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The Nisshin OilliO Group (8WC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 26, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of The Nisshin OilliO Group stock €10.86, price €11.91, upside -8.8%, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · DE · Home Japan · ISIN JP3677200002

TN The Nisshin OilliO Group logo Some data Oct 26, 2026

The Nisshin OilliO Group

8WC · F

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

The stock costs about what our calculation considers fair.

Low debt
Fair value €10.86 · Fairly valued (−8.8%)
Thin margins · 1.9% net margin (TTM)
2.9% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Some data
Quality 36/100
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −0.1 %/yr in JPY)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 33/100 · thin data
⚠ DilutionPrice via web search⚠ Thinly traded
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€12.15 €6.04 Fair Value €10.86 Aug 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €6.04 – €12.15 · fair‑value band €9.77 – €13.29 · the €11.91 price screens above the €10.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 26, 2026.

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Company profile

The Nisshin OilliO Group,Ltd. engages in food and ingredients business in Japan, rest of Asia, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Processed Oils and Fat Business; Oils, Fats, and Processed Foods/Materials Business; and Fine Chemicals Business.

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The company offers edible oil for use in household, commercial, and food processing applications; and food for the elderly and nursing care patients.

It also provides processed palm oil products, confectionery fats, margarines, shortenings; and chocolate-related products, household-use salad dressing, wellness food, MCT, lecithin, tocopherol, edible soybeans, and soy protein.

In addition, the company offers ingredients for cosmetics and toiletries, chemical products, plant-based industrial oils, detergents, antibacterial agents, and surfactants.

Further, it is involved in the provision of information systems and sales promotions; temporary staffing; sports facility operations; non-life insurance agency; and real estate leasing activities. The Nisshin OilliO Group,Ltd. was incorporated in 1907 and is headquartered in Chuo, Japan.

Stock analysis

The Nisshin OilliO Group (8WC) currently trades at €11.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €10.86, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.7%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €25.17 per share, and 7 of the 15 models we run sit above the €11.91 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €1.31, and 8 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €9.77 (bear) to €13.29 (bull), the price of €11.91 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.

The Nisshin OilliO Group reported revenue of ¥554B in FY2026 versus ¥433B in FY2022, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥24.0B in FY2026, compounding +29.3%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap €1.1B Small · P/E ratio 18.9 · EPS (TTM) €0.6300 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin 1.9% · Return on equity 5.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.3% · Operating margin 4.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 33 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 2% above its previous 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −9%, 8WC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €9.77 Fair Value €10.86 Bull €13.29
Price €11.91 · Upside -8.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.1664 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income €11.50 €12.79 €15.65 73
EPV €2.61 €3.62 €4.47 71
ROIC Compounder €2.61 €3.62 €4.47 69
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €10.12 €23.20 €29.76 63
PEG = 1.0 €3.88 €5.54 €7.20 55
EPV €2.61 €3.62 €4.47 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €2.90 €4.51 €6.14 65
DDM Multi-Stage €2.90 €4.08 €5.26 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple €23.45 €31.26 €39.08 63
P/S Multiple €18.98 €25.31 €31.63 58
P/B Multiple €52.91 €70.55 €88.19 55
EV/EBIT €7.34 €11.83 €16.32 64
EV/EBITDA €11.19 €16.97 €22.75 66
EV/Revenue €3.48 €7.60 €11.72 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.8600 €1.31 €1.64 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income €11.50 €12.79 €15.65 73
ROIC Compounder €2.61 €3.62 €4.47 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €17.62 €25.17 €32.72 65

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 48
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 6
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 60
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 68
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 76
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 65
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 79
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 25/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+2.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.9%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 3%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 635 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −8.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 5.2% · Below median
Return on assets 5.3% · Above median
Net margin (12 months) 1.9% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 4.2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 15.4% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 2.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.43× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 18.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.88× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months) 0.32× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 8.1× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)22 · sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)77 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)21 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)79 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)57 · sector 57

