Peijia Medical Ltd (9996) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · HK · Market cap HK$2.7B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$2.15 to HK$1.08 (−49.8%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price +17.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$1.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.8000 to HK$1.61) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$2.25 – HK$37.40 · fair‑value band HK$0.8000 – HK$1.61 · the HK$5.03 price screens above the HK$1.08 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Peijia Medical Ltd (9996) currently trades at HK$5.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.08, implying the stock looks roughly 78.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Peijia Medical Ltd generated revenue of HK$713M at a net margin of -28.5%. Revenue grew 14.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$153M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.8000 (bear case) to HK$1.61 (bull case); at HK$5.03, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -79%, 9996 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Peijia Medical Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacturing, and sales of transcatheter valve therapeutic and neurointerventional procedural medical devices in the People's Republic of China.
Full company description
Peijia Medical Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacturing, and sales of transcatheter valve therapeutic and neurointerventional procedural medical devices in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Transcatheter Valve Therapeutic Business, Neurointerventional Business, and Future Technology Business segments. The company's products include transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) systems, crosslinked dry-tissue and polymeric tri leaflet TAVR systems, transcatheter aortic valve systems, lithotripsy valvuloplasty technology and interventional robotics technology, transseptal mitral valve replacement systems, transfemoral balloon catheter, introducer sheath, pre-shaped guidewire, detachable coils, balloon guide catheter, aspiration catheter, stent retriever, delivery balloon dilatation catheter, balloon dilatation catheter, microcatheter, micro guidewire, micro guidewire, guide catheter, distal access guide catheter, intermediate catheter, and power supply. In addition, it engages in the trading and holding business. Peijia Medical Limited was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Suzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Peijia Medical Ltd reported revenue of HK$713M in FY2025 versus HK$137M in FY2021, a compound +51.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$203M in FY2025.
9996 screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →
Peer Group
Medical Devices · 350 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abbott Laboratories, ABT | $110.91 | $74.79 | -33% |
| Stryker Corporation SYK | $347.21 | $186.28 | -46% |
| Medtronic plc MDT | $90.76 | $65.57 | -28% |
| Boston Scientific Corporation BSX | $51.42 | $38.44 | -25% |
| Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW | $93.05 | $41.02 | -56% |
| Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 | ¥153.60 | ¥147.63 | -4% |
| Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 | ¥110.50 | ¥43.60 | -61% |
| Demant A/S DEMANT | kr 289.60 | kr 161.17 | -44% |
| Getinge AB GETIB | kr 239.30 | kr 192.14 | -20% |
| Sectra AB SECTB | kr 280.00 | kr 66.81 | -76% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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