Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 15.78 SAR – 91.45 SAR · fair‑value band 34.30 SAR – 57.48 SAR · the 38.34 SAR price screens below the 45.98 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Al-Jouf Agricultural Development Co. engages in the production, sale, and marketing of agricultural products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through Agricultural Activity " Plants, Agricultural Activity " Manufacturing, and Others segments.
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Al-Jouf Agricultural Development Co. engages in the production, sale, and marketing of agricultural products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through Agricultural Activity " Plants, Agricultural Activity " Manufacturing, and Others segments. The company offers olive oil products; honey; olive products, such as black olives, green olives, green olives with olive oil, and green olives spicy with olive oil; potato French fries; wheat; raw potatoes; and fruits and vegetables. It is also involved in the cultivation of potatoes, sweet potatoes, palms, and olives; production of dates; and beekeeping activities. In addition, the company engages in the installation of greenhouses; provision of agricultural services; and production of fresh olives, pickled olives, cosmetic soap, and charcoal. Al-Jouf Agricultural Development Co. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Sakaka, Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070) currently trades at 38.34 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 45.98 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 16.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 49.00 SAR per share, and 6 of the 17 models we run sit above the 38.34 SAR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 14.95 SAR, and 11 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 34.30 SAR (bear) to 57.48 SAR (bull), the price of 38.34 SAR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co reported revenue of 712M SAR in FY2025 versus 313M SAR in FY2021, a compound +22.9%/yr. Reported net income was 81.3M SAR in FY2025, compounding +47.1%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 1.2B SAR (≈ $331M) · P/E ratio 23.7 · P/S ratio 2.70 · EPS (TTM) 1.62 SAR · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin 11.4% · Return on equity 6.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −8% fair-value upside, at 20%, 6070 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 34.30 SARFair Value 45.98 SARBull 57.48 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.4013 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.1%
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+35.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+33.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.33% vs 0%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 13%
Compare Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 647 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside+16% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.27× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6070
Frequently asked questions
Is Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 45.98 SAR versus a price of 38.34 SAR, about +20% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 6070?
Our model-based fair value for Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co is 45.98 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 38.34 SAR.
What is the quality score of 6070?
Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 45.98 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario 34.30 SAR, optimistic scenario 57.48 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 45.98 SAR, about +20% upside versus a price of 38.34 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 34.30 SAR, optimistic scenario 57.48 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 709M SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co pay a dividend?
Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.74% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co it is 45.98 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 38.34 SAR. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 6070 trades below its calculated fair value: price 38.34 SAR, fair value 45.98 SAR, a gap of about +20% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6070?
No. The price is what the market pays today (38.34 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (45.98 SAR). For Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co the two are 7.64 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co worth?
The market values Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co at about 1.2B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 38.34 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 45.98 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6070?
Our models span a range for Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co: cautious scenario 34.30 SAR, base 45.98 SAR, optimistic 57.48 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 38.34 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 6070?
Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.7 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 45.98 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 4.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
Balance-sheet figures for Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 6.2%, debt of 0.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6070 from its 52-week high?
Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co trades at 38.34 SAR, about 29% below its 52-week high of 53.90 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 45.98 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Nestlé India Limited, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 38.34 SAR, calculated fair value 45.98 SAR (+20%), Quality Score 50/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6070 calculated?
We run Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 45.98 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co currently trades 20 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co right now?
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
The market capitalisation of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co is 1.2B SAR (≈ $331M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co is 2.70 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
Earnings per share at Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co are 1.62 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
The dividend yield of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co is 2.7% (payout 64.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
The net margin of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co is 11.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co is 6.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co is 5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
The operating margin of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co is 2.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
Revenue at Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co is growing −1.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +27.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
Earnings per share at Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co are growing −94.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070) generate?
The free cash flow of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co is −18.2M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070) carry?
The net debt of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co is 322M SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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