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Peijia Medical Ltd (9996) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · HK · Market cap HK$2.7B

PM Peijia Medical Ltd 9996 · HK
PriceHK$5.03
Fair ValueHK$1.08
Upside-78.5%
Quality43/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -28.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.8000 – HK$1.61 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$2.15 to HK$1.08 (−49.8%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price +17.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$1.61). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.8000 to HK$1.61) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$37.40 HK$2.25 Fair Value HK$1.08 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$2.25 – HK$37.40 · fair‑value band HK$0.8000 – HK$1.61 · the HK$5.03 price screens above the HK$1.08 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Peijia Medical Ltd (9996) currently trades at HK$5.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.08, implying the stock looks roughly 78.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Peijia Medical Ltd generated revenue of HK$713M at a net margin of -28.5%. Revenue grew 14.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$153M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.8000 (bear case) to HK$1.61 (bull case); at HK$5.03, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at -79%, 9996 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.38 HK$1.85 HK$2.76 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.38 HK$1.85 HK$2.76 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$713M
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.4%
Net margin -28.5%
Return on equity -10.7%
Free cash flow −HK$325M FY2025
Operating margin -36.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.1000
Net cash HK$153M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Peijia Medical Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacturing, and sales of transcatheter valve therapeutic and neurointerventional procedural medical devices in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

Peijia Medical Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacturing, and sales of transcatheter valve therapeutic and neurointerventional procedural medical devices in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Transcatheter Valve Therapeutic Business, Neurointerventional Business, and Future Technology Business segments. The company's products include transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) systems, crosslinked dry-tissue and polymeric tri leaflet TAVR systems, transcatheter aortic valve systems, lithotripsy valvuloplasty technology and interventional robotics technology, transseptal mitral valve replacement systems, transfemoral balloon catheter, introducer sheath, pre-shaped guidewire, detachable coils, balloon guide catheter, aspiration catheter, stent retriever, delivery balloon dilatation catheter, balloon dilatation catheter, microcatheter, micro guidewire, micro guidewire, guide catheter, distal access guide catheter, intermediate catheter, and power supply. In addition, it engages in the trading and holding business. Peijia Medical Limited was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Suzhou, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Peijia Medical Ltd reported revenue of HK$713M in FY2025 versus HK$137M in FY2021, a compound +51.2%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$203M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 29/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$713M
Latest YoY
+15.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+41.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+79.1%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+83.5%
Revenue +51.2%/yr
FY21 HK$137M
FY22 HK$251M
FY23 HK$441M
FY24 HK$615M
FY25 HK$713M
Net income
FY21 −HK$574M
FY22 −HK$408M
FY23 −HK$393M
FY24 −HK$227M
FY25 −HK$203M

9996 screens 79% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Peijia Medical Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9996

Peer Group

Medical Devices · 350 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −79% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -29% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -36% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.19× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.49× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 72 · sector 30
PAST 0 · sector 7
HEALTH 99 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $110.91 $74.79 -33%
Stryker Corporation SYK $347.21 $186.28 -46%
Medtronic plc MDT $90.76 $65.57 -28%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $51.42 $38.44 -25%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $93.05 $41.02 -56%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥153.60 ¥147.63 -4%
Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 ¥110.50 ¥43.60 -61%
Demant A/S DEMANT kr 289.60 kr 161.17 -44%
Getinge AB GETIB kr 239.30 kr 192.14 -20%
Sectra AB SECTB kr 280.00 kr 66.81 -76%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Peijia Medical Ltd (9996) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.08 versus a price of HK$5.03, about −79% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 9996?
Our model-based fair value for Peijia Medical Ltd is HK$1.08 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$5.03.
What is the quality score of 9996?
Peijia Medical Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Peijia Medical Ltd (9996)?
Peijia Medical Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$713M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 9996?
The net profit margin of Peijia Medical Ltd is about -28.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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