UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (7227) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 21, 2026: fair value of UMS-Neiken Group Bhd MYR 0.66, price MYR 0.88, upside -25.0%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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UMS-Neiken Group Berhad, an investment holding company, designs, manufactures, and trades in electrical wiring accessories and related electrical products in Malaysia, Vietnam, and Singapore. It is also involved in moulding, stamping, riveting, assembly, research and development.
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UMS-Neiken Group Berhad, an investment holding company, designs, manufactures, and trades in electrical wiring accessories and related electrical products in Malaysia, Vietnam, and Singapore. It is also involved in moulding, stamping, riveting, assembly, research and development. The company offers switches, sockets, disconnectors, adaptors, fused connection units, and waterproof covers, as well as plugs top, round pin plugs, and AC magnetic starters. In addition, it trades in, imports, and exports various electrical products; and manufactures, assembles, wholesales, trades in, imports, and exports electrical fittings and wiring accessories, as well as providing related repair services. UMS-Neiken Group Berhad was founded in 1981 and is based in Rawang, Malaysia. UMS-Neiken Group Berhad operates as a subsidiary of United MS Holdings Sdn. Bhd.
Stock analysis
UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (7227) currently trades at 0.8800 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.6600 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 33.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 1.01 MYR per share, and 7 of the 23 models we run sit above the 0.8800 MYR price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 0.2000 MYR, and 16 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.4300 MYR (bear) to 1.00 MYR (bull), the price of 0.8800 MYR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
UMS-Neiken Group Bhd reported revenue of 67.0M MYR in FY2025 versus 75.2M MYR in FY2021, a compound −2.9%/yr. Reported net income was 4.1M MYR in FY2025, compounding −20.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 69.3M MYR (≈ $17.0M) · P/E ratio 22.0 · P/S ratio 1.34 · EPS (TTM) 0.0400 MYR · Dividend yield 3.4% · Net margin 6.1% · Return on equity 3.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 45 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at −25%, 7227 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.4300 MYRFair Value 0.6600 MYRBull 1.00 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0073 MYR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.34/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.1% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−4.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−8% vs −9%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+24.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +22.2% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 553 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside−25% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.4% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)22.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.14× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.25× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF22.2× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA1.8× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)7· sector 58
PAST (return on equity)12· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)68· sector 23
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "UMS-Neiken Group Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/7227
Frequently asked questions
Is UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (7227) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.6600 MYR versus a price of 0.8800 MYR, about −25% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 7227?
Our model-based fair value for UMS-Neiken Group Bhd is 0.6600 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.8800 MYR.
What is the quality score of 7227?
UMS-Neiken Group Bhd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (7227)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.6600 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.4300 MYR, optimistic scenario 1.00 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the UMS-Neiken Group Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.6600 MYR, about −25% upside versus a price of 0.8800 MYR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.4300 MYR, optimistic scenario 1.00 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (7227)?
UMS-Neiken Group Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 67.2M MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does UMS-Neiken Group Bhd pay a dividend?
UMS-Neiken Group Bhd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.41% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (7227)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, UMS-Neiken Group Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by +24.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 7227 use?
Our models discount UMS-Neiken Group Bhd at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.38, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For UMS-Neiken Group Bhd that is +24.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (7227) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at UMS-Neiken Group Bhd grew +1.3 % a year. The price currently implies +24.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (7227) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (+24.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (7227)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.10 %: that much free cash flow UMS-Neiken Group Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (7227)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For UMS-Neiken Group Bhd it is 0.6600 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.8800 MYR. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is UMS-Neiken Group Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 7227 trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.8800 MYR, fair value 0.6600 MYR, a gap of about −25% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 7227?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.8800 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.6600 MYR). For UMS-Neiken Group Bhd the two are 0.2200 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is UMS-Neiken Group Bhd worth?
The market values UMS-Neiken Group Bhd at about 69.3M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.8800 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.6600 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 7227?
Our models span a range for UMS-Neiken Group Bhd: cautious scenario 0.4300 MYR, base 0.6600 MYR, optimistic 1.00 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.8800 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 7227?
UMS-Neiken Group Bhd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.6600 MYR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 1.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (7227)?
Balance-sheet figures for UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 7227 from its 52-week high?
UMS-Neiken Group Bhd trades at 0.8800 MYR, about 7% below its 52-week high of 0.9500 MYR and 10% above the low of 0.8000 MYR (as of Sep 21, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.6600 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to UMS-Neiken Group Bhd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, Prysmian S.p.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is UMS-Neiken Group Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.8800 MYR, calculated fair value 0.6600 MYR (−25%), Quality Score 55/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 7227 calculated?
We run UMS-Neiken Group Bhd through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.6600 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. UMS-Neiken Group Bhd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (7227)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was 0.8800 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.6600 MYR, about −25% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with UMS-Neiken Group Bhd right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (0.4300 MYR to 1.00 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of UMS-Neiken Group Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (7227)?
The market capitalisation of UMS-Neiken Group Bhd is 69.3M MYR (≈ $17.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (7227)?
The price-to-sales ratio of UMS-Neiken Group Bhd is 1.34 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (7227)?
Earnings per share at UMS-Neiken Group Bhd are 0.0400 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (7227)?
The dividend yield of UMS-Neiken Group Bhd is 3.4% (payout 75.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (7227)?
The net margin of UMS-Neiken Group Bhd is 6.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (7227)?
The return on equity (ROE) of UMS-Neiken Group Bhd is 3.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (7227)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of UMS-Neiken Group Bhd is 7.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (7227)?
The operating margin of UMS-Neiken Group Bhd is 1.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (7227)?
Revenue at UMS-Neiken Group Bhd is growing +1.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (7227)?
Earnings per share at UMS-Neiken Group Bhd are growing −50.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does UMS-Neiken Group Bhd (7227) carry?
The net debt of UMS-Neiken Group Bhd is 1.8M MYR (fiscal year 2017, ≈ 2.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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