XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: (688573) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: ¥2.30, price ¥17.08, upside -86.5%, quality 13 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
37‑month range ¥12.81 – ¥56.62 · fair‑value band ¥1.72 – ¥3.43 · the ¥17.08 price screens above the ¥2.30 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Shenzhen Xinyuren Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of lithium-ion battery production equipment and related components, and other automation equipment in China. It offers vacuum baking lines and ovens, coating machines, and assembly lines. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Shenzhen, China.
Stock analysis
XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: (688573) currently trades at ¥17.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.30, 86.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥2.61 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the ¥17.08 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.5200, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥1.72 (bear) to ¥3.43 (bull), the price of ¥17.08 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 13/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: reported revenue of 261M CNY in FY2025 versus 537M CNY in FY2021, a compound −16.5%/yr. Reported net income was −471M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.7B CNY (≈ $249M) · P/S ratio 5.55 · EPS (TTM) ¥−5.09 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin −166% · Return on equity −86.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.4% · Operating margin −33.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −87%, 688573 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥1.72Fair Value ¥2.30Bull ¥3.43
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−58.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−26.9%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
100.0% (2021) → −52.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 540 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score13 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−86.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−13.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−165.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−33.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth52.0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.21× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.65× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.86× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 56
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)89· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)9· sector 23
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688573
Frequently asked questions
Is XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: (688573) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.30 versus a price of ¥17.08, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688573?
Our model-based fair value for XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: is ¥2.30 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥17.08.
What is the quality score of 688573?
XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: has a Quality Score of 13/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: (688573)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.30 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.72, optimistic scenario ¥3.43. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.30, about −87% upside versus a price of ¥17.08 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.72, optimistic scenario ¥3.43. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: (688573)?
XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 290M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: pay a dividend?
XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.43% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: (688573)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: it is ¥2.30 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥17.08. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 688573 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥17.08, fair value ¥2.30, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688573?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥17.08); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.30). For XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: the two are ¥14.78 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: worth?
The market values XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: at about 1.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥17.08; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.30 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688573?
Our models span a range for XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp:: cautious scenario ¥1.72, base ¥2.30, optimistic ¥3.43 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥17.08). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: (688573)?
Balance-sheet figures for XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −86.9%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 13/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688573 from its 52-week high?
XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: trades at ¥17.08, about 41% below its 52-week high of ¥29.10 and 27% above the low of ¥13.48 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.30 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp:?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, Vertiv Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥17.08, calculated fair value ¥2.30 (−87%), Quality Score 13/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688573 calculated?
We run XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.30, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: (688573)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥17.08. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.30, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.43). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (13/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥1.72 to ¥3.43) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp:
How large is the market capitalisation of XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: (688573)?
The market capitalisation of XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: is 1.7B CNY (≈ $249M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: (688573)?
The price-to-sales ratio of XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: is 5.55 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: (688573)?
Earnings per share at XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: are ¥−5.09. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: (688573)?
The dividend yield of XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: is 0.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: (688573)?
The net margin of XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: is −166% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: (688573)?
The return on equity (ROE) of XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: is −86.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: (688573)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: is 10.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: (688573)?
The operating margin of XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: is −33.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: (688573)?
Revenue at XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: is growing +52.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −26.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: (688573) generate?
The free cash flow of XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: is −125M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: (688573) carry?
The net debt of XINYUREN ORD A (SHH) EQSW Exp: is 64.8M CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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