9538 Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · Market cap 178M SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price +5.5% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (16.67 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 21.50 SAR – 1,000,000 SAR · fair‑value band 10.00 SAR – 16.67 SAR · the 23.00 SAR price screens above the 13.34 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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9538 (9538) currently trades at 23.00 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 13.34 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 42.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, 9538 generated revenue of 228M SAR at a net margin of 2.3%. Revenue declined 11.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 29.6M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 10.00 SAR (bear case) to 16.67 SAR (bull case); at 23.00 SAR, the current price sits above that range. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at -42%, 9538 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
9538 reported revenue of 228M SAR in FY2025 versus 194M SAR in FY2021, a compound +4.0%/yr. Reported net income was 5.2M SAR in FY2025, compounding −29.4%/yr from FY2021.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| International Business Machines Corporation IBM | C$38.97 | C$32.10 | -18% |
| Accenture plc ACNN | 2,981 MXN | 250.14 MXN | -92% |
| Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS | ₹2,199 | ₹1,863 | -15% |
| Infosys Limited INFY | ₹1,156 | ₹1,457 | +26% |
| HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH | ₹1,155 | ₹1,220 | +6% |
| Fiserv, Inc F1IS34 | R$138.03 | R$210.65 | +53% |
| Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation CTSH | 961.80 MXN | 94.31 MXN | -90% |
| Wipro Limited WIPRO | ₹180.18 | ₹247.85 | +38% |
| Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM | ₹1,484 | ₹987.96 | -33% |
| LTM Limited LTM | ₹3,830 | ₹4,115 | +7% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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