JSW Steel Limited (JSWSTEEL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what JSW Steel Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹502.25 – ₹1,341 · fair‑value band ₹572.13 – ₹1,703 · the ₹1,276 price screens above the ₹975.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.
JSW Steel Limited manufactures and sells iron and steel products in India and internationally.
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JSW Steel Limited manufactures and sells iron and steel products in India and internationally. The company offers color coated steel products, color-coated roofing sheets, galvalume coil and sheets, aluminum-zinc sheets, galvanized corrugated sheets, tin plate products, lead-free coils and sheets, Al-Zn-Mg coated galvanized steel, multi-utility steel sheets, hot rolled and cold-rolled coils, cold rolled close annealed, electrical, coated steel products, TMT bars, wire rods, alloy steel products, and steel doors under the JSW Silveron+, JSW Radiance, JSW Everglow, JSW Colouron+, JSW Pragati+, JSW Vishwas, JSW Vishwas+, JSW Galvos, JSW Galveco, JSW Platina, JSW Neosteel, JSW Trusteel, JSW Avante, and JSW Magsure brands. It also trades in steel and allied products, and iron ore products; logistic infrastructure, real estate, and mining; and manufactures paints, forged steel ball, slabs, plates, pipes, and double jointing. In addition, the company engages in the production of gaseous and liquid form of oxygen, nitrogen, argon, and other products recoverable from separation of air; scrap shredding; management of logistic infrastructure of piombinos port area; and operation of coke oven and pellet plant, and steel plants. Its products are used in automotive, general engineering, machinery, projects, and construction sectors. The company was formerly known as Jindal Vijayanagar Steel Limited and changed its name to JSW Steel Limited in June 2005. JSW Steel Limited was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
JSW Steel Limited (JSWSTEEL) currently trades at ₹1,276, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹975.70, implying the stock looks roughly 30.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹1,743 per share, and 7 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹1,276 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at ₹110.84, and 19 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹572.13 (bear) to ₹1,703 (bull), the price of ₹1,276 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
JSW Steel Limited reported revenue of ₹1.9T in FY2026 versus ₹1.5T in FY2022, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹223B in FY2026, compounding +1.9%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹3.1T (≈ $32.4B) · P/E ratio 14.0 · P/S ratio 1.68 · EPS (TTM) ₹91.21 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin 12.0% · Return on equity 27.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 25.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −24%, JSWSTEEL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹572.13Fair Value ₹975.70Bull ₹1,703
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹40.13 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.4%
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+2.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.23% vs 24%, steady
Profit margin 2005 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22% → 11%
2026 sits 432% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+55.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.6%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 408 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Above median
Fair Value upside−14% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)27% · Top 25%
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)19% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth14% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.76× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper
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Is JSW Steel Limited (JSWSTEEL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹975.70 versus a price of ₹1,276, about −24% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JSWSTEEL?
Our model-based fair value for JSW Steel Limited is ₹975.70 (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1,276.
What is the quality score of JSWSTEEL?
JSW Steel Limited has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for JSW Steel Limited (JSWSTEEL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹975.70 (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹572.13, optimistic scenario ₹1,703. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the JSW Steel Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹975.70, about −24% upside versus a price of ₹1,276 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹572.13, optimistic scenario ₹1,703. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of JSW Steel Limited (JSWSTEEL)?
JSW Steel Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹1.9T (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does JSW Steel Limited pay a dividend?
JSW Steel Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.56% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What growth is priced into JSW Steel Limited (JSWSTEEL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, JSW Steel Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +55.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +18.4 % per year. As of Sep 18, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of JSWSTEEL use?
Our models discount JSW Steel Limited at 10.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.58, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For JSW Steel Limited that is +55.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has JSW Steel Limited (JSWSTEEL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at JSW Steel Limited grew +18.4 % a year. The price currently implies +55.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of JSW Steel Limited (JSWSTEEL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into JSW Steel Limited (+55.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of JSW Steel Limited (JSWSTEEL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.73 %: that much free cash flow JSW Steel Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of JSW Steel Limited (JSWSTEEL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For JSW Steel Limited it is ₹975.70 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of ₹1,276. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is JSW Steel Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, JSWSTEEL trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹1,276, fair value ₹975.70, a gap of about −24% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JSWSTEEL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹1,276); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹975.70). For JSW Steel Limited the two are ₹299.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is JSW Steel Limited worth?
The market values JSW Steel Limited at about ₹3.1T (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is ₹1,276; our models calculate a fair value of ₹975.70 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JSWSTEEL?
Our models span a range for JSW Steel Limited: cautious scenario ₹572.13, base ₹975.70, optimistic ₹1,703 per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price ₹1,276). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of JSWSTEEL?
JSW Steel Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.0 (as of Sep 18, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹975.70 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.0, P/S 1.6, EV/EBITDA 10.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of JSW Steel Limited (JSWSTEEL)?
Balance-sheet figures for JSW Steel Limited (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 27.3%, debt of 0.76 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JSWSTEEL from its 52-week high?
JSW Steel Limited trades at ₹1,276, about 4% below its 52-week high of ₹1,328 and 30% above the low of ₹978.71 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹975.70 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to JSW Steel Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, 500228, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is JSW Steel Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price ₹1,276, calculated fair value ₹975.70 (−24%), Quality Score 52/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JSWSTEEL calculated?
We run JSW Steel Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹975.70, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. JSW Steel Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of JSW Steel Limited (JSWSTEEL)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was ₹1,276. Our model-based fair value is ₹975.70, about −24% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with JSW Steel Limited right now?
The model range is unusually wide (₹572.13 to ₹1,703). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of JSW Steel Limited (JSWSTEEL) come from?
Earnings per share at JSW Steel Limited grew +17.6 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +13.9 %, EBIT margin −4.2 %, tax rate +1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +6.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of JSW Steel Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of JSW Steel Limited (JSWSTEEL)?
The market capitalisation of JSW Steel Limited is ₹3.1T (≈ $32.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of JSW Steel Limited (JSWSTEEL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of JSW Steel Limited is 1.68 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of JSW Steel Limited (JSWSTEEL)?
Earnings per share at JSW Steel Limited are ₹91.21 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of JSW Steel Limited (JSWSTEEL)?
The dividend yield of JSW Steel Limited is 0.6% (payout 7.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of JSW Steel Limited (JSWSTEEL)?
The net margin of JSW Steel Limited is 12.0% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of JSW Steel Limited (JSWSTEEL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of JSW Steel Limited is 27.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of JSW Steel Limited (JSWSTEEL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of JSW Steel Limited is 25.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of JSW Steel Limited (JSWSTEEL)?
The operating margin of JSW Steel Limited is 18.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at JSW Steel Limited (JSWSTEEL)?
Revenue at JSW Steel Limited is growing +14.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at JSW Steel Limited (JSWSTEEL)?
Earnings per share at JSW Steel Limited are growing +992% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does JSW Steel Limited (JSWSTEEL) carry?
The net debt of JSW Steel Limited is ₹583B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 25.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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