Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd (688182) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd ¥8.41, price ¥28.67, upside -70.7%, quality 58 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
58‑month range ¥9.34 – ¥44.89 · fair‑value band ¥6.31 – ¥10.51 · the ¥28.67 price screens above the ¥8.41 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co., Ltd engages in the research and development, production, and sale of microwave dielectric ceramic components and in China and internationally. It produces dielectric filters, resonators, duplexers, aerospace products, and multiplexers, and satellite timing antennas.
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Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co., Ltd engages in the research and development, production, and sale of microwave dielectric ceramic components and in China and internationally. It produces dielectric filters, resonators, duplexers, aerospace products, and multiplexers, and satellite timing antennas. The company serves mobile communications, satellite, navigation and positioning, satellite communications, aerospace, electronic devices, internet of everything, automotive industry, and other fields. Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co., Ltd was founded in 2004 and is based in JiangSu, China.
Stock analysis
Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd (688182) currently trades at ¥28.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.41, implying the stock looks roughly 240.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥9.22 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥28.67 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.9600, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥6.31 (bear) to ¥10.51 (bull), the price of ¥28.67 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 724M CNY in FY2025 versus 334M CNY in FY2021, a compound +21.4%/yr. Reported net income was 120M CNY in FY2025, compounding +8.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 11.5B CNY (≈ $1.7B) · P/E ratio 119.5 · P/S ratio 19.8 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2400 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 16.6% · Return on equity 4.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −64% fair-value upside, at −71%, 688182 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.9600 to ¥13.90). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥6.31Fair Value ¥8.41Bull ¥10.51
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1036 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.19/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+76.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.1%
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−20.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−20.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.33% → 20%
2025 sits 114% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 36.2%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronic Components · 654 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside−71% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)12% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth98% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)119.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B5.05× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)13.56× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA73.8× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 37
PAST (return on equity)18· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)7· sector 26
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688182
Frequently asked questions
Is Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd (688182) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥8.41 versus a price of ¥28.67, about −71% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688182?
Our model-based fair value for Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd is ¥8.41 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥28.67.
What is the quality score of 688182?
Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd (688182)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥8.41 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥6.31, optimistic scenario ¥10.51. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥8.41, about −71% upside versus a price of ¥28.67 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥6.31, optimistic scenario ¥10.51. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd (688182)?
Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 846M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.35% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd (688182)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd it is ¥8.41 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥28.67. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 688182 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥28.67, fair value ¥8.41, a gap of about −71% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688182?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥28.67); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥8.41). For Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd the two are ¥20.26 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd at about 11.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥28.67; our models calculate a fair value of ¥8.41 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688182?
Our models span a range for Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥6.31, base ¥8.41, optimistic ¥10.51 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥28.67). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 688182?
Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 119.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥8.41 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.1, P/S 13.6, EV/EBITDA 73.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd (688182)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 58/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688182 from its 52-week high?
Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd trades at ¥28.67, about 36% below its 52-week high of ¥44.89 and 30% above the low of ¥22.03 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥8.41 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Amphenol Corporation, Delta Electronics, Inc, Corning Incorporated, Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥28.67, calculated fair value ¥8.41 (−71%), Quality Score 58/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688182 calculated?
We run Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥8.41, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd (688182)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥28.67. Our model-based fair value is ¥8.41, about −71% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥10.51). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd (688182)?
The market capitalisation of Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd is 11.5B CNY (≈ $1.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd (688182)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd is 19.8 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd (688182)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd are ¥0.2400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 119.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd (688182)?
The dividend yield of Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd is 0.3% (payout 41.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd (688182)?
The net margin of Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd is 16.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd (688182)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd is 4.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd (688182)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd is 3.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd (688182)?
The operating margin of Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd is 11.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd (688182)?
Revenue at Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd is growing +98.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +28.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd (688182)?
Earnings per share at Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd are growing −93.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd (688182) generate?
The free cash flow of Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd is −386M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd (688182) hold?
Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 244M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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