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8120 (8120) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · Market cap HK$374M

8 8120 8120 · HK
PriceHK$2.30
Fair ValueHK$0.6200
Upside-73.0%
Quality65/100
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Evidence: Low Range HK$0.4100 – HK$0.8200

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated today

Share price −10.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$2.84 HK$0.3750 Fair Value HK$0.6200 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$0.3750 – HK$2.84 · fair‑value band HK$0.4100 – HK$0.8200 · the HK$2.30 price screens above the HK$0.6200 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

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Analysis

8120 (8120) currently trades at HK$2.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.6200 — implying the stock looks roughly 73.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, 8120 generated revenue of HK$86.5M at a net margin of -28.8%. Revenue declined 47.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -57.3%. Net debt stands at HK$8.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$86.5M
Revenue growth (YoY) -47.1%
Net margin -28.8%
Return on equity -57.3%
Free cash flow HK$8.4M FY2025
Operating margin -18.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.1500
Net debt HK$8.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

8120 reported revenue of HK$86.5M in FY2025 versus HK$165M in FY2021, a compound −14.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$24.9M in FY2025.

Revenue −14.9%/yr
FY21 HK$165M
FY22 HK$142M
FY23 HK$157M
FY24 HK$134M
FY25 HK$86.5M
Net income
FY21 −HK$20.6M
FY22 −HK$18.8M
FY23 −HK$45.3M
FY24 −HK$38.4M
FY25 −HK$24.9M

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Similar stocks

6 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McDonald's Corporation MCD 4,928 MXN 151.27 MXN -97%
Starbucks Corporation SBUX C$27.68 C$5.93 -79%
Compass Group CMPGF $32.84 $18.80 -43%
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMGS C$12.49 C$7.20 -42%
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM $150.87 $71.29 -53%
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR $72.66 $34.01 -53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 8120 (8120) undervalued?
As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.6200 versus a price of HK$2.30 — about −73% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 8120?
Our model-based fair value for 8120 is HK$0.6200 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$2.30.
What is the quality score of 8120?
8120 has a Quality Score of 65/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 8120 (8120)?
8120 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$86.5M (latest available figure, as of Jul 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8120?
The net profit margin of 8120 is about -28.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.