Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Shalfa Facilities Management Company is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
9‑month range 53.40 SAR – 64.85 SAR · fair‑value band 70.84 SAR – 162.46 SAR · the 59.50 SAR price screens below the 125.42 SAR fair value. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Shalfa Facilities Management Company provides facility management solutions and municipal services in Saudi Arabia.
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Shalfa Facilities Management Company provides facility management solutions and municipal services in Saudi Arabia. The company offers operation and maintenance services for the public and private sectors; and facility management services, such as help desk, concierge, operation and maintenance, janitorial, pest control, gardening, waste management, health and safety, space allocation and changes, and hospitality. It also provides security and firefighting services; and environmental services, including waste management projects, sludge handling, and other types of hazardous waste. In addition, the company undertakes general construction and infrastructure works comprising construction and maintenance of roads, bridges, tunnels, water and sewage networks, and pumping stations. Shalfa Facilities Management Company was founded in 1981 and is based in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613) currently trades at 59.50 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 125.42 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 52.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 273.42 SAR per share, and 19 of the 25 models we run sit above the 59.50 SAR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 17.96 SAR, and 6 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 70.84 SAR (bear) to 162.46 SAR (bull), the price of 59.50 SAR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Shalfa Facilities Management Company reported revenue of 451M SAR in FY2025 versus 118M SAR in FY2021, a compound +39.9%/yr. Reported net income was 25.1M SAR in FY2025, compounding +23.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 250M SAR (≈ $66.6M) · P/E ratio 10.0 · P/S ratio 0.55 · EPS (TTM) 5.97 SAR · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 5.6% · Return on equity 25.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 111%, 9613 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 70.84 SARFair Value 125.42 SARBull 162.46 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (4.22 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+41.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+54.2%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+18.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+17.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 9%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+51.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Shalfa Facilities Management Company with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Business Services · 247 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside+112% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)25% · Top 25%
Return on assets9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)11% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth63% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shalfa Facilities Management Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9613
Frequently asked questions
Is Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 125.42 SAR versus a price of 59.50 SAR, about +111% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9613?
Our model-based fair value for Shalfa Facilities Management Company is 125.42 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 59.50 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9613?
Shalfa Facilities Management Company has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 125.42 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario 70.84 SAR, optimistic scenario 162.46 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shalfa Facilities Management Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 125.42 SAR, about +111% upside versus a price of 59.50 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 70.84 SAR, optimistic scenario 162.46 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
Shalfa Facilities Management Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 451M SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Shalfa Facilities Management Company pay a dividend?
Shalfa Facilities Management Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.81% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shalfa Facilities Management Company would have to grow free cash flow by +51.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +39.9 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 9613 use?
Our models discount Shalfa Facilities Management Company at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shalfa Facilities Management Company that is +51.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Shalfa Facilities Management Company grew +39.9 % a year. The price currently implies +51.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Shalfa Facilities Management Company (+51.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.31 %: that much free cash flow Shalfa Facilities Management Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shalfa Facilities Management Company it is 125.42 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 59.50 SAR. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shalfa Facilities Management Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 9613 trades below its calculated fair value: price 59.50 SAR, fair value 125.42 SAR, a gap of about +111% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9613?
No. The price is what the market pays today (59.50 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (125.42 SAR). For Shalfa Facilities Management Company the two are 65.92 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shalfa Facilities Management Company worth?
The market values Shalfa Facilities Management Company at about 250M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 59.50 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 125.42 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9613?
Our models span a range for Shalfa Facilities Management Company: cautious scenario 70.84 SAR, base 125.42 SAR, optimistic 162.46 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 59.50 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9613?
Shalfa Facilities Management Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.0 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 125.42 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shalfa Facilities Management Company (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 25.1%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9613 from its 52-week high?
Shalfa Facilities Management Company trades at 59.50 SAR, about 8% below its 52-week high of 64.95 SAR and 12% above the low of 53.00 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 125.42 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shalfa Facilities Management Company?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Cintas Corporation, RELX PLC, Thomson Reuters Corporation, Copart, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shalfa Facilities Management Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 59.50 SAR, calculated fair value 125.42 SAR (+111%), Quality Score 49/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9613 calculated?
We run Shalfa Facilities Management Company through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 125.42 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Shalfa Facilities Management Company currently trades 111 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
The closing price on Sep 15, 2026 was 59.50 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 125.42 SAR, about +111% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shalfa Facilities Management Company right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (70.84 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (70.84 SAR to 162.46 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Shalfa Facilities Management Company
How large is the market capitalisation of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
The market capitalisation of Shalfa Facilities Management Company is 250M SAR (≈ $66.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shalfa Facilities Management Company is 0.55 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
Earnings per share at Shalfa Facilities Management Company are 5.97 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
The dividend yield of Shalfa Facilities Management Company is 0.8% (payout 8.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
The net margin of Shalfa Facilities Management Company is 5.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shalfa Facilities Management Company is 25.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shalfa Facilities Management Company is 13.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
The operating margin of Shalfa Facilities Management Company is 11.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
Revenue at Shalfa Facilities Management Company is growing +63.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +54.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613)?
Earnings per share at Shalfa Facilities Management Company are growing +7.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Shalfa Facilities Management Company (9613) carry?
The net debt of Shalfa Facilities Management Company is 44.7M SAR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 13.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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