Baoshan Iron & Steel Co (600019) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 125B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price +5.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 38% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥6.06). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.73 – ¥10.32 · fair‑value band ¥6.06 – ¥10.09 · the ¥5.85 price screens below the ¥8.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co (600019) currently trades at ¥5.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.07, implying the stock looks roughly 38.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Baoshan Iron & Steel Co generated revenue of 322B CNY at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue grew 5.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.0%. Net debt stands at 33.4B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥6.06 (bear case) to ¥10.09 (bull case); at ¥5.85, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 38%, 600019 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥10.34) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.36). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells steel products in China and internationally. It operates through three segments: Steel Manufacturing, Processing and Distribution, and Others.
Full company description
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells steel products in China and internationally. It operates through three segments: Steel Manufacturing, Processing and Distribution, and Others. The company offers hot rolled steel; Al-Zn coated and BaoAM; tin plate and TFS; heavy plate; pipe and tube; and bar and wire rod, as well as picked, cold rolled, galvanized, pre-painted, electrical, and rail steel sheets. It is also involved in asset management; technology services; steel trading; and manufacturing of laser-welded panels. The company's products are used in energy vehicles, construction, transportation, power transmission and distribution, and energy efficiency improvement, as well as water, nuclear, wind, and solar energy industries. It exports its products. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Shanghai, China. Baoshan Iron & Steel Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of China Baowu Steel Group Co.,Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co reported revenue of ¥318B in FY2025 versus ¥365B in FY2021, a compound −3.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥10.3B in FY2025, compounding −18.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Steel · 381 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tata Steel Limited TTST | $0.2010 | $0.2000 | -0% |
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,227 | ₹1,140 | -7% |
| China Steel Corporation 2002A | 38.55 TWD | 8.74 TWD | -77% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 313,500 KRW | 155,270 KRW | -50% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 15,940 ARS | +17% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,028 | ₹545.12 | -47% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,844 | ₹1,098 | -40% |
| SSAB AB SSABA | kr 96.04 | kr 72.43 | -25% |
| Gerdau S.A GGBN | 83.50 MXN | 42.64 MXN | -49% |
| Ternium S.A TXR | 17,780 ARS | 27,210 ARS | +53% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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