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Associated Capital Group (ACGP) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $761M

AC Associated Capital Group logo Associated Capital Group ACGP · US
Price$33.42
Fair Value$42.94
Upside+28.5%
Quality62/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 163.1% net margin
negative free cash flow
0.81% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: Medium Range $32.20 – $53.67 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 34 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from $42.03 to $42.94 (+2.2%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −0.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 28% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$43.00 $27.90 Fair Value $42.94 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $27.90 – $43.00 · fair‑value band $32.20 – $53.67 · the $33.42 price screens below the $42.94 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

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Analysis

Associated Capital Group (ACGP) currently trades at $33.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $42.94, implying the stock looks roughly 28.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $27.3M. Revenue grew 18.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.9%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 17.6. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $32.20 (bear case) to $53.67 (bull case); at $33.42, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 28%, ACGP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple $28.47 $37.96 $47.45 55
NCAV (Graham) $22.33 $29.92 $44.66 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple $28.47 $37.96 $47.45 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $22.33 $29.92 $44.66 50

Widest divergence: Multiples ($37.96) versus Asset-Based ($29.92). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $27.3M
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.6%
Net margin 163%
Return on equity 4.9%
Free cash flow −$14.5M FY2025
P/E ratio 17.6
More key figures
Operating margin -163%
EPS (TTM) $2.09
Dividend yield 0.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +166%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 78
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Associated Capital Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides investment advisory services in the United States. It offers alternative investment management services; operates a direct investment business; and invests in new and existing businesses. The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut.

Full company description

Associated Capital Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides investment advisory services in the United States. It offers alternative investment management services; operates a direct investment business; and invests in new and existing businesses. The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Greenwich, Connecticut. Associated Capital Group, Inc. is a subsidiary of GGCP Holdings LLC.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Associated Capital Group reported revenue of $26.9M in FY2025 versus $20.9M in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was $52.3M in FY2025, compounding −3.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$26.9M
Latest YoY
+104.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+20.9%
Revenue +6.5%/yr
FY21 $20.9M
FY22 $15.2M
FY23 $12.7M
FY24 $13.2M
FY25 $26.9M
Net income −3.1%/yr
FY21 $59.2M
FY22 −$48.9M
FY23 $37.5M
FY24 $44.3M
FY25 $52.3M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Associated Capital Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ACGP

Peer Group

Asset Management · 973 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside +29% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 163% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -163% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 19% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.82× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 27.90× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 71 · sector 37
FUTURE 93 · sector 6
PAST 20 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 16 · sector 69

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Associated Capital Group (ACGP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $42.94 versus a price of $33.42, about +28% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ACGP?
Our model-based fair value for Associated Capital Group is $42.94 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $33.42.
What is the quality score of ACGP?
Associated Capital Group has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Associated Capital Group (ACGP)?
Associated Capital Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $27.3M (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ACGP?
The net profit margin of Associated Capital Group is about 163.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 163.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Associated Capital Group pay a dividend?
Associated Capital Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.81% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 7, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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