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Sinocelltech Group (688520) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 16.3B CNY

SG Sinocelltech Group 688520 · SHG
Price¥37.37
Fair Value¥5.54
Upside-85.2%
Quality25/100
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Evidence: Low Range ¥2.40 – ¥10.05

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026 — revised from ¥1.23 to ¥5.54 (+350.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +9.8% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

¥85.63 ¥33.00 Fair Value ¥5.54 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range ¥33.00 – ¥85.63 · fair‑value band ¥2.40 – ¥10.05 · the ¥37.37 price screens above the ¥5.54 fair value. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Sinocelltech Group (688520) currently trades at ¥37.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.54 — implying the stock looks roughly 85.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sinocelltech Group generated revenue of 1.4B CNY at a net margin of -59.0%. Revenue declined 37.8% year over year. Net debt stands at 1.8B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.40 (bear case) to ¥10.05 (bull case); at ¥37.37, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside — at -85%, 688520 screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -37.8%
Net margin -59.0%
Return on equity -157%
Free cash flow −492M CNY FY2025
Operating margin -36.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-1.86
EPS growth (YoY) -23.5%
Net debt 1.8B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Sinocelltech Group Limited, a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research, development, and production of recombinant proteins, antibody drugs, and vaccines in China. The company offers Anjiayin, a third-generation recombinant coagulation factor VIII product for the treatment of hemophilia A; Anpingxi, an anti-CD20 monoclonal antibody for the treatment of CD20-positive diffuse large B-cell non-Hodgkin's lymphoma; Anjiarun, an adalimumab biosimilar for the treatment of various autoimmune diseases; Anbezu, a bevacizumab biosimilar for the treatment of various solid tumors; SCTV01, a series of recombinant protein vaccines for multiple variants of the new coronavirus; Fenolimab, a recombinant humanized anti-PD-1 monoclonal antibody for the treatment of solid tumors; and SCT1000, a recombinant 14-valent human papillomavirus (HPV) virus-like particle vaccine for the prevention of various cancers. It also develops other clinical-stage products, including SCT650C for the treatment …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sinocelltech Group reported revenue of ¥1.6B in FY2025 versus ¥134M in FY2021, a compound +84.6%/yr. Reported net income was −¥553M in FY2025.

Revenue +84.6%/yr
FY21 ¥134M
FY22 ¥1.0B
FY23 ¥1.9B
FY24 ¥2.5B
FY25 ¥1.6B
Net income
FY21 −¥867M
FY22 −¥519M
FY23 −¥396M
FY24 ¥112M
FY25 −¥553M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sinocelltech Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688520

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sinocelltech Group (688520) undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.54 versus a price of ¥37.37 — about −85% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 688520?
Our model-based fair value for Sinocelltech Group is ¥5.54 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥37.37.
What is the quality score of 688520?
Sinocelltech Group has a Quality Score of 25/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Sinocelltech Group (688520)?
Sinocelltech Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688520?
The net profit margin of Sinocelltech Group is about -59.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.