Good Fellow Healthcare Holdings Ltd (8143) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · HK · Market cap HK$82.3M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −18.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 25% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0459). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0450 – HK$0.4600 · fair‑value band HK$0.0357 – HK$0.0459 · the HK$0.0570 price screens above the HK$0.0425 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Good Fellow Healthcare Holdings Ltd (8143) currently trades at HK$0.0570, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0425, implying the stock looks roughly 25.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Good Fellow Healthcare Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$20.1M at a net margin of -62.4%. Revenue grew 68.2% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$12.9M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0357 (bear case) to HK$0.0459 (bull case); at HK$0.0570, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 80% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -25%, 8143 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.0400) versus DCF Models (HK$0.0300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Good Fellow Healthcare Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides general hospital services in the People's Republic of China. Its general hospital services include medical and surgical wards, and medical checkup and examination. The company also offers medical investment and hospital management services.
Full company description
Good Fellow Healthcare Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides general hospital services in the People's Republic of China. Its general hospital services include medical and surgical wards, and medical checkup and examination. The company also offers medical investment and hospital management services. The company was formerly known as Hua Xia Healthcare Holdings Limited and changed its name to Good Fellow Healthcare Holdings Limited in February 2019. Good Fellow Healthcare Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2001 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong. Good Fellow Healthcare Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Solar Star Global Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Good Fellow Healthcare Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$20.1M in FY2026 versus HK$54.2M in FY2022, a compound −22.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$12.5M in FY2026.
8143 screens 25% overvalued. Compare with HCA Healthcare, Inc →
Peer Group
Medical Care Facilities · 266 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Medical Care Facilities median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCA Healthcare, Inc HCA | $414.59 | $547.67 | +32% |
| Fresenius SE FRE | €46.82 | €32.15 | -31% |
| Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 | 235.00 SAR | 112.37 SAR | -52% |
| IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, Q0F | 2.67 SGD | 1.44 SGD | -46% |
| Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC | $266.79 | $330.25 | +24% |
| Rede D'Or São Luiz S.A RDOR3 | R$33.97 | R$47.31 | +39% |
| Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP | ₹8,565 | ₹2,955 | -65% |
| Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 | ¥8.87 | ¥7.67 | -14% |
| Max Healthcare Institute Limited MAXHEALTH | ₹1,008 | ₹284.87 | -72% |
| Bangkok Dusit Medical Services Public Company BDMS | 19.70 THB | 18.57 THB | -6% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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