TKD Science and Technology Co (603738) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 14.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 11, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 11, 2026, revised from ¥2.84 to ¥34.51 (+1,115.1%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price −22.2% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from ¥25.88 (bear) to ¥38.51 (bull), base ¥34.51. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 54/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥9.77 – ¥66.06 · fair‑value band ¥25.88 – ¥38.51 · the ¥36.24 price screens above the ¥34.51 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 11, 2026.
Analysis
TKD Science and Technology Co (603738) currently trades at ¥36.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥34.51, implying the stock looks roughly 4.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, TKD Science and Technology Co generated revenue of 992M CNY at a net margin of 6.7%. Revenue grew 24.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 175M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥25.88 (bear case) to ¥38.51 (bull case); at ¥36.24, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 164% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -5%, 603738 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥3.08) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.28). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
TKD Science and Technology Co.,Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells quartz frequency control components and production equipment in primarily China.
Full company description
TKD Science and Technology Co.,Ltd. researches, develops, produces, and sells quartz frequency control components and production equipment in primarily China. The company offers quartz crystal resonators; oscillators; thermistors; products containing DIP; SMD encapsulation of high and low frequency crystal resonators; upstream chips; and WAFER, pedestal, shell, etc. Its products are used in information devices, mobile terminals, network equipment, automotive electronics, consumer electronics, small electronic devices, etc. TKD Science and Technology Co.,Ltd. was formerly known as Hubei TKD Crystal Electronic Science and Technology Co., Ltd. and changed its name to TKD Science And Technology Co., Ltd. in May 2019. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Suizhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
TKD Science and Technology Co reported revenue of ¥944M in FY2025 versus ¥1.2B in FY2021, a compound −6.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥52.2M in FY2025, compounding −32.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +14.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −6.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Electronic Components · 627 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 | 1,880 TWD | 515.23 TWD | -73% |
| Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 | 242.50 TWD | 270.47 TWD | +12% |
| Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 | ¥62.14 | ¥38.44 | -38% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 | 1,260,000 KRW | 166,421 KRW | -87% |
| Elite Material Co 2383 | 4,990 TWD | 714.36 TWD | -86% |
| Yageo Corporation 2327 | 699.00 TWD | 216.55 TWD | -69% |
| Shengyi Technology Co 600183 | ¥132.29 | ¥27.45 | -79% |
| Shennan Circuits Co 002916 | ¥364.00 | ¥93.50 | -74% |
| Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 | HK$297.00 | HK$103.98 | -65% |
| Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 | ¥127.80 | ¥31.95 | -75% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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