ProFrac Holding (ACDC) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $1.2B
ProFrac Holding
ACDC · US
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $7.82 to $2.96 (−62.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −15.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 31% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide ($0.6100 to $5.31). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
51‑month range $3.19 – $25.72 · fair‑value band $0.6100 – $5.31 · the $4.32 price screens above the $2.96 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
ProFrac Holding (ACDC) currently trades at $4.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.96, implying the stock looks roughly 31.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, ProFrac Holding generated revenue of $1.8B at a net margin of -24.3%. Revenue declined 25.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -44.1%. Net debt stands at $1.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.6100 (bear case) to $5.31 (bull case); at $4.32, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at -31%, ACDC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($5.15) versus DCF Models ($1.07). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 10
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ProFrac Holding Corp. operates as a technology-focused energy services holding company in the United States. It operates through four segments: Stimulation Services, Proppant Production, Manufacturing, and and Flotek Industries, Inc.
Full company description
ProFrac Holding Corp. operates as a technology-focused energy services holding company in the United States. It operates through four segments: Stimulation Services, Proppant Production, Manufacturing, and and Flotek Industries, Inc. The company offers hydraulic fracturing, proppant production, well stimulation, in-basin frac sand, and other completion services and complementary products and services to upstream oil and natural gas companies engaged in the exploration and production of unconventional oil and natural gas resources. It also manufactures and sells high horsepower pumps, valves, piping, swivels, large-bore manifold systems, and fluid ends, as well as other auxiliary equipment. ProFrac Holding Corp. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Willow Park, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ProFrac Holding reported revenue of $1.9B in FY2025 versus $768M in FY2021, a compound +26.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$369M in FY2025.
ACDC screens 31% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 191 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SLB N.V SLBN | 836.00 MXN | 533.97 MXN | -36% |
| Baker Hughes Company BKR | $55.95 | $33.55 | -40% |
| TechnipFMC plc FTI | $74.57 | $27.57 | -63% |
| Halliburton Company HAL | $35.22 | $21.50 | -39% |
| Tenaris S.A TS | $57.16 | $45.68 | -20% |
| Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 | ¥138.79 | ¥34.17 | -75% |
| Saipem SpA SPM | €4.20 | €2.72 | -35% |
| Subsea 7 S.A SUBC | kr 319.00 | kr 227.98 | -29% |
| China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 | ¥12.08 | ¥12.64 | +5% |
| Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT | €188.10 | €95.01 | -49% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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