Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd (8106) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd HK$0.17, price HK$0.28, upside -39.3%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0470 – HK$0.5300 · fair‑value band HK$0.1500 – HK$0.2000 · the HK$0.2800 price screens above the HK$0.1700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Xinhua Lande Scitech Co., Limited, an investment holding company, trades in hardware and computer software in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Provision of Smart City Solutions; Trading of Hardware and Computer Software; and Provision of E-commerce Operation Solution Services.
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Xinhua Lande Scitech Co., Limited, an investment holding company, trades in hardware and computer software in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Provision of Smart City Solutions; Trading of Hardware and Computer Software; and Provision of E-commerce Operation Solution Services. The company also offers sourcing; system installation, integration, enhancement, and maintenance; and software development, technical support, and other value-added services. It serves the mobile Internet service industry. The company was formerly known as Shenghua Lande Scitech Limited and changed its name to Xinhua Lande Scitech Co., Limited in December 2025. Xinhua Lande Scitech Co., Limited was founded in 1996 and is based in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd (8106) currently trades at HK$0.2800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1700, 39.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$0.2800 per share, and 4 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$0.2800 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0200, and 20 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.1500 (bear) to HK$0.2000 (bull), the price of HK$0.2800 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd reported revenue of 230M CNY in FY2025 versus 206M CNY in FY2021, a compound +2.8%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1M CNY in FY2025, compounding +13.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$168M (≈ $21.4M) · P/S ratio 0.73 · Net margin 0.5% · Return on equity 2.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.5% · Operating margin 2.9% · Revenue (TTM) 230M CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) +1.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −39%, 8106 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.1500Fair Value HK$0.1700Bull HK$0.2000
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+24.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.5% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−25.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−25.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 0%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+16.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +14.8% a year for the price.
Compare Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electronics & Computer Distribution · 155 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−39.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2.3% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets2.4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)2.9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1.9% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Electronics & Computer Distribution median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.44× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.09× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF4.5× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)10· sector 63
PAST (return on equity)9· sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 62
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8106
Frequently asked questions
Is Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd (8106) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1700 versus a price of HK$0.2800, about −39% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8106?
Our model-based fair value for Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd is HK$0.1700 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2800.
What is the quality score of 8106?
Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd (8106)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1700 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1500, optimistic scenario HK$0.2000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1700, about −39% upside versus a price of HK$0.2800 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1500, optimistic scenario HK$0.2000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd (8106)?
Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 230M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd (8106)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +16.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.6 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 8106 use?
Our models discount Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd that is +16.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd (8106) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd grew -0.6 % a year. The price currently implies +16.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd (8106) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd (+16.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd (8106)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.96 %: that much free cash flow Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd (8106)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd it is HK$0.1700 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2800. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 8106 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2800, fair value HK$0.1700, a gap of about −39% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8106?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2800); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1700). For Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd the two are HK$0.1100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd worth?
The market values Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd at about HK$168M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2800; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8106?
Our models span a range for Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1500, base HK$0.1700, optimistic HK$0.2000 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.2800). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd (8106)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 2.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8106 from its 52-week high?
Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd trades at HK$0.2800, about 44% below its 52-week high of HK$0.5000 and 12% above the low of HK$0.2500 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value TD SYNNEX Corporation, Unisplendour Corporation, Rexel S.A, Arrow Electronics, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.2800, calculated fair value HK$0.1700 (−39%), Quality Score 70/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8106 calculated?
We run Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd (8106)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.2800. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1700, about −39% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd right now?
A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2000). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd (8106)?
The market capitalisation of Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd is HK$168M (≈ $21.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd (8106)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd is 0.73 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd (8106)?
The net margin of Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd is 0.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd (8106)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd is 2.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd (8106)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd is −6.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd (8106)?
The operating margin of Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd (8106)?
Revenue at Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd is growing +1.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd (8106)?
Earnings per share at Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd are growing −19.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd (8106) carry?
The net debt of Shenghua Lande Scitech Ltd is 9.8M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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