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Shandong Weigao Orthopaedic Device Co (688161) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 8.9B CNY

SW Shandong Weigao Orthopaedic Device Co 688161 · SHG
Price¥22.16
Fair Value¥14.78
Upside-33.3%
Quality75/100
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Weak Growth
Solidly profitable · 17.1% net margin
generates free cash flow
1.56% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: High Range ¥11.08 – ¥18.47 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price +0.8% over the past month.

A strong business, but screening 33% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 75/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥18.47). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥102.84 ¥18.52 Fair Value ¥14.78 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥18.52 – ¥102.84 · fair‑value band ¥11.08 – ¥18.47 · the ¥22.16 price screens above the ¥14.78 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Shandong Weigao Orthopaedic Device Co (688161) currently trades at ¥22.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥14.78, implying the stock looks roughly 33.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shandong Weigao Orthopaedic Device Co generated revenue of 1.5B CNY at a net margin of 17.1%. Revenue grew 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.4%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 34.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥11.08 (bear case) to ¥18.47 (bull case); at ¥22.16, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -33%, 688161 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥8.18 ¥8.50 ¥8.71 76
Growth DCF ¥12.86 ¥15.97 ¥21.22 72
Gordon GGM ¥2.80 ¥3.06 ¥3.44 70
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥12.49 ¥15.71 ¥21.61 38
Owner Earnings ¥10.63 ¥13.19 ¥17.88 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥11.08 ¥14.23 ¥18.86 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥12.30 ¥16.33 ¥21.73 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥12.76 ¥17.13 ¥22.41 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥11.40 ¥13.85 ¥16.49 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥12.31 ¥15.14 ¥18.18 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥12.58 ¥15.63 ¥18.57 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥4.57 ¥6.02 ¥6.91 54
EPV ¥9.20 ¥10.11 ¥10.89 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.80 ¥3.06 ¥3.44 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.80 ¥3.51 ¥4.45 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥11.08 ¥14.78 ¥18.47 63
P/S Multiple ¥8.56 ¥11.42 ¥14.27 58
P/B Multiple ¥8.56 ¥11.42 ¥14.27 55
EV/EBIT ¥13.67 ¥17.08 ¥20.49 53
EV/EBITDA ¥13.62 ¥17.02 ¥20.41 54
EV/Revenue ¥10.74 ¥13.87 ¥17.00 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.18 ¥6.94 ¥10.36 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥12.86 ¥15.97 ¥21.22 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥11.08 ¥14.45 ¥18.66 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.18 ¥8.50 ¥8.71 76
ROIC Compounder ¥9.20 ¥10.11 ¥11.06 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥7.81 ¥11.16 ¥14.51 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥15.14) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.06). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.5B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.1%
Net margin 17.1%
Return on equity 6.4%
Free cash flow 388M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 34.3
More key figures
Operating margin 15.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.6500
Dividend yield 1.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -15.4%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 75/100

Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 90
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 98
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 11
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shandong Weigao Orthopaedic Device Co., Ltd. engages in research, development, production, and sales of orthopedic medical devices. The company offers orthopedic implantable medical devices and orthopedic surgical instruments.

Full company description

Shandong Weigao Orthopaedic Device Co., Ltd. engages in research, development, production, and sales of orthopedic medical devices. The company offers orthopedic implantable medical devices and orthopedic surgical instruments. It also provides spinal products, such as internal fixation systems for the cervical and thoracic/lumbar spine, and interbody fusion devices; trauma-related products include locking plate systems, intramedullary nail systems, hollow screw systems, and external fixation systems; and joint products, including hip joint prosthesis systems, knee joint prosthesis systems, and shoulder joint prosthesis systems. In addition, the company sports medicine products comprise cruciate ligament reconstruction system, meniscus repair system, and sports trauma system; craniofacial surgery products; and orthopedic diagnostic equipment. The company was founded in 2005 and is based in Weihai, China. Shandong Weigao Orthopaedic Device Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer Co., Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shandong Weigao Orthopaedic Device Co reported revenue of ¥1.5B in FY2025 versus ¥2.2B in FY2021, a compound −8.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥269M in FY2025, compounding −21.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.5B CNY
Latest YoY
+4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−9.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
−0.5%
Revenue −8.3%/yr
FY21 ¥2.2B
FY22 ¥2.1B
FY23 ¥1.3B
FY24 ¥1.5B
FY25 ¥1.5B
Net income −21.0%/yr
FY21 ¥690M
FY22 ¥601M
FY23 ¥112M
FY24 ¥224M
FY25 ¥269M

688161 screens 33% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shandong Weigao Orthopaedic Device Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688161

Peer Group

Medical Devices · 351 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 75 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −33% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 34.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.15× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 5.84× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 24.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 11 · sector 27
PAST 26 · sector 8
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 31 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $100.68 $74.79 -26%
Stryker Corporation SYK $316.44 $186.28 -41%
Medtronic plc MDT $83.56 $65.57 -22%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $43.04 $38.44 -11%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $85.73 $41.02 -52%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €34.59 €33.87 -2%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥149.43 ¥147.63 -1%
Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 ¥109.00 ¥43.60 -60%
Demant A/S DEMANT kr 276.60 kr 161.17 -42%
Getinge AB GETIB kr 206.80 kr 192.14 -7%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shandong Weigao Orthopaedic Device Co (688161) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥14.78 versus a price of ¥22.16, about −33% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688161?
Our model-based fair value for Shandong Weigao Orthopaedic Device Co is ¥14.78 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥22.16.
What is the quality score of 688161?
Shandong Weigao Orthopaedic Device Co has a Quality Score of 75/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shandong Weigao Orthopaedic Device Co (688161)?
Shandong Weigao Orthopaedic Device Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688161?
The net profit margin of Shandong Weigao Orthopaedic Device Co is about 17.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shandong Weigao Orthopaedic Device Co pay a dividend?
Shandong Weigao Orthopaedic Device Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.56% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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