Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 29, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Shalfa Facilities Management Company stock SAR 125, price SAR 66.55, upside +88.5%, quality 48 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
11‑month range 53.40 SAR – 67.55 SAR · fair‑value band 71.77 SAR – 156.78 SAR · the 66.55 SAR price screens below the 125.42 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 28, 2026.
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Shalfa Facilities Management Company provides facility management solutions and municipal services in Saudi Arabia.
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The company offers operation and maintenance services for the public and private sectors; and facility management services, such as help desk, concierge, operation and maintenance, janitorial, pest control, gardening, waste management, health and safety, space allocation and changes, and hospitality.
It also provides security and firefighting services; and environmental services, including waste management projects, sludge handling, and other types of hazardous waste.
In addition, the company undertakes general construction and infrastructure works comprising construction and maintenance of roads, bridges, tunnels, water and sewage networks, and pumping stations. Shalfa Facilities Management Company was founded in 1981 and is based in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613) currently trades at 66.55 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 125.42 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 46.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 273.42 SAR per share, and 18 of the 25 models we run sit above the 66.55 SAR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 13.56 SAR, and 7 of the 25 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 71.77 SAR (bear) to 156.78 SAR (bull), the price of 66.55 SAR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Shalfa Facilities Management Company reported revenue of 451M SAR in FY2025 versus 118M SAR in FY2021, a compound +39.9%/yr. Reported net income was 25.1M SAR in FY2025, compounding +23.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 280M SAR (≈ $74.5M) Micro · P/E ratio 7.9 · P/S ratio 0.50 · EPS (TTM) 8.46 SAR · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 6.3% · Return on equity 31.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 57 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at 88%, 9613 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear71.77 SARFair Value 125.42 SARBull156.78 SAR
Price 66.55 SAR · Upside +88.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (7.02 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+41.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+54.2%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+18.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+17.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 9%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+53.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Saudi Arabia: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +50.2% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Business Services · 231 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside+88.5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)31.1% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.7% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)6.3% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)8.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)60.3% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shalfa Facilities Management Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9613
Frequently asked questions
Is Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 125.42 SAR versus a price of 66.55 SAR, about +88% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9613?
Our model-based fair value for Shalfa Facilities Management Company is 125.42 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 66.55 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9613?
Shalfa Facilities Management Company has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 125.42 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario 71.77 SAR, optimistic scenario 156.78 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shalfa Facilities Management Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 125.42 SAR, about +88% upside versus a price of 66.55 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 71.77 SAR, optimistic scenario 156.78 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
Shalfa Facilities Management Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 558M SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 28, 2026).
Does Shalfa Facilities Management Company pay a dividend?
Shalfa Facilities Management Company currently shows a dividend yield of 0.74% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shalfa Facilities Management Company would have to grow free cash flow by +53.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +39.9 % per year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 9613 use?
Our models discount Shalfa Facilities Management Company at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shalfa Facilities Management Company that is +53.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Shalfa Facilities Management Company grew +39.9 % a year. The price currently implies +53.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Shalfa Facilities Management Company (+53.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.17 %: that much free cash flow Shalfa Facilities Management Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shalfa Facilities Management Company it is 125.42 SAR per share (as of Oct 28, 2026), against a price of 66.55 SAR. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shalfa Facilities Management Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 28, 2026, 9613 trades below its calculated fair value: price 66.55 SAR, fair value 125.42 SAR, a gap of about +88% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9613?
No. The price is what the market pays today (66.55 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (125.42 SAR). For Shalfa Facilities Management Company the two are 58.87 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shalfa Facilities Management Company worth?
The market values Shalfa Facilities Management Company at about 280M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 28, 2026). Per share that is 66.55 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 125.42 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9613?
Our models span a range for Shalfa Facilities Management Company: cautious scenario 71.77 SAR, base 125.42 SAR, optimistic 156.78 SAR per share (as of Oct 28, 2026, price 66.55 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9613?
Shalfa Facilities Management Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.9 (as of Oct 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 125.42 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.5, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 3.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shalfa Facilities Management Company (as of Oct 28, 2026): return on equity 31.1%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Shalfa Facilities Management Company?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Cintas Corporation, Thomson Reuters Corporation, Copart, Inc, Global Payments Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shalfa Facilities Management Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 28, 2026: price 66.55 SAR, calculated fair value 125.42 SAR (+88%), Quality Score 48/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9613 calculated?
We run Shalfa Facilities Management Company through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 125.42 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Shalfa Facilities Management Company currently trades 47 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
The closing price on Oct 29, 2026 was 66.55 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 125.42 SAR, about +88% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shalfa Facilities Management Company right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (71.77 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (71.77 SAR to 156.78 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Shalfa Facilities Management Company
How large is the market capitalisation of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
The market capitalisation of Shalfa Facilities Management Company is 280M SAR (≈ $74.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shalfa Facilities Management Company is 0.50 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
Earnings per share at Shalfa Facilities Management Company are 8.46 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
The dividend yield of Shalfa Facilities Management Company is 0.7% (payout 5.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
The net margin of Shalfa Facilities Management Company is 6.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shalfa Facilities Management Company is 31.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shalfa Facilities Management Company is 13.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
The operating margin of Shalfa Facilities Management Company is 8.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
Revenue at Shalfa Facilities Management Company is growing +60.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +54.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
Earnings per share at Shalfa Facilities Management Company are growing +126% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613) carry?
The net debt of Shalfa Facilities Management Company is 44.7M SAR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 13.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Oct 28, 2026