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Ascentage Pharma Group (AAPG) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $1.6B

AP Ascentage Pharma Group logo Ascentage Pharma Group AAPG · US
Price$17.01
Fair Value$9.40
Upside-44.7%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range $7.05 – $11.75

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $9.44 to $9.40 (−0.4%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −12.2% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$46.40 $16.24 Fair Value $9.40 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range $16.24 – $46.40 · fair‑value band $7.05 – $11.75 · the $17.01 price screens above the $9.40 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Ascentage Pharma Group (AAPG) currently trades at $17.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.40 — implying the stock looks roughly 44.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $574M. Revenue grew 117.0% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $491M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $574M
Revenue growth (YoY) +117%
Net margin -216%
Return on equity -155%
Free cash flow −$1.2B FY2025
Operating margin -193%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-2.06
Net cash $491M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Ascentage Pharma Group International, a clinical-stage biotechnology company, develops therapies for cancers, chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV), and age-related diseases in Mainland China. The company's primary product candidate is HQP1351, a BCR-ABL inhibitor targeting BCR-ABL1 mutants, including those with the T315I mutation. It also develops APG-2575, an oral administered Bcl-2 selective inhibitor for hematologic malignancies and solid tumors; APG-115, an oral small molecule inhibitor of the MDM2-p53 protein-protein interactions to treat solid tumors and hematological malignancies; and APG-1252, a small molecule drug to restore apoptosis through dual inhibition of the Bcl-2 and Bcl-xL proteins for the treatment of small-cell lung cancer, non-small cell lung cancer, neuroendocrine tumor, and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. In addition, the company is developing APG-1387, a small-molecule inhibitor of apoptosis proteins for advanced solid tumors and chronic HBV infection; APG-5918, an orally…

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ascentage Pharma Group reported revenue of $558M in FY2025 versus $27.9M in FY2021, a compound +111.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.2B in FY2025.

Revenue +111.5%/yr
FY21 $27.9M
FY22 $210M
FY23 $222M
FY24 $981M
FY25 $558M
Net income
FY21 −$782M
FY22 −$883M
FY23 −$926M
FY24 −$405M
FY25 −$1.2B

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UCB SA UCB €251.70 €180.06 -28%
argenx SE ARGNF $900.00 $390.80 -57%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Ascentage Pharma Group (AAPG) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.40 versus a price of $17.01 — about −45% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of AAPG?
Our 21-model fair value for Ascentage Pharma Group is $9.40 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $17.01.
What is the quality score of AAPG?
Ascentage Pharma Group has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Ascentage Pharma Group (AAPG)?
Ascentage Pharma Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $574M (latest available figure, as of Jun 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.