Universe Printshop Holdings Ltd (8448) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$147M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −20.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 71% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.3655). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0950 – HK$1.89 · fair‑value band HK$0.2210 – HK$0.3655 · the HK$1.00 price screens above the HK$0.2890 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Universe Printshop Holdings Ltd (8448) currently trades at HK$1.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2890, implying the stock looks roughly 71.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Universe Printshop Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$180M at a net margin of 0.9%. Revenue grew 82.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.2%. Net debt stands at HK$17.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2210 (bear case) to HK$0.3655 (bull case); at HK$1.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -38% fair-value upside, at -71%, 8448 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.3600) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Universe Printshop Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides general printing services in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and internationally. It operates in Provision of General Printing Services and Trading of Printing Equipment and Consumables segments. The company provides offset, ink-jet, and toner-based digital printing services.
Full company description
Universe Printshop Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides general printing services in Hong Kong, Mainland China, and internationally. It operates in Provision of General Printing Services and Trading of Printing Equipment and Consumables segments. The company provides offset, ink-jet, and toner-based digital printing services. It also offers printing-related products, such as pre-ink stamps, plastic name-cards, printed eco-bags, and printed plastic folders; stationery, advertisements, periodicals, directories, and catalogues; and post-press treatment services, including varnishing, binding, and laminating. In addition, the company is involved in the provision of warehousing, inventory management, and distribution services; and pre-press processing services, as well as trades in printing-related raw materials, machinery, and equipment. The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Tsuen Wan, Hong Kong. Universe Printshop Holdings Limited is a former subsidiary of New Metro Global Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Universe Printshop Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$180M in FY2026 versus HK$114M in FY2022, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was HK$1.6M in FY2026.
of which total revenue +3.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +32.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
8448 screens 71% overvalued. Compare with Cintas Corporation →
Peer Group
Specialty Business Services · 249 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cintas Corporation CTAS | $205.28 | $95.19 | -54% |
| RELX PLC RELX | $34.55 | $32.24 | -7% |
| Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI | C$142.85 | C$70.40 | -51% |
| Copart, Inc CPRT | $28.99 | $28.59 | -1% |
| Global Payments Inc GPN | $88.53 | $68.98 | -22% |
| RB Global, Inc RBA | C$120.52 | C$49.14 | -59% |
| Brambles Limited BXB | A$19.89 | A$12.28 | -38% |
| UL Solutions Inc ULS | $76.68 | $33.62 | -56% |
| Aramark ARMK | $60.35 | $13.18 | -78% |
| ISS A/S ISS | kr 288.20 | kr 251.13 | -13% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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