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POSCO Holdings (005490) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what POSCO Holdings is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · KR · ISIN KR7005490008

PH Some data Sep 18, 2026

POSCO Holdings

005490 · KO

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value 240,001 KRW · Overvalued (−24%)
!Quality 45/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +3.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.2% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·3.00% dividend yield
!Trails peers (4/11)
!Narrow moat 27/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 1 out of 100
!Weak on future: 13 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

609,640 KRW 191,493 KRW Fair Value 240,001 KRW Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 191,493 KRW – 609,640 KRW · fair‑value band 180,001 KRW – 300,001 KRW · the 317,000 KRW price screens above the 240,001 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 18, 2026.

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Company profile

POSCO Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated steel producer in Korea and internationally. It operates through six segments: Steel, Trading, Construction, Logistics and Others, Green Materials and Energy, and Others.

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POSCO Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated steel producer in Korea and internationally. It operates through six segments: Steel, Trading, Construction, Logistics and Others, Green Materials and Energy, and Others. The company engages in the production, import, sale, and export of steel products, such as hot and cold rolled steel, stainless steel, plates, wire rods, and silicon steel sheets, as well as pig iron, billets, blooms, and slabs; trading of steel and raw materials, textiles, agricultural commodities, and other goods; natural resources development and power generation activities; and planning, designing, and construction of industrial plants, civil engineering projects, and commercial and residential buildings. It is also involved in the manufacture and sale of various energy-related and other industrial materials, including anode and cathode materials for rechargeable batteries; investment business; and provision of alternative environmentally-friendly energy solutions, as well as information technology and operational technology, and integrated logistics services. POSCO Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 1968 and is based in Seoul, South Korea.

Stock analysis

POSCO Holdings (005490) currently trades at 317,000 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 240,001 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 32.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 494,026 KRW per share, and 3 of the 14 models we run sit above the 317,000 KRW price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 96,434 KRW, and 11 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 180,001 KRW (bear) to 300,001 KRW (bull), the price of 317,000 KRW sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

POSCO Holdings reported revenue of 69.0T KRW in FY2025 versus 76.3T KRW in FY2021, a compound −2.5%/yr. Reported net income was 691B KRW in FY2025, compounding −43.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 24.0T KRW (≈ $16.8B) · P/S ratio 0.42 · Dividend yield 3.0% · Net margin 1.0% · Return on equity 1.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.5% · Operating margin 4.0% · Revenue (TTM) 69.5T KRW.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −24%, 005490 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 180,001 KRW Fair Value 240,001 KRW Bull 300,001 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income 518,781 KRW 494,368 KRW 377,761 KRW 76
EPV 63,473 KRW 96,434 KRW 125,733 KRW 72
ROIC Compounder 63,473 KRW 96,434 KRW 125,733 KRW 71
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 62,108 KRW 116,991 KRW 145,479 KRW 66
EPV 63,473 KRW 96,434 KRW 125,733 KRW 72
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 116,417 KRW 160,793 KRW 207,397 KRW 69
DDM Multi-Stage 116,417 KRW 164,001 KRW 222,725 KRW 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 116,453 KRW 155,270 KRW 194,088 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 116,453 KRW 155,270 KRW 194,088 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 116,453 KRW 155,270 KRW 194,088 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 135,834 KRW 222,215 KRW 308,596 KRW 64
EV/EBITDA 474,301 KRW 673,504 KRW 872,708 KRW 67
EV/Revenue 101,281 KRW 197,534 KRW 293,788 KRW 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 368,676 KRW 494,026 KRW 737,353 KRW 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 518,781 KRW 494,368 KRW 377,761 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 63,473 KRW 96,434 KRW 125,733 KRW 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 83,994 KRW 119,991 KRW 155,988 KRW 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 24
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 18
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 35
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 27/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in KRW ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in KRW: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−14.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−17.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 3%

005490 screens 32% overvalued. Compare with Nucor Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 408 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −29% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.29× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 1.6× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.90× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)1 · sector 14
FUTURE (revenue growth)13 · sector 2
PAST (return on equity)5 · sector 14
HEALTH (low debt)85 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)60 · sector 47

