ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of ProFrac Holding Corp. stock $3.54, price $3.01, upside +18.0%, quality 20 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 9 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
54‑month range $2.71 – $25.72 · fair‑value band $1.25 – $6.44 · the $3.01 price screens below the $3.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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ProFrac Holding Corp. operates as a technology-focused energy services holding company in the United States.
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It operates through four segments: Stimulation Services, Proppant Production, Manufacturing, and and Flotek Industries, Inc. The company offers hydraulic fracturing, proppant production, well stimulation, in-basin frac sand, and other completion services and complementary products and services to upstream oil and natural gas companies engaged in the exploration and production of unconventional oil and natural gas resources.
It also manufactures and sells high horsepower pumps, valves, piping, swivels, large-bore manifold systems, and fluid ends, as well as other auxiliary equipment. ProFrac Holding Corp. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Willow Park, Texas.
Stock analysis
ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC) currently trades at $3.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.54, implying the stock looks roughly 15% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $4.54 per share, and 4 of the 7 models we run sit above the $3.01 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.41, and 3 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $1.25 (bear) to $6.44 (bull), the price of $3.01 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
ProFrac Holding Corp. reported revenue of $1.9B in FY2025 versus $768M in FY2021, a compound +26.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$369M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $547M Small · P/S ratio 0.29 · EPS (TTM) $−2.18 · Net margin −20.4% · Return on equity −42.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin −6.7% · Revenue (TTM) $1.9B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at 18%, ACDC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$1.25Fair Value $3.54Bull$6.44
Price $3.01 · Upside +18.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF$1.52$4.55$8.5973
Growth DCF$1.47$4.17$7.5871
5Y EBITDA Exit$1.54$5.40$10.0168
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF$1.52$4.55$8.5973
5Y Revenue Exitn/an/a$0.420067
5Y EBITDA Exit$1.54$5.40$10.0168
10Y Revenue Exitn/a$0.8800$2.2862
10Y EBITDA Exit$1.44$4.52$8.8061
Multiples
EV/EBITDA$0.6100$2.94$5.2760
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$1.06$1.41$2.1154
Growth DCF
Growth DCF$1.47$4.17$7.5871
Rev-Margin DCFn/an/a$0.790067
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $401,839, on Aug 11, 2026.
BuyTHRC Management, LLC10% owner607,227 shares at $4.72$2.9MAug 25, 2026
BuyDan H. Wilks10% owner2× since Aug 10, 2026: 1,327,227 shares, avg. $4.88$6.5MAug 25, 2026
BuyMatthew WilksChief Executive Officer, Director80,000 shares at $5.02$401,839Aug 11, 2026
Plus 8 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−11.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.8%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−17.3% (2020) → −6.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+44.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +41.5% a year for the price and +4.8% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 166 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score20 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+18.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets−14.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−20.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−6.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)26.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.11× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
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Is ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.54 versus a price of $3.01, about +18% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ACDC?
Our model-based fair value for ProFrac Holding Corp. is $3.54 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.01.
What is the quality score of ACDC?
ProFrac Holding Corp. has a Quality Score of 20/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.54 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.25, optimistic scenario $6.44. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ProFrac Holding Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.54, about +18% upside versus a price of $3.01 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $1.25, optimistic scenario $6.44. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC)?
ProFrac Holding Corp. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.9B (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What growth is priced into ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, ProFrac Holding Corp. would have to grow free cash flow by +44.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +28.8 % per year. Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ACDC use?
Our models discount ProFrac Holding Corp. at 12.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.49, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For ProFrac Holding Corp. that is +44.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (12.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at ProFrac Holding Corp. grew +28.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +44.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +14.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into ProFrac Holding Corp. (+44.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.58 % in the last fiscal year (free cash flow was negative over the last twelve months): that much free cash flow ProFrac Holding Corp. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ProFrac Holding Corp. it is $3.54 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $3.01. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is ProFrac Holding Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, ACDC trades below its calculated fair value: price $3.01, fair value $3.54, a gap of about +18% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ACDC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.01); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.54). For ProFrac Holding Corp. the two are $0.5395 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ProFrac Holding Corp. worth?
The market values ProFrac Holding Corp. at about $547M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $3.01; our models calculate a fair value of $3.54 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ACDC?
Our models span a range for ProFrac Holding Corp.: cautious scenario $1.25, base $3.54, optimistic $6.44 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $3.01). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC)?
Balance-sheet figures for ProFrac Holding Corp. (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −42.9%, debt of 1.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 20/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ACDC from its 52-week high?
ProFrac Holding Corp. trades at $3.01, about 63% below its 52-week high of $8.06 and 11% above the low of $2.71 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.54 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ProFrac Holding Corp.?
From the same area (Energy) we also value SLB N.V, Baker Hughes Company, Halliburton Company, Tenaris S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ProFrac Holding Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $3.01, calculated fair value $3.54 (+18%), Quality Score 20/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ACDC calculated?
We run ProFrac Holding Corp. through 9 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $3.54 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. ProFrac Holding Corp. currently trades 15% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $3.01. Our model-based fair value is $3.54, about +18% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ProFrac Holding Corp. right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($1.25 to $6.44). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of ProFrac Holding Corp.
How large is the market capitalisation of ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC)?
The market capitalisation of ProFrac Holding Corp. is $547M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ProFrac Holding Corp. is 0.29 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC)?
Earnings per share at ProFrac Holding Corp. are $−2.18. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC)?
The net margin of ProFrac Holding Corp. is −20.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of ProFrac Holding Corp. is −42.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ProFrac Holding Corp. is 1.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC)?
The operating margin of ProFrac Holding Corp. is −6.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC)?
Revenue at ProFrac Holding Corp. is growing +26.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC) carry?
The net debt of ProFrac Holding Corp. is $1.2B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 59.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 8, 2026