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Wilmar International Limited F34 3.31 SGD 5.87 SGD +77% vs 8WC
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥27.60 ¥41.84 +52% vs 8WC
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $24.80 $29.20 +18% vs 8WC
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥33.46 ¥36.81 +10% vs 8WC
Danone S.A BN €62.24 €50.65 −19% vs 8WC
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 84.37 CHF 59.51 −29% vs 8WC
Kerry Group KRZ €99.60 €60.33 −39% vs 8WC
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,224 ₹724.74 −41% vs 8WC
General Mills, Inc GIS $34.39 $19.61 −43% vs 8WC
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.61 ¥12.21 −52% vs 8WC

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The Nisshin OilliO Group · Fair Value
€10.86 −9%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Nisshin OilliO Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8WC

Frequently asked questions

Is The Nisshin OilliO Group (8WC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €10.86 versus a price of €11.91, about −9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 8WC?
Our model-based fair value for The Nisshin OilliO Group is €10.86 (as of Oct 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €11.91.
What is the quality score of 8WC?
The Nisshin OilliO Group has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for The Nisshin OilliO Group (8WC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €10.86 (as of Oct 26, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario €9.77, optimistic scenario €13.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the The Nisshin OilliO Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €10.86, about −9% upside versus a price of €11.91 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €9.77, optimistic scenario €13.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of The Nisshin OilliO Group (8WC)?
The Nisshin OilliO Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥575B (latest available figure, as of Oct 26, 2026).
Does The Nisshin OilliO Group pay a dividend?
The Nisshin OilliO Group currently shows a dividend yield of 2.86% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 26, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of The Nisshin OilliO Group (8WC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For The Nisshin OilliO Group it is €10.86 per share (as of Oct 26, 2026), against a price of €11.91. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is The Nisshin OilliO Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 26, 2026, 8WC trades above its calculated fair value: price €11.91, fair value €10.86, a gap of about −9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8WC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€11.91); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€10.86). For The Nisshin OilliO Group the two are €1.05 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is The Nisshin OilliO Group worth?
The market values The Nisshin OilliO Group at about €1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 26, 2026). Per share that is €11.91; our models calculate a fair value of €10.86 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8WC?
Our models span a range for The Nisshin OilliO Group: cautious scenario €9.77, base €10.86, optimistic €13.29 per share (as of Oct 26, 2026, price €11.91). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 8WC?
The Nisshin OilliO Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.9 (as of Oct 26, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €10.86 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 8.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of The Nisshin OilliO Group (8WC)?
Balance-sheet figures for The Nisshin OilliO Group (as of Oct 26, 2026): return on equity 5.2%, debt of 0.43 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8WC from its 52-week high?
The Nisshin OilliO Group trades at €11.91, about 2% above its previous 52-week high of €11.73 and 41% above the low of €8.47 (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €10.86 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to The Nisshin OilliO Group?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is The Nisshin OilliO Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 26, 2026: price €11.91, calculated fair value €10.86 (−9%), Quality Score 36/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8WC calculated?
We run The Nisshin OilliO Group through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €10.86, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.7 % above its aggregate fair value. The Nisshin OilliO Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of The Nisshin OilliO Group (8WC)?
The closing price on Oct 26, 2026 was €11.91. Our model-based fair value is €10.86, about −9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with The Nisshin OilliO Group right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of The Nisshin OilliO Group

How large is the market capitalisation of The Nisshin OilliO Group (8WC)?
The market capitalisation of The Nisshin OilliO Group is €1.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of The Nisshin OilliO Group (8WC)?
Earnings per share at The Nisshin OilliO Group are €0.6300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of The Nisshin OilliO Group (8WC)?
The dividend yield of The Nisshin OilliO Group is 2.9% (payout 54.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of The Nisshin OilliO Group (8WC)?
The net margin of The Nisshin OilliO Group is 1.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of The Nisshin OilliO Group (8WC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of The Nisshin OilliO Group is 5.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of The Nisshin OilliO Group (8WC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of The Nisshin OilliO Group is 4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of The Nisshin OilliO Group (8WC)?
The operating margin of The Nisshin OilliO Group is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at The Nisshin OilliO Group (8WC)?
Revenue at The Nisshin OilliO Group is growing +15.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at The Nisshin OilliO Group (8WC)?
Earnings per share at The Nisshin OilliO Group are growing −78.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does The Nisshin OilliO Group (8WC) generate?
The free cash flow of The Nisshin OilliO Group is −¥18.8B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does The Nisshin OilliO Group (8WC) carry?
The net debt of The Nisshin OilliO Group is ¥98.9B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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