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Grandblue Environment Co (600323) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · CN · Market cap 24.0B CNY

GE Grandblue Environment Co 600323 · SHG
Price¥29.42
Fair Value¥33.29
Upside+13.2%
Quality49/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.9% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
2.65% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/14)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥19.12 – ¥57.62 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +1.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 13% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (¥19.12 to ¥57.62). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Our model range runs from ¥19.12 (bear) to ¥57.62 (bull), base ¥33.29. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 49/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥32.47 ¥14.88 Fair Value ¥33.29 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥14.88 – ¥32.47 · fair‑value band ¥19.12 – ¥57.62 · the ¥29.42 price screens below the ¥33.29 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

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Analysis

Grandblue Environment Co (600323) currently trades at ¥29.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥33.29, implying the stock looks roughly 13.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Grandblue Environment Co generated revenue of 15.0B CNY at a net margin of 14.2%. Revenue grew 40.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.4%. Net debt stands at 26.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥19.12 (bear case) to ¥57.62 (bull case); at ¥29.42, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 13%, 600323 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥17.28 ¥60.97 ¥144.45 80
Residual Income ¥17.25 ¥21.67 ¥53.43 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥7.72 ¥41.17 ¥91.15 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥19.52 ¥51.98 ¥145.22 38
Owner Earnings ¥11.52 ¥62.38 ¥169.14 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥7.72 ¥37.06 ¥94.00 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥18.82 ¥61.07 ¥138.32 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥8.15 ¥43.98 ¥89.59 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥9.88 ¥47.24 ¥90.52 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥18.93 ¥68.32 ¥158.27 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥11.41 ¥48.07 ¥109.77 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥16.46 ¥114.76 ¥161.04 54
Lynch FV ¥34.25 ¥48.93 ¥63.61 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥34.25 ¥48.93 ¥63.61 46
EPV ¥8.31 ¥14.42 ¥19.77 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥32.67 ¥43.56 ¥54.45 63
P/S Multiple ¥30.85 ¥41.14 ¥51.42 58
P/B Multiple ¥24.19 ¥32.25 ¥40.32 55
EV/EBIT ¥20.65 ¥36.98 ¥53.31 53
EV/EBITDA ¥19.42 ¥35.35 ¥51.27 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.56 ¥14.38 ¥27.20 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥8.96 ¥12.01 ¥17.92 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥17.28 ¥60.97 ¥144.45 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥7.72 ¥41.17 ¥91.15 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥17.25 ¥21.67 ¥53.43 76
ROIC Compounder ¥8.31 ¥14.42 ¥22.72 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥43.84 ¥62.64 ¥81.43 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥62.64) versus Asset-Based (¥12.01). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 15.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +29.0%
Net margin 13.9%
Return on equity 14.4%
Free cash flow 2.5B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 11.3
More key figures
Operating margin 18.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥2.61
Dividend yield 2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +15.1%
Net debt 26.1B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 47
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Grandblue Environment Co., Ltd. engages in the water supply, drainage, solid waste treatment, and energy businesses in China.

Full company description

Grandblue Environment Co., Ltd. engages in the water supply, drainage, solid waste treatment, and energy businesses in China. The company provides water intake, water production, water transmission, and drinking water services; and sewage treatment, and pipeline network operation and maintenance services, as well as manages and controls wastewater plants, draining pipeline networks, and pumping stations. It also engages in the waste incineration power generation, sludge disposal, fly ash disposal, ash landfill, waste landfill, solid waste environmental protection engineering, and sanitation; pipeline natural gas, bottled gas, hydrogen, and other multi-energy supply; and asset management businesses. Grandblue Environment Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Nanhai Development Co. Ltd. and changed its name to Grandblue Environment Co., Ltd. in December 2013. The company was founded in 1992 and is based in Foshan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Grandblue Environment Co reported revenue of ¥13.9B in FY2025 versus ¥11.8B in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.0B in FY2025, compounding +14.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 98/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
13.9B CNY
Latest YoY
+17.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+13.2%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y)
+23.3%
Revenue +4.3%/yr
FY21 ¥11.8B
FY22 ¥12.9B
FY23 ¥12.5B
FY24 ¥11.9B
FY25 ¥13.9B
Net income +14.1%/yr
FY21 ¥1.2B
FY22 ¥1.1B
FY23 ¥1.4B
FY24 ¥1.7B
FY25 ¥2.0B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grandblue Environment Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600323

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Water · 67 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Above median
Fair Value upside +13% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Above median
Revenue growth 29% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.77× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Water median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.64× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.51× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 51 · sector 7
FUTURE 100 · sector 28
PAST 58 · sector 29
HEALTH 12 · sector 66
DIVIDEND 53 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Water stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
American Water Works Company AWK $134.33 $65.80 -51%
SBSP3 SBSP3 R$29.22 R$31.23 +7%
SBS SBS $5.79 $5.21 -10%
Essential Utilities, Inc WTRG $38.59 $21.81 -43%
CSMG3 CSMG3 R$66.10 R$60.17 -9%
American States Water Company AWR $85.01 $48.02 -44%
Chengdu Xingrong Environment Co 000598 ¥6.97 ¥10.74 +54%
California Water Service Group CWT $49.73 $33.56 -33%
Chongqing Water Group 601158 ¥4.12 ¥2.77 -33%
H2O America, through its subsidiaries, HTO $62.47 $41.30 -34%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Grandblue Environment Co (600323) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥33.29 versus a price of ¥29.42, about +13% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600323?
Our model-based fair value for Grandblue Environment Co is ¥33.29 (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥29.42.
What is the quality score of 600323?
Grandblue Environment Co has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Grandblue Environment Co (600323)?
Grandblue Environment Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 15.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600323?
The net profit margin of Grandblue Environment Co is about 14.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Grandblue Environment Co pay a dividend?
Grandblue Environment Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.48% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 8, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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