AV Promotions Holdings Ltd (8419) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$30.4M (≈ $3.9M) · ISIN KYG069861063
What is AV Promotions Holdings Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 28% below our fair value of HK$0.1048.
As of Aug 27, 2026, the fair value of AV Promotions Holdings Ltd is HK$0.1048 per share against a price of HK$0.0750, so the fair value sits 40% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 27, 2026, revised from HK$0.1059 to HK$0.1048 (−1.1%) since Aug 24, 2026. Share price +8.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (33/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0510 – HK$0.5100 · fair‑value band HK$0.0761 – HK$0.1316 · the HK$0.0750 price screens below the HK$0.1048 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
AV Promotions Holdings Ltd (8419) currently trades at HK$0.0750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1048, implying the stock looks roughly 28.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Over the trailing twelve months, AV Promotions Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$108M at a net margin of −5.2%. Revenue declined 16.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −10.2%. Net debt stands at HK$52.9M. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0761 (bear case) to HK$0.1316 (bull case); at HK$0.0750, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at 40%, 8419 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.5800) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0900). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (67).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
AV Promotions Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides visual, lighting, and audio solutions services in Hong Kong, Macau, and the People's Republic of China.
Full company description
AV Promotions Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides visual, lighting, and audio solutions services in Hong Kong, Macau, and the People's Republic of China. The company provides video production services; advice on the technical feasibility for our customers' visual; lighting and audio designs; sourcing of appropriate equipment; on-site installation of equipment; and providing on-show technical support to post-show equipment dismantling. It offers creative and innovative solutions for different events such as concerts, car shows, book fairs, brands and products expo, awards ceremonies, beauty pageant contests, auctions, promotional events, fashion shows, exhibitions, conferences, and commercial events, as well as private events such as wedding banquets. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Ap Lei Chau, Hong Kong. AV Promotions Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Mega King Elite Investment Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AV Promotions Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$108M in FY2025 versus HK$167M in FY2021, a compound −10.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$5.6M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Specialty Business Services · 248 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cintas Corporation CTAS | $200.47 | $95.19 | −53% |
| RELX PLC RELX | $34.55 | $32.24 | −7% |
| Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI | C$146.24 | C$97.41 | −33% |
| Copart, Inc CPRT | $33.72 | $28.59 | −15% |
| Global Payments Inc GPN | $91.05 | $68.98 | −24% |
| RB Global, Inc RBA | C$119.68 | C$68.30 | −43% |
| Brambles Limited BXB | A$19.47 | A$17.27 | −11% |
| UL Solutions Inc ULS | $74.43 | $33.62 | −55% |
| Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL | €68.88 | €101.27 | +47% |
| Aramark ARMK | $59.08 | $13.18 | −78% |
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