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Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · US · ISIN US65290E1010

NI Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock logo Broad data Sep 18, 2026

Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock

NXT · US

NeutralQuality growthThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value $85.83 · Fairly valued (+7%)
Quality 66/100
Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +24.4 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 16.5% net margin (TTM)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Wide moat 75/100
!Insider activity 40/100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$156.40 $28.55 Fair Value $85.83 Feb 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

43‑month range $28.55 – $156.40 · fair‑value band $58.10 – $150.29 · the $80.47 price screens below the $85.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

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Company profile

Nextpower Inc. provides solar and energy technology solutions for utility-scale power plants in the United States and internationally.

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Nextpower Inc. provides solar and energy technology solutions for utility-scale power plants in the United States and internationally. It offers tracking solutions, including NX Horizon, a solar tracking solution; NX Horizon-XTR, a terrain-following tracker to expand the addressable market for trackers on sites with sloped, uneven, and challenging terrain; NX Horizon Hail Pro adds automatic stowing using weather service information; and NX Horizon Low Carbon, a solar tracker solution with a reduced carbon footprint. The company also provides TrueCapture, an energy yield management system that addresses power production shortfalls; NX Anchor and NX Earth Truss, a solar foundation technology to facilitate solar project development in challenging soil conditions; Truss Driver, an advanced installation equipment; and NX Navigator, which assists solar power plant owners and operators in monitoring, controlling, and protecting their solar projects. It serves engineering, procurement, and construction firms, as well as solar project developers and owners. The company was formerly known as Nextracker Inc. and changed its name to Nextpower Inc. in November 2025. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Fremont, California.

Stock analysis

Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT) currently trades at $80.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $85.83, implying the stock looks roughly 6.2% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $115.66 per share, and 15 of the 26 models we run sit above the $80.47 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $10.31, and 11 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $58.10 (bear) to $150.29 (bull), the price of $80.47 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock reported revenue of $3.6B in FY2026 versus $1.5B in FY2022, a compound +25.0%/yr. Reported net income was $586M in FY2026, compounding +84.2%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap $17.1B · P/E ratio 20.7 · P/S ratio 3.41 · EPS (TTM) $3.84 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 16.5% · Return on equity 29.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at 7%, NXT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $58.10 Fair Value $85.83 Bull $150.29
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.82 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $62.86 $95.62 $199.32 76
Growth DCF $59.54 $105.62 $198.47 75
EPV $42.02 $47.98 $53.20 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $62.86 $95.62 $199.32 76
Owner Earnings $65.44 $140.93 $299.40 71
5Y Revenue Exit $44.70 $72.97 $129.83 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $55.76 $96.05 $172.32 72
5Y P/E Exit $66.04 $136.92 $231.22 68
10Y Revenue Exit $48.60 $91.98 $128.60 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $57.81 $114.40 $220.01 64
10Y P/E Exit $65.19 $135.25 $260.17 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $26.27 $183.21 $257.10 63
Lynch FV $61.44 $87.77 $114.11 61
PEG = 1.0 $61.44 $87.77 $114.11 57
EPV $42.02 $47.98 $53.20 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $10.29 $21.40 $33.95 66
DDM Multi-Stage $10.29 $18.05 $22.46 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $60.85 $81.13 $101.41 63
P/S Multiple $35.21 $46.94 $58.68 58
P/B Multiple $49.26 $65.68 $82.10 55
EV/EBIT $64.89 $84.43 $103.97 66
EV/EBITDA $53.07 $68.67 $84.26 67
EV/Revenue $35.84 $48.52 $61.19 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.70 $10.31 $15.39 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $59.54 $105.62 $198.47 75
Rev-Margin DCF $44.70 $81.91 $139.56 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income $26.32 $35.70 $211.65 64
ROIC Compounder $49.74 $67.12 $90.30 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $80.96 $115.66 $150.36 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 71
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 62
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+20.3%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.2%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.4%
Revenue growth 7 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) What the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+36.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+35.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 20%
2026 sits 85% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 8.2%/yr over ~5Y (margins intact) Structural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect Analysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+16.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Forecast 2027 (sales)+22.2%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+17.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+15.8%
Projected 2030 (sales)+13.8%
Projected 2031 (sales)+11.9%

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Solar · 112 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −18% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.06× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Solar median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B 7.33× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 4.81× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 33.5× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 21.9× · Priciest 25%
PEG 3.96× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)42 · sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)97 · sector 82
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 30

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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10 more Solar stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Waaree Energies Limited WAAREEENER ₹2,561 ₹2,709 +6%
Jinko Solar Co 688223 ¥3.74 ¥6.47 +73%
Enphase Energy, Inc ENPH $36.02 $24.15 −33%
CSI Solar Co 688472 ¥8.13 ¥4.91 −40%
Hengdian Group 002056 ¥19.54 ¥31.86 +63%
Premier Energies Limited PREMIERENE ₹902.00 ₹648.94 −28%
Trina Solar Co 688599 ¥11.23 ¥25.38 +126%
JA Solar Technology Co 002459 ¥6.84 ¥3.32 −51%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $85.83 versus a price of $80.47, about +7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of NXT?
Our model-based fair value for Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock is $85.83 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $80.47.
What is the quality score of NXT?
Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $85.83 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $58.10, optimistic scenario $150.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $85.83, about +7% upside versus a price of $80.47 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $58.10, optimistic scenario $150.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT)?
Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock pay a dividend?
Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.76% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What growth is priced into Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock would have to grow free cash flow by +13.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +24.4 % per year. As of Sep 18, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NXT use?
Our models discount Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock at 10.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.60, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock that is +13.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock grew +24.4 % a year. The price currently implies +13.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (+13.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.16 %: that much free cash flow Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock it is $85.83 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of $80.47. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, NXT trades below its calculated fair value: price $80.47, fair value $85.83, a gap of about +7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NXT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($80.47); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($85.83). For Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock the two are $5.36 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock worth?
The market values Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock at about $17.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is $80.47; our models calculate a fair value of $85.83 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NXT?
Our models span a range for Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock: cautious scenario $58.10, base $85.83, optimistic $150.29 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price $80.47). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NXT?
Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.7 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $85.83 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 4.0, P/B 7.3, P/S 4.8, EV/EBITDA 21.9.
What is the PEG ratio of NXT?
The PEG ratio of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock is 3.96 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 29.6%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NXT from its 52-week high?
Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock trades at $80.47, about 51% below its 52-week high of $163.13 and 56% above the low of $51.69 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $85.83 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock?
From the same area (Technology) we also value First Solar, Inc, Tongwei Co, Waaree Energies Limited, Jinko Solar Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price $80.47, calculated fair value $85.83 (+7%), Quality Score 66/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NXT calculated?
We run Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $85.83, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock currently trades 7 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $80.47. Our model-based fair value is $85.83, about +7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($58.10 to $150.29) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock

How large is the market capitalisation of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT)?
The market capitalisation of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock is $17.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock is 3.41 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT)?
Earnings per share at Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock are $3.84 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT)?
The dividend yield of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock is 0.8% (payout 16.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT)?
The net margin of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock is 16.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock is 29.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock is 15.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT)?
The operating margin of Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock is 18.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT)?
Revenue at Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock is growing −4.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT)?
Earnings per share at Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock are growing −7.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXT) hold?
Nextracker Inc. Class A Common Stock holds more cash than debt, $1.1B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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