China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited (80291) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
39‑month range HK$15.50 – HK$44.20 · fair‑value band HK$9.19 – HK$15.78 · the HK$15.74 price screens above the HK$12.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, distribution, and sale of alcoholic beverages in Mainland China. It offers beer and baijiu products under the Guizhou and Jinsha Huisha brands.
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China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, distribution, and sale of alcoholic beverages in Mainland China. It offers beer and baijiu products under the Guizhou and Jinsha Huisha brands. The company was formerly known as China Resources Enterprise, Limited and changed its name to China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited in October 2015. The company is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong. China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of CRH (Beer) Limited.
Stock analysis
China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited (80291) currently trades at HK$15.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$12.13, implying the stock looks roughly 29.8% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$11.71 per share, and 2 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$15.74 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$3.86, and 22 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$9.19 (bear) to HK$15.78 (bull), the price of HK$15.74 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Staples sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited reported revenue of HK$38.0B in FY2025 versus HK$35.3B in FY2022, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$3.4B in FY2025, compounding −8.1%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap HK$88.2B (≈ $11.3B) · P/S ratio 2.32 · EPS (TTM) HK$1.78 · Dividend yield 6.5% · Net margin 8.9% · Return on equity 8.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.4% · Operating margin −3.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Staples peers we cover trades at −75% fair-value upside, at −23%, 80291 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$9.19Fair Value HK$12.13Bull HK$15.78
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.5511 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.57/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−4.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−10.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.5%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.16% → 14%
Compare China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Brewers” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Consumer Staples · 1785 stocks
Beats the sector median on 10/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Above median
Fair Value upside+34% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)−3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)6.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Staples median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/80291
Frequently asked questions
Is China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited (80291) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$12.13 versus a price of HK$15.74, about −23% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 80291?
Our model-based fair value for China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited is HK$12.13 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$15.74.
What is the quality score of 80291?
China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited (80291)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$12.13 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$9.19, optimistic scenario HK$15.78. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$12.13, about −23% upside versus a price of HK$15.74 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$9.19, optimistic scenario HK$15.78. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited (80291)?
China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$38.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited pay a dividend?
China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.49% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited (80291)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited it is HK$12.13 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of HK$15.74. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 80291 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$15.74, fair value HK$12.13, a gap of about −23% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 80291?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$15.74); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$12.13). For China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited the two are HK$3.61 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited worth?
The market values China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited at about HK$88.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is HK$15.74; our models calculate a fair value of HK$12.13 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 80291?
Our models span a range for China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited: cautious scenario HK$9.19, base HK$12.13, optimistic HK$15.78 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price HK$15.74). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited (80291)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 8.9%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 80291 from its 52-week high?
China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited trades at HK$15.74, about 39% below its 52-week high of HK$25.97 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$12.13 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Staples) we also value WINSOMBR, Winsome Breweries Limited, 500696, 500830, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price HK$15.74, calculated fair value HK$12.13 (−23%), Quality Score 62/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 80291 calculated?
We run China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$12.13, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited (80291)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was HK$15.74. Our model-based fair value is HK$12.13, about −23% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited (80291)?
The market capitalisation of China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited is HK$88.2B (≈ $11.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited (80291)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited is 2.32 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited (80291)?
Earnings per share at China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited are HK$1.78. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited (80291)?
The dividend yield of China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited is 6.5% (payout 57.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited (80291)?
The net margin of China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited is 8.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited (80291)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited is 8.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited (80291)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited is 9.4% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited (80291)?
The operating margin of China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited is −3.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited (80291)?
Revenue at China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited is growing −5.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited (80291)?
Earnings per share at China Resources Beer (Holdings) Company Limited are growing +23.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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Thin data
Sep 13, 2026