Metallurgical Corporation (601618) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 55.5B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026 — revised from ¥9.69 to ¥1.66 (−82.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −3.4% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range ¥2.43 – ¥4.08 · fair‑value band ¥1.17 – ¥2.22 · the ¥2.53 price screens above the ¥1.66 fair value. As of Jul 11, 2026.
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Metallurgical Corporation (601618) currently trades at ¥2.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.66 — implying the stock looks roughly 34.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Metallurgical Corporation generated revenue of 405B CNY at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue declined 24.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.3%. Net debt stands at 26.0B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.17 (bear case) to ¥2.22 (bull case); at ¥2.53, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside — at -34%, 601618 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in metallurgical construction and operation in China and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Engineering Contracting and Specialized Business. It is involved in metallurgical construction, building construction, and municipal infrastructure projects, as well as engineering services, provision of materials and metallurgical equipment, energy and environmental protection, and digital intelligence applications. It also engages in survey, design, scientific research, and engineering general contracting; maintenance and inspection cooperation; pipeline corridor technology development; engineering consulting; investment management; water resources management; resource development; and trading activities. The company was founded in 1948 and is based in Beijing, China.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Metallurgical Corporation reported revenue of ¥455B in FY2025 versus ¥501B in FY2021, a compound −2.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.3B in FY2025, compounding −37.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Nickel 28 Releases Ramu Q1 Operating Performance
- A Look At Metallurgical Corporation of China’s Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness
- Nickel 28 Announces Confirmation of Cash Distribution from Ramu Joint Venture
- Metal Mining Support Activities Industry Report 2026-2035: A $257.23 Billion Market by 2030 with Metallurgical Corporation of China, NRW, W
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larsen & Toubro Limited LTOD | $0.4415 | $0.5700 | +29% |
| Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 | 460,500 KRW | 206,212 KRW | -55% |
| China State Construction Engineering Corporation 601668 | ¥4.72 | ¥16.90 | +258% |
| TopBuild Corp BLD | 7,547 MXN | 324.01 MXN | -96% |
| Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 | 127,800 KRW | 55,602 KRW | -56% |
| United Integrated Services Co 2404 | 1,205 TWD | 1,891 TWD | +57% |
| Samsung E&A Co 028050 | 48,350 KRW | 37,697 KRW | -22% |
| Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 | 20,750 KRW | 8,244 KRW | -60% |
| L&K Engineering Co 6139 | 818.00 TWD | 636.93 TWD | -22% |
| Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL | ₹235.61 | ₹14.53 | -94% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.