Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 29, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co stock SAR 49.00, price SAR 35.26, upside +39.0%, quality 51 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 19.83 SAR – 91.45 SAR · fair‑value band 34.30 SAR – 63.70 SAR · the 35.26 SAR price screens below the 49.00 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 28, 2026.
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Al-Jouf Agricultural Development Co. engages in the production, sale, and marketing of agricultural products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through Agricultural Activity " Plants, Agricultural Activity " Manufacturing, and Others segments.
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The company offers olive oil products; honey; olive products, such as black olives, green olives, green olives with olive oil, and green olives spicy with olive oil; potato French fries; wheat; raw potatoes; and fruits and vegetables.
It is also involved in the cultivation of potatoes, sweet potatoes, palms, and olives; production of dates; and beekeeping activities.
In addition, the company engages in the installation of greenhouses; provision of agricultural services; and production of fresh olives, pickled olives, cosmetic soap, and charcoal. Al-Jouf Agricultural Development Co. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Sakaka, Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070) currently trades at 35.26 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 49.00 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 28.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 49.00 SAR per share, and 7 of the 16 models we run sit above the 35.26 SAR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 13.84 SAR, and 9 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 34.30 SAR (bear) to 63.70 SAR (bull), the price of 35.26 SAR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co reported revenue of 712M SAR in FY2025 versus 313M SAR in FY2021, a compound +22.9%/yr. Reported net income was 81.3M SAR in FY2025, compounding +47.1%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap 1.1B SAR (≈ $282M) Micro · P/E ratio 26.7 · P/S ratio 1.52 · EPS (TTM) 1.32 SAR · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 5.6% · Return on equity 5.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 39%, 6070 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear34.30 SARFair Value 49.00 SARBull63.70 SAR
Price 35.26 SAR · Upside +39.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.8026 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.8% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +34.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year≈ +33.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: 33.2% / −0.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 13%
⚠ Base effect: the rate starts in the earnings trough around 2020 (starting value 0.65 per share, median 1.89 in 2015 to 2018). It measures the recovery from the trough, not lasting growth.
Compare Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 626 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside+35.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)5.0% · Below median
Return on assets6.3% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)5.6% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)7.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)0.6% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)1.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.27× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6070
Frequently asked questions
Is Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 49.00 SAR versus a price of 35.26 SAR, about +39% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 6070?
Our model-based fair value for Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co is 49.00 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 35.26 SAR.
What is the quality score of 6070?
Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 49.00 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 34.30 SAR, optimistic scenario 63.70 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 49.00 SAR, about +39% upside versus a price of 35.26 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 34.30 SAR, optimistic scenario 63.70 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 710M SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 28, 2026).
Does Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co pay a dividend?
Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co currently shows a dividend yield of 0.99% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 28, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co it is 49.00 SAR per share (as of Oct 28, 2026), against a price of 35.26 SAR. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 28, 2026, 6070 trades below its calculated fair value: price 35.26 SAR, fair value 49.00 SAR, a gap of about +39% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 6070?
No. The price is what the market pays today (35.26 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (49.00 SAR). For Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co the two are 13.74 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co worth?
The market values Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co at about 1.1B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 28, 2026). Per share that is 35.26 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 49.00 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 6070?
Our models span a range for Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co: cautious scenario 34.30 SAR, base 49.00 SAR, optimistic 63.70 SAR per share (as of Oct 28, 2026, price 35.26 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 6070?
Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.7 (as of Oct 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 49.00 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 11.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
Balance-sheet figures for Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (as of Oct 28, 2026): return on equity 5.0%, debt of 0.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 6070 from its 52-week high?
Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co trades at 35.26 SAR, about 33% below its 52-week high of 52.95 SAR and 7% above the low of 32.88 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 49.00 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 28, 2026: price 35.26 SAR, calculated fair value 49.00 SAR (+39%), Quality Score 51/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 6070 calculated?
We run Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 49.00 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co currently trades 28 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
The closing price on Oct 29, 2026 was 35.26 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 49.00 SAR, about +39% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co right now?
Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (34.30 SAR to 63.70 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
The market capitalisation of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co is 1.1B SAR (≈ $282M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co is 1.52 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
Earnings per share at Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co are 1.32 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 26.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
The dividend yield of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co is 1.0% (payout 26.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
The net margin of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co is 5.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co is 5.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co is 5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
The operating margin of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co is 7.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
Revenue at Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co is growing +0.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +27.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070)?
Earnings per share at Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co are growing −47.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070) generate?
The free cash flow of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co is −18.2M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co (6070) carry?
The net debt of Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co is 322M SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 28, 2026