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Kinko Optical Co (6209) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · TW · Market cap 11.5B TWD

KO Kinko Optical Co 6209 · TW
Price74.00 TWD
Fair Value14.17 TWD
Upside-80.9%
Quality65/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 7.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: Medium Range 12.77 TWD – 18.07 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from 14.35 TWD to 14.17 TWD (−1.3%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price −8.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 81% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (18.07 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

97.20 TWD 21.25 TWD Fair Value 14.17 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 21.25 TWD – 97.20 TWD · fair‑value band 12.77 TWD – 18.07 TWD · the 74.00 TWD price screens above the 14.17 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Kinko Optical Co (6209) currently trades at 74.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 14.17 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 80.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Kinko Optical Co generated revenue of 4.0B TWD at a net margin of 7.5%. Revenue grew 47.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. Net debt stands at 287M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 12.77 TWD (bear case) to 18.07 TWD (bull case); at 74.00 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 210% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -73% fair-value upside, at -81%, 6209 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 13.89 TWD 14.16 TWD 13.73 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 6.39 TWD 7.57 TWD 8.60 TWD 72
Gordon GGM 4.56 TWD 4.99 TWD 5.65 TWD 70
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 6.23 TWD 7.62 TWD 8.57 TWD 54
EPV 6.39 TWD 7.57 TWD 8.60 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 4.56 TWD 4.99 TWD 5.65 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 4.56 TWD 5.72 TWD 7.35 TWD 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 13.75 TWD 18.34 TWD 22.92 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 11.69 TWD 15.59 TWD 19.48 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 11.69 TWD 15.59 TWD 19.48 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 13.74 TWD 18.55 TWD 23.35 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 24.57 TWD 32.98 TWD 41.39 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 9.05 TWD 13.21 TWD 17.37 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8.99 TWD 12.04 TWD 17.98 TWD 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 13.89 TWD 14.16 TWD 13.73 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 6.39 TWD 7.57 TWD 8.60 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 9.73 TWD 13.90 TWD 18.07 TWD 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (15.59 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (4.99 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.0B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) +47.9%
Net margin 7.5%
Return on equity 9.6%
Free cash flow −279M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 91.6
More key figures
Operating margin 16.0%
EPS (TTM) 0.9000 TWD
EPS growth (YoY) +11,506%
Net debt 287M TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 65/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 28
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 73
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kinko Optical Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, and produces optical components and lenses in Taiwan and Asia.

Full company description

Kinko Optical Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, and produces optical components and lenses in Taiwan and Asia. The company offers mobile phone, projector, IoT, automotive, far infrared, and VR/AR/MR lenses, as well as digital single-lens reflex cameras, industrial and sports cameras, telescopes, spherical and aspherical glass lens OEM, and lens ODM. It exports its products. The company was founded in 1980 and is based in Taichung, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kinko Optical Co reported revenue of 3.7B TWD in FY2025 versus 3.6B TWD in FY2021, a compound +0.3%/yr. Reported net income was 161M TWD in FY2025.

Growth Quality 35/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.7B TWD
Latest YoY
+50.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.6%
Revenue +0.3%/yr
FY21 3.6B TWD
FY22 3.6B TWD
FY23 2.7B TWD
FY24 2.4B TWD
FY25 3.7B TWD
Net income
FY21 −150M TWD
FY22 64.9M TWD
FY23 −49.8M TWD
FY24 −130M TWD
FY25 161M TWD

6209 screens 81% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kinko Optical Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6209

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 625 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −81% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 48% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.16× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 72.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.64× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.85× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 18.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 32
PAST 38 · sector 24
HEALTH 92 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,880 TWD 515.23 TWD -73%
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co 2317 242.50 TWD 270.47 TWD +12%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥62.14 ¥38.44 -38%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,260,000 KRW 166,421 KRW -87%
Elite Material Co 2383 4,990 TWD 714.36 TWD -86%
Yageo Corporation 2327 699.00 TWD 216.55 TWD -69%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥132.29 ¥27.45 -79%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥364.00 ¥93.50 -74%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$297.00 HK$103.98 -65%
Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co 002463 ¥127.80 ¥31.95 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kinko Optical Co (6209) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 14.17 TWD versus a price of 74.00 TWD, about −81% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 6209?
Our model-based fair value for Kinko Optical Co is 14.17 TWD (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 74.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 6209?
Kinko Optical Co has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kinko Optical Co (6209)?
Kinko Optical Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.0B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 6209?
The net profit margin of Kinko Optical Co is about 7.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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