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Yunnan Water Investment Co (6839) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · HK · Market cap HK$119M

YW Yunnan Water Investment Co 6839 · HK
PriceHK$0.1070
Fair ValueHK$0.3376
Upside+215.5%
Quality26/100
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Evidence: Low Range HK$0.3079 – HK$0.3772

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 9 days ago

Share price +13.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$0.2350 HK$0.0850 Fair Value HK$0.3376 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$0.0850 – HK$0.2350 · fair‑value band HK$0.3079 – HK$0.3772 · the HK$0.1070 price screens below the HK$0.3376 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

Yunnan Water Investment Co (6839) currently trades at HK$0.1070, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3376 — implying the stock looks roughly 215.5% undervalued today. We read business quality at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Yunnan Water Investment Co generated revenue of HK$2.4B at a net margin of -78.3%. Revenue declined 22.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -20.4%. Net debt stands at HK$30.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.3079 (bear case) to HK$0.3772 (bull case); at HK$0.1070, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside — at 216%, 6839 screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$2.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) -22.1%
Net margin -78.3%
Return on equity -20.4%
Free cash flow −HK$168M FY2025
Operating margin -49.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.7300
EPS growth (YoY) +47.4%
Net debt HK$30.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Yunnan Water Investment Co., Limited, an investment holding company, designs, develops, constructs, operates, and maintains municipal water supply, and wastewater and solid waste treatment facilities in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through the Wastewater treatment project construction and operation, Water supply project construction and operation, Construction and Sales of Equipment, Solid waste treatment project construction and operation, and Others segments. The company engages in the construction and operation of wastewater treatment projects, water supply projects, and solid waste treatment projects; sale of engineering and procurement construction and equipment; and provision of build and transfer construction services. It also undertakes operate transfer, build own operate, transfer operate, transfer-operate transfer, transfer own operate, build and transfer, engineering procurement construction, rehabilitate operate transfer, operation, …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yunnan Water Investment Co reported revenue of HK$2.4B in FY2025 versus HK$5.3B in FY2021, a compound −18.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.9B in FY2025.

Revenue −18.2%/yr
FY21 HK$5.3B
FY22 HK$3.8B
FY23 HK$3.1B
FY24 HK$2.8B
FY25 HK$2.4B
Net income
FY21 −HK$888M
FY22 −HK$953M
FY23 −HK$688M
FY24 −HK$1.7B
FY25 −HK$1.9B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yunnan Water Investment Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/6839.HK

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Water stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
American Water Works Company AWK $126.46 $57.36 -55%
SBS SBS $5.48 $5.12 -7%
SBSP3 SBSP3 R$27.34 R$27.16 -1%
United Utilities Group UUGRY $34.94 $29.62 -15%
Severn Trent PLC STRNY $38.53 $27.88 -28%
Essential Utilities, Inc WTRG $36.68 $23.46 -36%
Guangdong Investment Limited GGDVY $50.80 $53.81 +6%
CSMG3 CSMG3 R$56.85 R$54.92 -3%
Grandblue Environment Co 600323 ¥28.04 ¥33.29 +19%
Beijing Enterprises Water Group BJWTY $22.00 $35.59 +62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yunnan Water Investment Co (6839) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3376 versus a price of HK$0.1070 — about +216% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 6839?
Our model-based fair value for Yunnan Water Investment Co is HK$0.3376 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.1070.
What is the quality score of 6839?
Yunnan Water Investment Co has a Quality Score of 26/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Yunnan Water Investment Co (6839)?
Yunnan Water Investment Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 6839?
The net profit margin of Yunnan Water Investment Co is about -78.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.