S China Vocational Educ Grp (6913) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$184M (≈ $23.5M) · ISIN KYG8281B1014
What is S China Vocational Educ Grp really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 22% above our fair value of HK$0.0834.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 2, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Sep 2, 2026, revised from HK$1.00 to HK$0.0834 (−91.7%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −27.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0528 to HK$0.1247) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1020 – HK$1.27 · fair‑value band HK$0.0528 – HK$0.1247 · the HK$0.1020 price screens above the HK$0.0834 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
Analysis
S China Vocational Educ Grp (6913) currently trades at HK$0.1020, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0834, implying the stock looks roughly 22.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$0.7800 per share, and 15 of the 15 models we run sit above the HK$0.1020 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.3300, and 0 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, S China Vocational Educ Grp generated revenue of HK$792M at a net margin of −7.5%. Revenue grew 23.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −3.7%. Net debt stands at HK$40.0M. Fundamentals as of Sep 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0528 (bear case) to HK$0.1247 (bull case); at HK$0.1020, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 72% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at −18%, 6913 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$0.0282 per share, which is 33.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$1.69) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.3300). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
South China Vocational Education Group Company Limited provides private higher vocational education in China. The company provides academic vocational education, technician training, competition training, skill evaluation, employment service, and entrepreneurship incubation.
Full company description
South China Vocational Education Group Company Limited provides private higher vocational education in China. The company provides academic vocational education, technician training, competition training, skill evaluation, employment service, and entrepreneurship incubation. It also operates schools, including Guangdong Lingnan Institute of Technology and Guangdong Lingnan Modern Technician College. In addition, it offers ancillary education services comprising continuing education programs and other education services, such as test preparation and training services to the students for occupational skills appraisal, and professional qualification and certificates. Further, the company provides junior college education, technical education, motor vehicles driving training, and management services, as well as education management services. South China Vocational Education Group Company Limited was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
S China Vocational Educ Grp reported revenue of 792M CNY in FY2025 versus 500M CNY in FY2021, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was −59.6M CNY in FY2025.
6913 screens 22% overvalued. Compare with New Oriental Education & Technology Group →
Peer Group
Education & Training Services · 149 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDU | $57.72 | $48.37 | −16% |
| TAL Education Group TAL | $11.69 | $15.60 | +33% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $38.36 | $41.45 | +8% |
| Physicswallah Limited PWL | ₹119.46 | ₹13.69 | −89% |
| Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE | $151.19 | $152.01 | +1% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $128.22 | $135.45 | +6% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $84.58 | $139.45 | +65% |
| Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI | $25.64 | $20.98 | −18% |
| Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO | $33.81 | $40.65 | +20% |
| Strategic Education, Inc STRA | $85.31 | $105.48 | +24% |
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