AV Tech Corp (8072) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of AV Tech Corp TWD 16.07, price TWD 28.35, upside -43.3%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 19.18 TWD – 50.12 TWD · fair‑value band 12.75 TWD – 17.32 TWD · the 28.35 TWD price screens above the 16.07 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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AV TECH Corporation manufactures and sells surveillance products in Taiwan. The company offers network recorders, IP cameras and recorder, HD CCTV recorders and cameras, and peripherals, as well as PoE switches products.
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AV TECH Corporation manufactures and sells surveillance products in Taiwan. The company offers network recorders, IP cameras and recorder, HD CCTV recorders and cameras, and peripherals, as well as PoE switches products. It also provides central management system software for PCs; EagleEyes software; IP scan tool; and VWS Remote Desktop that allows simultaneous log in to recorders for remote monitoring. The company's products are used in various industries that includes chain stores, hotels, banks, apartment buildings/complexes, Wi-Fi surveillance, hospital and health institutions, manufacturing plants, shopping malls, museums, agriculture, construction sites, fitness centers and gyms, airports, train stations and metro, cloud storage, casinos, cyber defender, education, and private security. AV TECH Corporation was founded in 1996 and is based in New Taipei City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
AV Tech Corp (8072) currently trades at 28.35 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.07 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 76.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 23.34 TWD per share, and 1 of the 14 models we run sit above the 28.35 TWD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 7.44 TWD, and 13 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 12.75 TWD (bear) to 17.32 TWD (bull), the price of 28.35 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
AV Tech Corp reported revenue of 1.3B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.4B TWD in FY2021, a compound −1.3%/yr. Reported net income was 89.0M TWD in FY2025, compounding +30.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.6B TWD (≈ $81.6M) · P/E ratio 25.5 · P/S ratio 1.77 · EPS (TTM) 1.11 TWD · Dividend yield 3.7% · Net margin 6.9% · Return on equity 4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −43%, 8072 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 12.75 TWDFair Value 16.07 TWDBull 17.32 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.8150 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.27/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+36.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.2% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+23.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+20.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.20% vs −3%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → 5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronics & Computer Distribution · 154 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−43% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth35% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.7% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronics & Computer Distribution median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)25.5× · Pricier than median
P/B1.13× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)1.89× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA32.5× · Priciest 25%
PEG4.10× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 55
PAST (return on equity)16· sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)74· sector 64
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 16.07 TWD versus a price of 28.35 TWD, about −43% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8072?
Our model-based fair value for AV Tech Corp is 16.07 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 28.35 TWD.
What is the quality score of 8072?
AV Tech Corp has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AV Tech Corp (8072)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 16.07 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 12.75 TWD, optimistic scenario 17.32 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AV Tech Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 16.07 TWD, about −43% upside versus a price of 28.35 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 12.75 TWD, optimistic scenario 17.32 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AV Tech Corp (8072)?
AV Tech Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does AV Tech Corp pay a dividend?
AV Tech Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.68% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of AV Tech Corp (8072)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AV Tech Corp it is 16.07 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 28.35 TWD. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AV Tech Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 8072 trades above its calculated fair value: price 28.35 TWD, fair value 16.07 TWD, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8072?
No. The price is what the market pays today (28.35 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (16.07 TWD). For AV Tech Corp the two are 12.28 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AV Tech Corp worth?
The market values AV Tech Corp at about 2.6B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 28.35 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 16.07 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8072?
Our models span a range for AV Tech Corp: cautious scenario 12.75 TWD, base 16.07 TWD, optimistic 17.32 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 28.35 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 8072?
AV Tech Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 16.07 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 4.1, P/B 1.1, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 32.5.
What is the PEG ratio of 8072?
The PEG ratio of AV Tech Corp is 4.10 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of AV Tech Corp (8072)?
Balance-sheet figures for AV Tech Corp (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8072 from its 52-week high?
AV Tech Corp trades at 28.35 TWD, about 16% below its 52-week high of 33.71 TWD and 11% above the low of 25.45 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 16.07 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AV Tech Corp?
From the same area (Technology) we also value TD SYNNEX Corporation, Unisplendour Corporation, Rexel S.A, Arrow Electronics, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AV Tech Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 28.35 TWD, calculated fair value 16.07 TWD (−43%), Quality Score 51/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8072 calculated?
We run AV Tech Corp through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 16.07 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. AV Tech Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AV Tech Corp (8072)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 28.35 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 16.07 TWD, about −43% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AV Tech Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (17.32 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of AV Tech Corp (8072) come from?
Earnings per share at AV Tech Corp grew −4.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −2.2 %, EBIT margin −11.4 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +10.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of AV Tech Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of AV Tech Corp (8072)?
The market capitalisation of AV Tech Corp is 2.6B TWD (≈ $81.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AV Tech Corp (8072)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AV Tech Corp is 1.77 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AV Tech Corp (8072)?
Earnings per share at AV Tech Corp are 1.11 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of AV Tech Corp (8072)?
The dividend yield of AV Tech Corp is 3.7% (payout 93.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of AV Tech Corp (8072)?
The net margin of AV Tech Corp is 6.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AV Tech Corp (8072)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AV Tech Corp is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AV Tech Corp (8072)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AV Tech Corp is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AV Tech Corp (8072)?
The operating margin of AV Tech Corp is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AV Tech Corp (8072)?
Revenue at AV Tech Corp is growing +34.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AV Tech Corp (8072)?
Earnings per share at AV Tech Corp are growing −23.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does AV Tech Corp (8072) generate?
The free cash flow of AV Tech Corp is −68.8M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does AV Tech Corp (8072) hold?
AV Tech Corp holds more cash than debt, 291M TWD net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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