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ABC arbitrage SA (ABCCF) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $387M

AA ABC arbitrage SA logo ABC arbitrage SA ABCCF · US
Price$6.49
Fair Value$8.13
Upside+25.3%
Quality74/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 41.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.24% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Wide moat 72/100
Evidence: High Range $6.10 – $10.17 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 25, 2026, revised from $8.15 to $8.13 (−0.2%) since Jun 26, 2026.

A solid business, screening 25% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (74/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$6.89 $3.50 Fair Value $8.13 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.50 – $6.89 · fair‑value band $6.10 – $10.17 · the $6.49 price screens below the $8.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

ABC arbitrage SA (ABCCF) currently trades at $6.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.13, implying the stock looks roughly 25.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, ABC arbitrage SA generated revenue of $59.9M at a net margin of 41.9%. Revenue declined 18.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.0%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 13.2. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.10 (bear case) to $10.17 (bull case); at $6.49, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 25%, ABCCF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $4.62 $8.14 $13.67 80
Residual Income $2.66 $3.25 $7.08 76
Rev-Margin DCF $3.02 $5.02 $9.26 74
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
5Y P/E Exit $5.80 $13.23 $23.34 38
10Y P/E Exit $5.54 $12.51 $23.94 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.86 $19.95 $28.00 54
Lynch FV $10.31 $14.73 $19.14 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple $6.31 $8.42 $10.52 63
P/B Multiple $5.36 $7.15 $8.94 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.42 $1.91 $2.84 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $4.62 $8.14 $13.67 80
Rev-Margin DCF $3.02 $5.02 $9.26 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.66 $3.25 $7.08 76

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based ($14.73) versus Asset-Based ($1.91). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $59.9M
Revenue growth (YoY) -18.2%
Net margin 41.9%
Return on equity 15.0%
Free cash flow $22.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.2
More key figures
Operating margin 31.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.4900
Dividend yield 5.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -59.9%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 82
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 63
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ABC arbitrage SA, together with its subsidiaries, develops arbitrage strategies for liquid assets in Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally.

Full company description

ABC arbitrage SA, together with its subsidiaries, develops arbitrage strategies for liquid assets in Europe, North America, Asia, and internationally. It offers liquidity, statistical, risk, and derivatives arbitrage strategies; portfolio management services for financial instruments; and investment strategy advisory services for investors and professional clients. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Paris, France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ABC arbitrage SA reported revenue of $59.9M in FY2025 versus $64.3M in FY2021, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was $25.1M in FY2025, compounding −2.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$59.9M
Latest YoY
+16.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+175.8%
Revenue −1.8%/yr
FY21 $64.3M
FY22 $61.4M
FY23 $39.7M
FY24 $51.4M
FY25 $59.9M
Net income −2.7%/yr
FY21 $28.0M
FY22 $29.2M
FY23 $16.5M
FY24 $26.8M
FY25 $25.1M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ABC arbitrage SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ABCCF

Peer Group

Asset Management · 971 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +25% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Above median
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 42% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 32% · Below median
Revenue growth -18% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.14× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.28× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 6.46× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 17.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 15.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 67 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 60 · sector 26
HEALTH 93 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 69

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ABC arbitrage SA (ABCCF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.13 versus a price of $6.49, about +25% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ABCCF?
Our model-based fair value for ABC arbitrage SA is $8.13 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $6.49.
What is the quality score of ABCCF?
ABC arbitrage SA has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ABC arbitrage SA (ABCCF)?
ABC arbitrage SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $59.9M (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ABCCF?
The net profit margin of ABC arbitrage SA is about 41.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 41.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does ABC arbitrage SA pay a dividend?
ABC arbitrage SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.24% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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