Nextpower Inc (NXT) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $17.1B
Nextpower Inc
NXT · US
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from $70.25 to $69.61 (−0.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −9.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 29% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($52.14 to $139.41). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
42‑month range $28.55 – $156.40 · fair‑value band $52.14 – $139.41 · the $98.43 price screens above the $69.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Nextpower Inc (NXT) currently trades at $98.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $69.61, implying the stock looks roughly 29.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nextpower Inc generated revenue of $3.6B at a net margin of 16.5%. Revenue declined 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 29.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $52.14 (bear case) to $139.41 (bull case); at $98.43, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 90% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 5% fair-value upside, at -29%, NXT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($113.41) versus Asset-Based ($10.31). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nextpower Inc. provides solar and energy technology solutions for utility-scale power plants in the United States and internationally.
Full company description
Nextpower Inc. provides solar and energy technology solutions for utility-scale power plants in the United States and internationally. It offers tracking solutions, including NX Horizon, a solar tracking solution; NX Horizon-XTR, a terrain-following tracker to expand the addressable market for trackers on sites with sloped, uneven, and challenging terrain; NX Horizon Hail Pro adds automatic stowing using weather service information; and NX Horizon Low Carbon, a solar tracker solution with a reduced carbon footprint. The company also provides TrueCapture, an energy yield management system that addresses power production shortfalls; NX Anchor and NX Earth Truss, a solar foundation technology to facilitate solar project development in challenging soil conditions; Truss Driver, an advanced installation equipment; and NX Navigator, which assists solar power plant owners and operators in monitoring, controlling, and protecting their solar projects. It serves engineering, procurement, and construction firms, as well as solar project developers and owners. The company was formerly known as Nextracker Inc. and changed its name to Nextpower Inc. in November 2025. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Fremont, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Nextpower Inc reported revenue of $3.6B in FY2026 versus $1.5B in FY2022, a compound +25.0%/yr. Reported net income was $586M in FY2026, compounding +84.2%/yr from FY2022.
NXT screens 29% overvalued. Compare with First Solar, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Data Center Adjacent Clean Energy Powers Nextpower’s (NXT) Growth
- Nextpower (NXT) Is Down 10.2% After Boosting 2027 Outlook and Launching $500 Million Buyback – What's Changed
- Is Nextpower (NXT) Undervalued On Record Revenue And Higher 2027 Guidance?
- Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Nextpower Stock?
Peer Group
Solar · 120 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Solar median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Solar stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| First Solar, Inc FSLR | $221.03 | $284.45 | +29% |
| Tongwei Co 600438 | ¥11.12 | ¥12.13 | +9% |
| Waaree Energies Limited WAAREEENER | ₹2,923 | ₹3,613 | +24% |
| Jinko Solar Co 688223 | ¥4.39 | ¥4.75 | +8% |
| Hengdian Group 002056 | ¥21.64 | ¥22.76 | +5% |
| CSI Solar Co 688472 | ¥10.11 | ¥7.01 | -31% |
| Enphase Energy, Inc ENPH | $44.83 | $22.20 | -50% |
| Premier Energies Limited PREMIERENE | ₹1,086 | ₹912.32 | -16% |
| Trina Solar Co 688599 | ¥12.98 | ¥7.97 | -39% |
| JA Solar Technology Co 002459 | ¥7.06 | ¥3.32 | -53% |
Compare Nextpower Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Technology stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Nextpower Inc (NXT) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of NXT?
What is the quality score of NXT?
What is the revenue of Nextpower Inc (NXT)?
What is the net profit margin of NXT?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Nextpower Inc and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.