New Oriental Education And Tech Inc (9901) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of New Oriental Education And Tech Inc HK$12.70, price HK$43.10, upside -70.5%, quality 74 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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New Oriental Education And Tech Inc
9901 · HKStretched ValuationQuality growthStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
What runs behind every stock
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$6.53 – HK$87.28 · fair‑value band HK$8.88 – HK$16.50 · the HK$43.10 price screens above the HK$12.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Company profile
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. engages in the provision of private educational services under the New Oriental brand in the People's Republic of China.
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New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. engages in the provision of private educational services under the New Oriental brand in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through four segments: Educational Services and Test Preparation Courses; Private Label Products and Livestreaming E-Commerce; Overseas Study Consulting Services; and Educational Materials and Distribution. The company offers test preparation courses to students taking language and entrance exams used by educational institutions in the United States, the Commonwealth countries, and the People's Republic of China. It also provides non-academic tutoring courses; intelligent learning systems and devices to offer a digital learning experience for students; and overseas studies consulting services. In addition, the company offers online education services through the Koolearn.com platform. Further, it develops and edits educational materials for language training and test preparation. In addition, the company offers educational programs, services, and products to students through schools; learning centers; and bookstores, as well as through its online learning platforms. New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
New Oriental Education And Tech Inc (9901) currently trades at HK$43.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$12.70, 70.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$9.99 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$43.10 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$1.54, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: HK$8.88 (bear) to HK$16.50 (bull), the price of HK$43.10 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
New Oriental Education And Tech Inc reported revenue of HK$4.9B in FY2024 versus HK$3.6B in FY2020, a compound +8.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$372M in FY2024, compounding −2.6%/yr from FY2020.
Key figures
Market cap HK$57.8B (≈ $7.4B) · P/E ratio 17.1 · P/S ratio 1.30 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.3700 · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin 7.6% · Return on equity 10.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −71%, 9901 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
9901 screens overvalued: fair value 71% below the price. Compare with TAL Education Group →
Recent news
- New Oriental to Report First Quarter 2027 Financial Results on October 28, 2026
- New Oriental Announces Filing of Annual Report on Form 20-F for Fiscal Year 2026
- New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU) Is Up 20.3% After New Capital Return Plan Unveiled
- New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU) As Earnings And Guidance Test Its Undervalued Case
Compare New Oriental Education And Tech Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 119 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| TAL Education Group TAL | $12.00 | $32.66 | +172% |
| Laureate Education, Inc LAUR | $37.40 | $40.60 | +9% |
| Covista Inc CVSA | $120.75 | $151.99 | +26% |
| Physicswallah Limited PWL | ₹134.36 | ₹33.64 | −75% |
| Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE | $147.28 | $162.01 | +10% |
| Stride, Inc LRN | $75.59 | $171.72 | +127% |
| McGraw Hill, Inc MH | $13.11 | $8.95 | −32% |
| Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO | $30.94 | $41.01 | +33% |
| Youdao, Inc DAO | $15.15 | $15.13 | +0% |
| Sanoma Oyj SANOMA | €9.68 | €6.51 | −33% |
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Key figures of New Oriental Education And Tech Inc
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