Accel S.A.B. de C.V (ACCELSAB) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jul 9, 2026: fair value of Accel S.A.B. de C.V MXN 21.42, price MXN 22.17, upside -3.4%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 18.00 MXN – 22.61 MXN · fair‑value band 16.07 MXN – 26.78 MXN · the 22.17 MXN price screens above the 21.42 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Accel, S.A.B. de C.V. provides manufacturing and logistics services in Mexico and the United States. The company's Manufacturing division manufactures and produces sweets, nuts, confectionery, and various snacks, as well as engages in real estate activities.
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Accel, S.A.B. de C.V. provides manufacturing and logistics services in Mexico and the United States. The company's Manufacturing division manufactures and produces sweets, nuts, confectionery, and various snacks, as well as engages in real estate activities. Its Logistics division offers solutions for the handling, conservation, marketing, and distribution of merchandise; merchandise collection, delivery and selection; and inventory control, packaging and labeling, crossing platform, and other services. Accel, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.
Stock analysis
Accel S.A.B. de C.V (ACCELSAB) currently trades at 22.17 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 21.42 MXN, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 3.5%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 44.12 MXN per share, and 13 of the 24 models we run sit above the 22.17 MXN price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 10.64 MXN, and 11 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: 16.07 MXN (bear) to 26.78 MXN (bull), the price of 22.17 MXN sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Accel S.A.B. de C.V reported revenue of 15.2B MXN in FY2025 versus 10.4B MXN in FY2021, a compound +10.0%/yr. Reported net income was 193M MXN in FY2025, compounding −12.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 4.2B MXN (≈ $231M) · P/E ratio 10.4 · P/S ratio 0.13 · EPS (TTM) 2.14 MXN · Net margin 1.3% · Return on equity 3.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6% · Operating margin 3.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −3%, ACCELSAB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 16.07 MXNFair Value 21.42 MXNBull 26.78 MXN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.62 MXN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.74/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+12.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.0% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MXN ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−10.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−10.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 6%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Mexico: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 4.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +14.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Business Services · 231 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside−3.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3.4% · Below median
Return on assets3.1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1.0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.67× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Accel S.A.B. de C.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ACCELSAB
Frequently asked questions
Is Accel S.A.B. de C.V (ACCELSAB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 21.42 MXN versus the last price from Jul 9, 2026 of 22.17 MXN, about −3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ACCELSAB?
Our model-based fair value for Accel S.A.B. de C.V is 21.42 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 9, 2026): 22.17 MXN.
What is the quality score of ACCELSAB?
Accel S.A.B. de C.V has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Accel S.A.B. de C.V (ACCELSAB)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 21.42 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 16.07 MXN, optimistic scenario 26.78 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Accel S.A.B. de C.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 21.42 MXN, about −3% upside versus the last price from Jul 9, 2026 of 22.17 MXN (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 16.07 MXN, optimistic scenario 26.78 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Accel S.A.B. de C.V (ACCELSAB)?
Accel S.A.B. de C.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 15.4B MXN (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Accel S.A.B. de C.V (ACCELSAB)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Accel S.A.B. de C.V would have to grow free cash flow by +18.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ACCELSAB use?
Our models discount Accel S.A.B. de C.V at 15.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Mexico. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Accel S.A.B. de C.V that is +18.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Accel S.A.B. de C.V (ACCELSAB) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Accel S.A.B. de C.V grew +9.1 % a year. The price currently implies +18.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Accel S.A.B. de C.V (ACCELSAB) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Accel S.A.B. de C.V (+18.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Accel S.A.B. de C.V (ACCELSAB)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.03 %: that much free cash flow Accel S.A.B. de C.V produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Accel S.A.B. de C.V (ACCELSAB)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Accel S.A.B. de C.V it is 21.42 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 22.17 MXN. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Accel S.A.B. de C.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ACCELSAB trades above its calculated fair value: price 22.17 MXN, fair value 21.42 MXN, a gap of about −3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ACCELSAB?
No. The price is what the market pays today (22.17 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (21.42 MXN). For Accel S.A.B. de C.V the two are 0.7500 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Accel S.A.B. de C.V worth?
The market values Accel S.A.B. de C.V at about 4.2B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 22.17 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 21.42 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ACCELSAB?
Our models span a range for Accel S.A.B. de C.V: cautious scenario 16.07 MXN, base 21.42 MXN, optimistic 26.78 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 22.17 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ACCELSAB?
Accel S.A.B. de C.V trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 21.42 MXN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 4.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Accel S.A.B. de C.V (ACCELSAB)?
Balance-sheet figures for Accel S.A.B. de C.V (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.4%, debt of 0.67 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ACCELSAB from its 52-week high?
Accel S.A.B. de C.V trades at 22.17 MXN, about 2% below its 52-week high of 22.61 MXN and at the low of 22.17 MXN (as of Jul 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 21.42 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Accel S.A.B. de C.V?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Cintas Corporation, Thomson Reuters Corporation, Copart, Inc, Global Payments Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Accel S.A.B. de C.V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 22.17 MXN, calculated fair value 21.42 MXN (−3%), Quality Score 52/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ACCELSAB calculated?
We run Accel S.A.B. de C.V through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 21.42 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Accel S.A.B. de C.V itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Accel S.A.B. de C.V (ACCELSAB)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 9, 2026 and stands at 22.17 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 21.42 MXN, about −3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Accel S.A.B. de C.V right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Accel S.A.B. de C.V
How large is the market capitalisation of Accel S.A.B. de C.V (ACCELSAB)?
The market capitalisation of Accel S.A.B. de C.V is 4.2B MXN (≈ $231M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Accel S.A.B. de C.V (ACCELSAB)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Accel S.A.B. de C.V is 0.13 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Accel S.A.B. de C.V (ACCELSAB)?
Earnings per share at Accel S.A.B. de C.V are 2.14 MXN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Accel S.A.B. de C.V (ACCELSAB)?
The net margin of Accel S.A.B. de C.V is 1.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Accel S.A.B. de C.V (ACCELSAB)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Accel S.A.B. de C.V is 3.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Accel S.A.B. de C.V (ACCELSAB)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Accel S.A.B. de C.V is 5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Accel S.A.B. de C.V (ACCELSAB)?
The operating margin of Accel S.A.B. de C.V is 3.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Accel S.A.B. de C.V (ACCELSAB)?
Revenue at Accel S.A.B. de C.V is growing +5.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Accel S.A.B. de C.V (ACCELSAB)?
Earnings per share at Accel S.A.B. de C.V are growing −80.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Accel S.A.B. de C.V (ACCELSAB) carry?
The net debt of Accel S.A.B. de C.V is 3.8B MXN (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 8.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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