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ArcelorMittal South Africa Limited (ACL) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · ZA · Market cap 1.6B ZAC

AS ArcelorMittal South Africa Limited ACL · JSE
PriceR1.30
Fair ValueR12.31
Upside+846.9%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range R9.83 – R14.79

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

R1.74 R0.9000 Fair Value R12.31 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range R0.9000 – R1.74 · fair‑value band R9.83 – R14.79 · the R1.30 price screens below the R12.31 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

ArcelorMittal South Africa Limited (ACL) currently trades at R1.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R12.31 — implying the stock looks roughly 846.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, ArcelorMittal South Africa Limited generated revenue of 34.2B ZAR at a net margin of -8.8%. Revenue declined 5.5% year over year. Net debt stands at 6.7B ZAR. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 34.2B ZAC
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.5%
Net margin -8.8%
Return on equity -322%
Free cash flow −1.0B ZAC FY2025
Operating margin -9.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) R-2.60
EPS growth (YoY) +36.4%
Net debt 6.7B ZAC FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

ArcelorMittal South Africa Limited manufactures and sells steel products in South Africa and internationally. It operates through Steel Operations and Non-Steel Operations segments. The company offers flat steel products, such as hot rolled plate, hot rolled coil " pickled and oiled, cold rolled coil, galvanized coil, color coil, and electrogalvanized coil; light bay and heavy bay steel castings; long steel products including fencing profiles, forgings, heavy structural sections, hexagon bars, hollow bars, mining bars, rails, reinforcing/Y bars, round and square bars, special profiles, window sections, wire rods, and billets and blooms; and hot rolled and cold drawn seamless tube products. It also produces commercial coke and commercial grade coal. The company serves agricultural, armament, automotive, bolt and nut, chains, construction, engineering, furniture and appliance, mining, packaging, piping, renewable energy, roofing and cladding, and tubing industries. ArcelorMittal South…

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ArcelorMittal South Africa Limited reported revenue of R32.3B in FY2025 versus R39.7B in FY2021, a compound −5.0%/yr. Reported net income was −R2.9B in FY2025.

Revenue −5.0%/yr
FY21 R39.7B
FY22 R40.8B
FY23 R41.6B
FY24 R38.6B
FY25 R32.3B
Net income
FY21 R6.6B
FY22 R2.6B
FY23 −R3.9B
FY24 −R5.8B
FY25 −R2.9B

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Similar stocks

6 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Tata Steel Limited TTST $22.20 $11.06 -50%
Nucor Corporation NUE $244.93 $116.05 -53%
ArcelorMittal S.A ARMT34 R$172.80 R$119.18 -31%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,270 ₹1,007 -21%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.74 ¥6.34 +10%
POSCO Holdings 005490 322,000 KRW 155,270 KRW -52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ArcelorMittal South Africa Limited (ACL) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R12.31 versus a price of R1.30 — about +847% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of ACL?
Our 21-model fair value for ArcelorMittal South Africa Limited is R12.31 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R1.30.
What is the quality score of ACL?
ArcelorMittal South Africa Limited has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of ArcelorMittal South Africa Limited (ACL)?
ArcelorMittal South Africa Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 34.2B ZAR (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ACL?
The net profit margin of ArcelorMittal South Africa Limited is about -8.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.