power and control cabinets, lighting boxes, low-voltage complete reactive power compensation devices, active power filter devices, and high-voltage variable frequency speed control devices. It also offers component products, including medium and low-voltage contactors and circuit breakers, intelligent control components, automatic power transfer switch, gas insulated ring main unit, charging pile, surge protector, and reactive power compensation devices. The company offers its products under the SGEG, Honeywell, and AEG brands to electric power, petroleum, chemical, metallurgy, municipal construction, construction, environmental protection, and other industries. Shanghai Guangdian Electric Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1986 and is based in Shanghai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shanghai Guangdian Electric Group reported revenue of ¥766M in FY2025 versus ¥1.0B in FY2021, a compound −6.5%/yr. Reported net income was −¥34.7M in FY2025.
601616 screens 66% overvalued. Compare with TD SYNNEX Corporation →
Peer Group
Electronics & Computer Distribution · 151 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronics & Computer Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronics & Computer Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 10, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| TD SYNNEX Corporation SNX | $251.52 | $207.02 | -18% |
| Unisplendour Corporation 000938 | ¥38.59 | ¥11.79 | -69% |
| Rexel S.A RXL | €38.59 | €33.31 | -14% |
| Arrow Electronics, Inc ARW | $204.10 | $115.40 | -43% |
| Avnet, Inc AVT | $87.13 | $58.57 | -33% |
| WPG Holdings 3702 | 106.50 TWD | 102.31 TWD | -4% |
| Shenzhen Huaqiang Industry Co 000062 | ¥22.37 | ¥7.52 | -66% |
| Synnex Technology International Corporation 2347 | 85.30 TWD | 86.30 TWD | +1% |
| Nanjing Sunlord Electronics Corporation 300975 | ¥37.37 | ¥8.60 | -77% |
| Beijing Tricolor Technology Co 603516 | ¥106.52 | ¥23.39 | -78% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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