Accel, S.A. (ACCELSAB) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · MX · Market cap 4.2B MXN
Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 30 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from 39.24 MXN to 23.67 MXN (−39.7%) since Jun 24, 2026.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from 16.07 MXN (bear) to 28.30 MXN (bull), base 23.67 MXN. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 52/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 18.00 MXN – 22.61 MXN · fair‑value band 16.07 MXN – 28.30 MXN · the 22.17 MXN price screens below the 23.67 MXN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 11, 2026.
Analysis
Accel, S.A. (ACCELSAB) currently trades at 22.17 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 23.67 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 6.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Accel, S.A. generated revenue of 15.4B MXN at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue grew 5.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.4%. Net debt stands at 3.8B MXN. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 16.07 MXN (bear case) to 28.30 MXN (bull case); at 22.17 MXN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at 7%, ACCELSAB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (42.23 MXN) versus Earnings-Based (10.64 MXN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Accel, S.A.B. de C.V. provides manufacturing and logistics services in Mexico and the United States. The company's Manufacturing division manufactures and produces sweets, nuts, confectionery, and various snacks, as well as engages in real estate activities.
Full company description
Accel, S.A.B. de C.V. provides manufacturing and logistics services in Mexico and the United States. The company's Manufacturing division manufactures and produces sweets, nuts, confectionery, and various snacks, as well as engages in real estate activities. Its Logistics division offers solutions for the handling, conservation, marketing, and distribution of merchandise; merchandise collection, delivery and selection; and inventory control, packaging and labeling, crossing platform, and other services. Accel, S.A.B. de C.V. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Accel, S.A. reported revenue of 15.2B MXN in FY2025 versus 10.4B MXN in FY2021, a compound +10.0%/yr. Reported net income was 193M MXN in FY2025, compounding −12.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Specialty Business Services · 253 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cintas Corporation CTAS | $206.25 | $95.30 | -54% |
| RELX PLC RELX | $33.70 | $32.49 | -4% |
| Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI | C$133.87 | C$70.40 | -47% |
| Copart, Inc CPRT | $27.61 | $28.59 | +4% |
| Global Payments Inc GPN | $80.49 | $69.67 | -13% |
| RB Global, Inc RBA | C$156.43 | C$49.14 | -69% |
| Brambles Limited BXB | A$18.79 | A$12.28 | -35% |
| UL Solutions Inc ULS | $87.76 | $33.62 | -62% |
| Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL | €62.56 | €103.99 | +66% |
| Aramark ARMK | $56.74 | $13.73 | -76% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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