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Choice Development, Inc (9929) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TW · Market cap 1.1B TWD

CD Choice Development, Inc 9929 · TW
Price11.45 TWD
Fair Value16.01 TWD
Upside+39.8%
Quality62/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 4.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/10)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: High Range 10.72 TWD – 21.30 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price +4.6% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 40% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (10.72 TWD to 21.30 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

19.00 TWD 7.63 TWD Fair Value 16.01 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 7.63 TWD – 19.00 TWD · fair‑value band 10.72 TWD – 21.30 TWD · the 11.45 TWD price screens below the 16.01 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Choice Development, Inc (9929) currently trades at 11.45 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.01 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 39.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Choice Development, Inc generated revenue of 646M TWD at a net margin of 4.2%. Revenue declined 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.2%. Net debt stands at 522M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 10.72 TWD (bear case) to 21.30 TWD (bull case); at 11.45 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 40%, 9929 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 14.77 TWD 18.18 TWD 23.46 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 8.40 TWD 9.54 TWD 11.14 TWD 74
ROIC Compounder 3.55 TWD 3.69 TWD 3.81 TWD 72
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 14.38 TWD 17.98 TWD 24.02 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 13.91 TWD 17.37 TWD 23.17 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 8.40 TWD 9.23 TWD 10.41 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 15.37 TWD 21.28 TWD 29.12 TWD 41
10Y Revenue Exit 10.96 TWD 11.78 TWD 12.50 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 14.85 TWD 18.59 TWD 22.52 TWD 37
Earnings-Based
EPV 3.55 TWD 3.69 TWD 3.81 TWD 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 3.11 TWD 3.35 TWD 3.71 TWD 70
DDM Multi-Stage 3.11 TWD 3.70 TWD 4.46 TWD 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT 4.34 TWD 4.94 TWD 5.54 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 18.41 TWD 23.70 TWD 28.99 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 3.82 TWD 4.37 TWD 4.93 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 3.86 TWD 5.17 TWD 7.71 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 14.77 TWD 18.18 TWD 23.46 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 8.40 TWD 9.54 TWD 11.14 TWD 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 3.55 TWD 3.69 TWD 3.81 TWD 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models (17.37 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (3.35 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 646M TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.3%
Net margin 4.2%
Return on equity 3.2%
Free cash flow 148M TWD FY2025
Operating margin 12.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.0700 TWD
EPS growth (YoY) +200%
Net debt 522M TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 91
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 20
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Choice Development, Inc., doing business as Choice Printing Group, operates as a publication printer in Taiwan. It operates through the Printing, Advertising, Innovation, and Development segments.

Full company description

Choice Development, Inc., doing business as Choice Printing Group, operates as a publication printer in Taiwan. It operates through the Printing, Advertising, Innovation, and Development segments. The company engages in printing; paper folding and binding; photography; design; retail sale of medical equipment; general advertising services; and industrial factory development and rental. It also provides general advertising services; housing and building development and rental; and pre-press services, including CTP and FTP. In addition, the company offers print services, such as sheeting machine; post-processing, various origami, rolling, pasting, embossing, debossing, and scratch cards, as well as thermal paper, gift vouchers, labels, and stickers. Further, it provides binding services comprising saddle stitch and glue binding; packaging, shrink film, and self-adhesive bags; square and round back hardcover; double iron coil binding; different types of varnishing that include water-based, UV, surface PP, hot stamping, and embossing; and manual processing services. Choice Development, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Choice Development, Inc reported revenue of 650M TWD in FY2025 versus 591M TWD in FY2021, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was −6.9M TWD in FY2025.

Growth Quality 37/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
650M TWD
Latest YoY
−0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.0%
Revenue +2.4%/yr
FY21 591M TWD
FY22 604M TWD
FY23 701M TWD
FY24 655M TWD
FY25 650M TWD
Net income
FY21 4.7M TWD
FY22 −82.8M TWD
FY23 −106M TWD
FY24 −13.9M TWD
FY25 −6.9M TWD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Choice Development, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9929

Peer Group

Specialty Business Services · 253 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside +40% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 86 · sector 25
FUTURE 0 · sector 27
PAST 13 · sector 33
HEALTH 99 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 54

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cintas Corporation CTAS $206.25 $95.30 -54%
RELX PLC RELX $33.70 $32.49 -4%
Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI C$133.87 C$70.40 -47%
Copart, Inc CPRT $27.61 $28.59 +4%
Global Payments Inc GPN $80.49 $69.67 -13%
RB Global, Inc RBA C$156.43 C$49.14 -69%
Brambles Limited BXB A$18.79 A$12.28 -35%
UL Solutions Inc ULS $87.76 $33.62 -62%
Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL €62.56 €103.99 +66%
Aramark ARMK $56.74 $13.73 -76%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Choice Development, Inc (9929) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 16.01 TWD versus a price of 11.45 TWD, about +40% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9929?
Our model-based fair value for Choice Development, Inc is 16.01 TWD (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 11.45 TWD.
What is the quality score of 9929?
Choice Development, Inc has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Choice Development, Inc (9929)?
Choice Development, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 646M TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 9929?
The net profit margin of Choice Development, Inc is about 4.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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