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nucor Corporation NUE $258.82 $116.05 −55%
ArcelorMittal S.A MT €62.86 €32.70 −48%
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD $238.23 $127.14 −47%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,268 ₹1,095 −14%
500228 500228 ₹1,268 ₹973.59 −23%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹187.29 ₹139.17 −26%
Reliance, Inc RS $394.30 $211.57 −46%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.77 ¥8.07 +40%
Jindal Steel & Power Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,118 ₹388.42 −65%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,798 ₹793.69 −56%

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POSCO Holdings · Fair Value
240,001 KRW −32%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "POSCO Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/005490

Frequently asked questions

Is POSCO Holdings (005490) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 240,001 KRW versus a price of 317,000 KRW, about −24% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 005490?
Our model-based fair value for POSCO Holdings is 240,001 KRW (as of Sep 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 317,000 KRW.
What is the quality score of 005490?
POSCO Holdings has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for POSCO Holdings (005490)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 240,001 KRW (as of Sep 18, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario 180,001 KRW, optimistic scenario 300,001 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the POSCO Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 240,001 KRW, about −24% upside versus a price of 317,000 KRW (overvalued). Cautious scenario 180,001 KRW, optimistic scenario 300,001 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of POSCO Holdings (005490)?
POSCO Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 69.5T KRW (latest available figure, as of Sep 18, 2026).
Does POSCO Holdings pay a dividend?
POSCO Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.00% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 18, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of POSCO Holdings (005490)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For POSCO Holdings it is 240,001 KRW per share (as of Sep 18, 2026), against a price of 317,000 KRW. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is POSCO Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 18, 2026, 005490 trades above its calculated fair value: price 317,000 KRW, fair value 240,001 KRW, a gap of about −24% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 005490?
No. The price is what the market pays today (317,000 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (240,001 KRW). For POSCO Holdings the two are 76,999 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is POSCO Holdings worth?
The market values POSCO Holdings at about 24.0T KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 18, 2026). Per share that is 317,000 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 240,001 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 005490?
Our models span a range for POSCO Holdings: cautious scenario 180,001 KRW, base 240,001 KRW, optimistic 300,001 KRW per share (as of Sep 18, 2026, price 317,000 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 005490?
The PEG ratio of POSCO Holdings is 0.90 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 18, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of POSCO Holdings (005490)?
Balance-sheet figures for POSCO Holdings (as of Sep 18, 2026): return on equity 1.1%, debt of 0.29 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 005490 from its 52-week high?
POSCO Holdings trades at 317,000 KRW, about 41% below its 52-week high of 539,548 KRW and 31% above the low of 242,803 KRW (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 240,001 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to POSCO Holdings?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is POSCO Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 18, 2026: price 317,000 KRW, calculated fair value 240,001 KRW (−24%), Quality Score 45/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 005490 calculated?
We run POSCO Holdings through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 240,001 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. POSCO Holdings itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of POSCO Holdings (005490)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was 317,000 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 240,001 KRW, about −24% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with POSCO Holdings right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (300,001 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of POSCO Holdings

How large is the market capitalisation of POSCO Holdings (005490)?
The market capitalisation of POSCO Holdings is 24.0T KRW (≈ $16.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of POSCO Holdings (005490)?
The price-to-sales ratio of POSCO Holdings is 0.42 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of POSCO Holdings (005490)?
The dividend yield of POSCO Holdings is 3.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of POSCO Holdings (005490)?
The net margin of POSCO Holdings is 1.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of POSCO Holdings (005490)?
The return on equity (ROE) of POSCO Holdings is 1.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of POSCO Holdings (005490)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of POSCO Holdings is 4.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of POSCO Holdings (005490)?
The operating margin of POSCO Holdings is 4.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at POSCO Holdings (005490)?
Revenue at POSCO Holdings is growing +2.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −6.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at POSCO Holdings (005490)?
Earnings per share at POSCO Holdings are growing +54.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does POSCO Holdings (005490) generate?
The free cash flow of POSCO Holdings is −1.7T KRW (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does POSCO Holdings (005490) carry?
The net debt of POSCO Holdings is 20.1T KRW (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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