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9549 Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · Market cap 93.8M SAR

9 9549 9549 · SR
Price27.58 SAR
Fair Value42.00 SAR
Upside+52.3%
Quality48/100
Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 3.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Narrow moat 33/100
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Evidence: High Range 17.35 SAR – 52.50 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated today

Share price +12.6% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (17.35 SAR to 52.50 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

50.58 SAR 21.00 SAR Fair Value 42.00 SAR Aug 2024 Jul 2026

12‑month range 21.00 SAR – 50.58 SAR · fair‑value band 17.35 SAR – 52.50 SAR · the 27.58 SAR price screens below the 42.00 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

9549 (9549) currently trades at 27.58 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 42.00 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 52.3% undervalued today. We read business quality at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 9549 generated revenue of 245M SAR at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue grew 0.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.8%. Net debt stands at 14.1M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 17.35 SAR (bear case) to 52.50 SAR (bull case); at 27.58 SAR, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 52%, 9549 screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 245M SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.6%
Net margin 3.4%
Return on equity 11.8%
Free cash flow −4.0M SAR FY2025
P/E ratio 11.2
More key figures
Operating margin 3.1%
EPS (TTM) 2.47 SAR
EPS growth (YoY) +246%
Net debt 14.1M SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100
Profitability 53
Quality Growth 64
Cashflow 12
Fin. Strength 62
Investment 54
Low Volatility 67
Momentum 29
52W Momentum 22
Net Issuance 84

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

9549 reported revenue of 245M SAR in FY2025 versus 128M SAR in FY2021, a compound +17.7%/yr. Reported net income was 8.4M SAR in FY2025, compounding −14.7%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +17.7%/yr
FY21 128M SAR
FY22 127M SAR
FY23 144M SAR
FY24 204M SAR
FY25 245M SAR
Net income −14.7%/yr
FY21 15.9M SAR
FY22 14.4M SAR
FY23 5.8M SAR
FY24 5.4M SAR
FY25 8.4M SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "9549 Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9549

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 / 27
FUTURE 3 / 21
PAST 47 / 28
HEALTH 100 / 96
DIVIDEND 0 / 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,438 ₹362.37 -75%
Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 75.10 TWD 72.54 TWD -3%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,171 ₹1,966 -62%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,131 ₹339.05 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,575 IDR 13,311 IDR +102%
PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk INDF 6,250 IDR 22,853 IDR +266%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,000,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW +1%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹414.60 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,600 VND 68,035 VND +16%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,650 IDR 2,175 IDR +32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 9549 overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 42.00 SAR versus a price of 27.58 SAR, about +52% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9549?
Our model-based fair value for 9549 is 42.00 SAR (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 27.58 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9549?
9549 has a Quality Score of 48/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 9549?
9549 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 245M SAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 9549?
The net profit margin of 9549 is about 3.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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