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Dongguan Dingtong Precision Metal Co. Ltd. A (688668) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 34.0B CNY

DD Dongguan Dingtong Precision Metal Co. Ltd. A 688668 · SHG
Price¥293.20
Fair Value¥32.28
Upside-89.0%
Quality55/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.9% net margin
negative free cash flow
0.29% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥24.31 – ¥40.25 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +20.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 89% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥40.25). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥432.00 ¥16.71 Fair Value ¥32.28 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥16.71 – ¥432.00 · fair‑value band ¥24.31 – ¥40.25 · the ¥293.20 price screens above the ¥32.28 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Dongguan Dingtong Precision Metal Co. Ltd. A (688668) currently trades at ¥293.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥32.28, implying the stock looks roughly 89.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Dongguan Dingtong Precision Metal Co. Ltd. A generated revenue of 1.7B CNY at a net margin of 16.1%. Revenue grew 20.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 55.6M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥24.31 (bear case) to ¥40.25 (bull case); at ¥293.20, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 398% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -65% fair-value upside, at -89%, 688668 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (¥9.14 to ¥82.16). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥12.88 ¥15.62 ¥34.19 76
Gordon GGM ¥6.54 ¥13.60 ¥21.57 70
Growth-Adj P/E ¥55.52 ¥79.31 ¥103.11 68
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥11.78 ¥82.16 ¥115.30 54
Lynch FV ¥42.45 ¥60.64 ¥78.83 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥42.45 ¥60.64 ¥78.83 46
EPV ¥17.36 ¥20.04 ¥22.38 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥6.54 ¥13.60 ¥21.57 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥6.54 ¥11.47 ¥14.27 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥27.29 ¥36.38 ¥45.48 63
P/S Multiple ¥17.06 ¥22.74 ¥28.43 58
P/B Multiple ¥22.09 ¥29.45 ¥36.81 55
EV/EBIT ¥25.20 ¥33.17 ¥41.14 53
EV/EBITDA ¥26.47 ¥34.87 ¥43.26 54
EV/Revenue ¥15.61 ¥21.75 ¥27.90 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.82 ¥9.14 ¥13.65 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥12.88 ¥15.62 ¥34.19 76
ROIC Compounder ¥21.75 ¥30.39 ¥38.11 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥55.52 ¥79.31 ¥103.11 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥79.31) versus Asset-Based (¥9.14). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +20.8%
Net margin 16.1%
Return on equity 13.7%
Free cash flow −216M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 150.4
More key figures
Operating margin 19.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.95
Dividend yield 0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +52.6%
Net cash 55.6M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 18
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 47
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 9
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 85
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 55
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Dongguan Dingtong Precision Metal Co., Ltd. engages in the product research and development, production, and sales of communication connectors in China. It also offers automotive connector assemblies, precision mold, mold parts, and liquid cooling products. Dongguan Dingtong Precision Metal Co., Ltd.

Full company description

Dongguan Dingtong Precision Metal Co., Ltd. engages in the product research and development, production, and sales of communication connectors in China. It also offers automotive connector assemblies, precision mold, mold parts, and liquid cooling products. Dongguan Dingtong Precision Metal Co., Ltd. was formerly Dongguan Dingtong Precision Hardware Co., Ltd. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Dongguan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Dongguan Dingtong Precision Metal Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of ¥1.6B in FY2025 versus ¥568M in FY2021, a compound +29.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥241M in FY2025, compounding +21.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.6B CNY
Latest YoY
+53.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+34.7%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+35.8%
Revenue +29.2%/yr
FY21 ¥568M
FY22 ¥839M
FY23 ¥683M
FY24 ¥1.0B
FY25 ¥1.6B
Net income +21.9%/yr
FY21 ¥109M
FY22 ¥168M
FY23 ¥66.6M
FY24 ¥110M
FY25 ¥241M

688668 screens 89% overvalued. Compare with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dongguan Dingtong Precision Metal Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688668

Peer Group

Electrical Equipment & Parts · 529 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −89% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 41% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 150.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 17.88× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 18.54× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 72.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 58
PAST 60 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 6 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Dongguan Dingtong Precision Metal Co. Ltd. A (688668) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥32.28 versus a price of ¥293.20, about −89% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688668?
Our model-based fair value for Dongguan Dingtong Precision Metal Co. Ltd. A is ¥32.28 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥293.20.
What is the quality score of 688668?
Dongguan Dingtong Precision Metal Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Dongguan Dingtong Precision Metal Co. Ltd. A (688668)?
Dongguan Dingtong Precision Metal Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688668?
The net profit margin of Dongguan Dingtong Precision Metal Co. Ltd. A is about 16.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Dongguan Dingtong Precision Metal Co. Ltd. A pay a dividend?
Dongguan Dingtong Precision Metal Co. Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.15% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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