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POSCO Holdings (005490) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · KR · Market cap 23.7T KRW

PH POSCO Holdings 005490 · KO
Price319,000 KRW
Fair Value240,001 KRW
Upside-24.8%
Quality37/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 1.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
3.03% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 27/100
Evidence: Medium Range 180,001 KRW – 300,001 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from 155,270 KRW to 240,001 KRW (+54.6%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +1.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 25% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (300,001 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

609,640 KRW 191,493 KRW Fair Value 240,001 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 191,493 KRW – 609,640 KRW · fair‑value band 180,001 KRW – 300,001 KRW · the 319,000 KRW price screens above the 240,001 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

POSCO Holdings (005490) currently trades at 319,000 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 240,001 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 24.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, POSCO Holdings generated revenue of 69.5T KRW at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue grew 2.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.1%. Net debt stands at 20.1T KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 180,001 KRW (bear case) to 300,001 KRW (bull case); at 319,000 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -25%, 005490 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 518,781 KRW 494,368 KRW 377,761 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 63,473 KRW 96,434 KRW 125,733 KRW 72
Gordon GGM 116,417 KRW 160,793 KRW 207,397 KRW 70
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 62,108 KRW 116,991 KRW 145,479 KRW 54
EPV 63,473 KRW 96,434 KRW 125,733 KRW 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 116,417 KRW 160,793 KRW 207,397 KRW 70
DDM Multi-Stage 116,417 KRW 164,001 KRW 222,725 KRW 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 137,003 KRW 182,671 KRW 228,339 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 116,453 KRW 155,270 KRW 194,088 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 116,453 KRW 155,270 KRW 194,088 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 209,875 KRW 320,936 KRW 431,997 KRW 53
EV/EBITDA 653,584 KRW 912,548 KRW 1,171,513 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 101,281 KRW 197,534 KRW 293,788 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 368,676 KRW 494,026 KRW 737,353 KRW 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 518,781 KRW 494,368 KRW 377,761 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 63,473 KRW 96,434 KRW 125,733 KRW 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 98,038 KRW 140,054 KRW 182,070 KRW 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (494,026 KRW) versus Earnings-Based (96,434 KRW). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 69.5T KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.5%
Net margin 1.2%
Return on equity 1.1%
Free cash flow −1.7T KRW FY2025
Operating margin 4.0%
More key figures
Dividend yield 2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +54.5%
Net debt 20.1T KRW FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 18
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 29
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

POSCO Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated steel producer in Korea and internationally. It operates through six segments: Steel, Trading, Construction, Logistics and Others, Green Materials and Energy, and Others.

Full company description

POSCO Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated steel producer in Korea and internationally. It operates through six segments: Steel, Trading, Construction, Logistics and Others, Green Materials and Energy, and Others. The company engages in the production, import, sale, and export of steel products, such as hot and cold rolled steel, stainless steel, plates, wire rods, and silicon steel sheets, as well as pig iron, billets, blooms, and slabs; trading of steel and raw materials, textiles, agricultural commodities, and other goods; natural resources development and power generation activities; and planning, designing, and construction of industrial plants, civil engineering projects, and commercial and residential buildings. It is also involved in the manufacture and sale of various energy-related and other industrial materials, including anode and cathode materials for rechargeable batteries; investment business; and provision of alternative environmentally-friendly energy solutions, as well as information technology and operational technology, and integrated logistics services. POSCO Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 1968 and is based in Seoul, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

POSCO Holdings reported revenue of 69.0T KRW in FY2025 versus 76.3T KRW in FY2021, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was 691B KRW in FY2025, compounding −43.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 27/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
69.0T KRW
Latest YoY
−6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.6%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+6.7%
Revenue −2.5%/yr
FY21 76.3T KRW
FY22 84.8T KRW
FY23 77.1T KRW
FY24 73.5T KRW
FY25 69.0T KRW
Net income −43.2%/yr
FY21 6.6T KRW
FY22 3.1T KRW
FY23 1.7T KRW
FY24 1.1T KRW
FY25 691B KRW

005490 screens 25% overvalued. Compare with Tata Steel Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "POSCO Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/005490

Peer Group

Steel · 381 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −25% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Revenue growth 3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.29× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 1.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.90× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 21
FUTURE 13 · sector 2
PAST 5 · sector 14
HEALTH 85 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 61 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Tata Steel Limited TTST $0.2010 $0.2000 -0%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,227 ₹1,140 -7%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.89 ¥8.07 +37%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 38.55 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,940 ARS +17%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,028 ₹545.12 -47%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,844 ₹1,098 -40%
SSAB AB SSABA kr 96.04 kr 72.43 -25%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 42.64 MXN -49%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,210 ARS +53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is POSCO Holdings (005490) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 240,001 KRW versus a price of 319,000 KRW, about −25% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 005490?
Our model-based fair value for POSCO Holdings is 240,001 KRW (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 319,000 KRW.
What is the quality score of 005490?
POSCO Holdings has a Quality Score of 37/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of POSCO Holdings (005490)?
POSCO Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 69.5T KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 005490?
The net profit margin of POSCO Holdings is about 1.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does POSCO Holdings pay a dividend?
POSCO Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.44% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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