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Absolicon Solar Collector AB (ABSL-B) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · SE · Market cap 53.0M SEK (≈ $5.6M) · ISIN SE0018396947

What is Absolicon Solar Collector AB really worth?

AS Absolicon Solar Collector AB ABSL-B · ST
Pricekr 2.82
Fair Valuekr 0.9400
Upside−66.7%
Quality33/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 200% above our fair value of kr 0.9400.

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Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −9.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range kr 0.6200 – kr 1.18

Fair value as of: Aug 24, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Share price −19.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 1.18). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 0.6200 to kr 1.18) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 153.18 kr 1.95 Fair Value kr 0.9400 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 1.95 – kr 153.18 · fair‑value band kr 0.6200 – kr 1.18 · the kr 2.82 price screens above the kr 0.9400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Absolicon Solar Collector AB (ABSL-B) currently trades at kr 2.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.9400, implying the stock looks roughly 200.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 1.4M SEK. Revenue grew 27.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −28.7%. Fundamentals as of Aug 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 0.6200 (bear case) to kr 1.18 (bull case); at kr 2.82, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −67%, ABSL-B screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) best evidence kr 1.52 kr 2.04 kr 3.04 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) best evidence kr 1.52 kr 2.04 kr 3.04 54

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 41.2 TTM
EPS (TTM) kr −3.11
Return on equity −37.0% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −54.8% avg 5y
Operating margin −2,789% TTM
Revenue (TTM) 1.3M SEK TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY) −39.4% 3y avg −34.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −11.7M SEK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Absolicon Solar Collector AB engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of solar energy systems worldwide. The company offers Absolicon T160, a solar collector that is used in various industries comprising textiles, brewery and beverages, tea, dairy, food processing, mining, desalination, chemical, pharmaceuticals, pulp and paper, and district …

Full company description

Absolicon Solar Collector AB engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of solar energy systems worldwide. The company offers Absolicon T160, a solar collector that is used in various industries comprising textiles, brewery and beverages, tea, dairy, food processing, mining, desalination, chemical, pharmaceuticals, pulp and paper, and district heating; and field simulator. Absolicon Solar Collector AB was founded in 2005 and is based in Härnösand, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Absolicon Solar Collector AB reported revenue of 1.2M SEK in FY2025 versus 2.7M SEK in FY2021, a compound −18.6%/yr. Reported net income was −13.9M SEK in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.2M SEK
Latest YoY
−77.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−34.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−9.7%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −18.6%/yr
FY21 2.7M SEK
FY22 4.2M SEK
FY23 2.5M SEK
FY24 5.3M SEK
FY25 1.2M SEK
Net income
FY21 −50.5M SEK
FY22 −66.0M SEK
FY23 −106M SEK
FY24 −20.9M SEK
FY25 −13.9M SEK

ABSL-B screens 200% overvalued. Compare with First Solar, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Absolicon Solar Collector AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ABSL-B

Peer Group

Solar · 109 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −67% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets −20% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth −39% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Solar median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.13× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.32× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 15
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 0
HEALTH100 · sector 85
DIVIDEND0 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Solar stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
First Solar, Inc FSLR $210.10 $392.12 +87%
Nextpower Inc NXT $103.67 $69.61 −33%
Waaree Energies Limited WAAREEENER ₹2,624 ₹2,709 +3%
Tongwei Co 600438 ¥12.89 ¥12.13 −6%
Jinko Solar Co 688223 ¥4.16 ¥6.47 +56%
Enphase Energy, Inc ENPH $39.25 $24.15 −38%
CSI Solar Co 688472 ¥10.28 ¥6.76 −34%
Hengdian Group 002056 ¥21.53 ¥31.86 +48%
Premier Energies Limited PREMIERENE ₹1,017 ₹648.94 −36%
Trina Solar Co 688599 ¥12.77 ¥7.97 −38%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Absolicon Solar Collector AB (ABSL-B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 0.9400 versus a price of kr 2.82, about −67% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ABSL-B?
Our model-based fair value for Absolicon Solar Collector AB is kr 0.9400 (as of Aug 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 2.82.
What is the quality score of ABSL-B?
Absolicon Solar Collector AB has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Absolicon Solar Collector AB (ABSL-B)?
Absolicon Solar Collector AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4M SEK (latest available figure, as of Aug 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ABSL-B?
The net profit margin of Absolicon Solar Collector AB is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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