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ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $2.7B

AI ABM Industries Incorporated logo ABM Industries Incorporated ABM · US
Price$48.54
Fair Value$36.78
Upside-24.2%
Quality57/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 1.8% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.45% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: High Range $26.39 – $70.71 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $36.37 to $36.78 (+1.1%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price +9.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 24% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($26.39 to $70.71). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$56.18 $34.70 Fair Value $36.78 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $34.70 – $56.18 · fair‑value band $26.39 – $70.71 · the $48.54 price screens above the $36.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) currently trades at $48.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $36.78, implying the stock looks roughly 24.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, ABM Industries Incorporated generated revenue of $8.9B at a net margin of 1.8%. Revenue grew 6.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.0%. Net debt stands at $1.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $26.39 (bear case) to $70.71 (bull case); at $48.54, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -24%, ABM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $4.34 $17.16 $34.68 80
Residual Income $25.80 $28.07 $35.37 76
Rev-Margin DCF $16.41 $43.57 $74.39 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $3.91 $18.41 $39.48 38
Owner Earnings $10.06 $27.70 $53.34 31
5Y Revenue Exit $16.41 $43.86 $79.05 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $26.33 $62.31 $104.31 41
5Y P/E Exit $10.50 $32.87 $56.20 38
10Y Revenue Exit $9.93 $33.47 $65.23 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $17.57 $45.95 $83.98 37
10Y P/E Exit $7.72 $26.04 $48.27 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $18.85 $57.03 $75.63 54
Lynch FV $12.17 $17.38 $22.60 50
PEG = 1.0 $12.17 $17.38 $22.60 46
EPV $17.07 $23.62 $29.28 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $9.83 $19.60 $29.68 70
DDM Multi-Stage $9.83 $15.78 $20.69 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $43.66 $58.22 $72.77 63
P/S Multiple $35.35 $47.13 $58.91 58
P/B Multiple $35.35 $47.13 $58.91 55
EV/EBIT $46.32 $69.91 $93.50 53
EV/EBITDA $47.24 $71.14 $95.04 54
EV/Revenue $26.05 $47.70 $69.36 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $15.24 $20.42 $30.48 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $4.34 $17.16 $34.68 80
Rev-Margin DCF $16.41 $43.57 $74.39 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $25.80 $28.07 $35.37 76
ROIC Compounder $17.07 $23.62 $29.28 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $35.75 $51.08 $66.40 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($51.08) versus Dividend Discount ($15.78). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $8.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.1%
Net margin 1.8%
Return on equity 9.0%
Free cash flow $155M FY2025
P/E ratio 15.5
More key figures
Operating margin 3.5%
EPS (TTM) $2.54
Dividend yield 2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -7.2%
Net debt $1.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ABM Industries Incorporated, through its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of facility maintenance, engineering and infrastructure solutions in the United States and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Business & Industry, Manufacturing & Distribution, Education, Aviation, and Technical Solutions.

Full company description

ABM Industries Incorporated, through its subsidiaries, engages in the provision of facility maintenance, engineering and infrastructure solutions in the United States and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Business & Industry, Manufacturing & Distribution, Education, Aviation, and Technical Solutions. It offers janitorial, facilities engineering, and parking services for commercial real estate properties, including corporate offices for high-tech clients, sports and entertainment venues, and traditional hospitals and non-acute healthcare facilities; and vehicle maintenance and other services to rental car providers. The company also offers integrated facility services, engineering, and other specialized services in various types of manufacturing, distribution, and data center facilities. In addition, it delivers custodial and landscaping and grounds for public school districts, private schools, colleges, and universities. Further, the company supports airlines and airports with services comprising passenger assistance, catering logistics, air cabin maintenance, and transportation services. Additionally, it provides facility infrastructure, mechanical and electrical services; EV power design, installation and maintenance, and microgrid systems design, installation, and maintenance services. ABM Industries Incorporated was founded in 1909 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ABM Industries Incorporated reported revenue of $8.7B in FY2025 versus $6.2B in FY2021, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was $162M in FY2025, compounding +6.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 71/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$8.7B
Latest YoY
+4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+7.9%
Revenue +8.9%/yr
FY21 $6.2B
FY22 $7.8B
FY23 $8.1B
FY24 $8.4B
FY25 $8.7B
Net income +6.5%/yr
FY21 $126M
FY22 $230M
FY23 $251M
FY24 $81.4M
FY25 $162M

ABM screens 24% overvalued. Compare with Cintas Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ABM Industries Incorporated Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ABM

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Business Services · 255 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −24% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.86× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.49× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.29× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 17.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.25× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 1 · sector 24
FUTURE 42 · sector 25
PAST 35 · sector 33
HEALTH 57 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 49 · sector 54

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cintas Corporation CTAS $206.25 $95.30 -54%
RELX PLC RELX $33.70 $32.49 -4%
Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI C$133.87 C$70.40 -47%
Copart, Inc CPRT $27.61 $28.59 +4%
Global Payments Inc GPN $80.49 $69.67 -13%
RB Global, Inc RBA C$156.43 C$49.14 -69%
Brambles Limited BXB A$18.79 A$12.28 -35%
UL Solutions Inc ULS $87.76 $33.62 -62%
Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL €62.56 €103.99 +66%
Aramark ARMK $56.74 $13.73 -76%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $36.78 versus a price of $48.54, about −24% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ABM?
Our model-based fair value for ABM Industries Incorporated is $36.78 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $48.54.
What is the quality score of ABM?
ABM Industries Incorporated has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ABM Industries Incorporated (ABM)?
ABM Industries Incorporated reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $8.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ABM?
The net profit margin of ABM Industries Incorporated is about 1.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does ABM Industries Incorporated pay a dividend?
ABM Industries Incorporated currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.77% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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