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Tata Steel Limited (TTST) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · GB · Market cap $1.4T

TS Tata Steel Limited TTST · LSE
Price$0.2010
Fair Value$0.2000
Upside-0.5%
Quality61/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 4.7% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/9)
Narrow moat 39/100
Evidence: High Range $0.1500 – $0.2500 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 7, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 7, 2026, revised from $0.0100 to $0.2000 (+1,900.0%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +0.5% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from $0.1500 (bear) to $0.2500 (bull), base $0.2000. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 61/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.2403 $0.0984 Fair Value $0.2000 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0984 – $0.2403 · fair‑value band $0.1500 – $0.2500 · the $0.2010 price screens above the $0.2000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.

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Analysis

Tata Steel Limited (TTST) currently trades at $0.2010, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2000, implying the stock looks roughly 0.5% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Tata Steel Limited generated revenue of $2.3T at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue grew 12.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.2%. Net debt stands at $835B. Fundamentals as of Aug 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.1500 (bear case) to $0.2500 (bull case); at $0.2010, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 0%, TTST screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $27.13 $45.22 $72.50 80
Residual Income $12.84 $14.63 $25.51 76
Rev-Margin DCF $21.72 $38.83 $58.54 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $26.42 $46.70 $79.23 38
Owner Earnings $5.99 $14.10 $27.09 31
5Y Revenue Exit $21.72 $38.74 $60.34 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $24.95 $44.78 $67.79 41
5Y P/E Exit $15.08 $26.31 $37.90 38
10Y Revenue Exit $22.16 $38.34 $59.89 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $25.16 $42.63 $65.71 37
10Y P/E Exit $18.73 $29.51 $42.35 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $10.16 $31.70 $42.17 54
Lynch FV $6.90 $9.86 $12.82 50
PEG = 1.0 $6.90 $9.86 $12.82 46
EPV $16.37 $20.60 $24.36 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $5.98 $13.05 $21.96 70
DDM Multi-Stage $5.98 $10.09 $13.60 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $19.05 $25.40 $31.75 63
P/S Multiple $19.05 $25.40 $31.75 58
P/B Multiple $19.05 $25.40 $31.75 55
EV/EBIT $24.96 $35.81 $46.66 53
EV/EBITDA $28.07 $39.95 $51.84 54
EV/Revenue $20.62 $32.71 $44.80 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.07 $9.47 $14.14 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $27.13 $45.22 $72.50 80
Rev-Margin DCF $21.72 $38.83 $58.54 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $12.84 $14.63 $25.51 76
ROIC Compounder $16.99 $24.16 $33.53 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $16.16 $23.08 $30.01 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($38.83) versus Asset-Based ($9.47). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.3T
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.5%
Net margin 4.7%
Return on equity 11.2%
Free cash flow $205B FY2026
P/E ratio 0.1
More key figures
Operating margin 10.4%
EPS (TTM) $0.7700
EPS growth (YoY) +125%
Net debt $835B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 51
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tata Steel Limited engages in the manufacture and distribution of steel products in India and internationally. It offers reinforcement bars (rebars) and wire rods, cut-and-bend reinforcement bars, welded wire mesh, prefabricated cages (pre-cages), steel couplers and carpet reinforcement, hot-rolled, cold rolled, coated coil, tubes, rebar, metallic coated, …

Full company description

Tata Steel Limited engages in the manufacture and distribution of steel products in India and internationally. It offers reinforcement bars (rebars) and wire rods, cut-and-bend reinforcement bars, welded wire mesh, prefabricated cages (pre-cages), steel couplers and carpet reinforcement, hot-rolled, cold rolled, coated coil, tubes, rebar, metallic coated, pre-finished steels, alloy steels, and profiles and construction systems. The company also provides solutions in building envelopes, structural, fit-out, foundations, and highway engineering products, as well as operates steel service centers. It serves agricultural, automotive, construction, consumer goods, energy and power, engineering, and material handling industries. Tata Steel Limited has a strategic collaboration with Hindustan Zinc Limited to scale low-carbon zinc solutions. The company was incorporated in 1907 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Tata Steel Limited reported revenue of $2.3T in FY2026 versus $2.4T in FY2022, a compound −1.3%/yr. Reported net income was $108B in FY2026, compounding −28.0%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$2.3T
Latest YoY
+6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.3%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+13.5%
Revenue −1.3%/yr
FY22 $2.4T
FY23 $2.4T
FY24 $2.3T
FY25 $2.2T
FY26 $2.3T
Net income −28.0%/yr
FY22 $402B
FY23 $87.6B
FY24 −$44.4B
FY25 $34.2B
FY26 $108B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tata Steel Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TTST

Peer Group

Steel · 378 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.62× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 7.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 20
FUTURE 63 · sector 4
PAST 45 · sector 15
HEALTH 69 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,227 ₹1,140 -7%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.89 ¥8.07 +37%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 38.55 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 313,500 KRW 155,270 KRW -50%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,940 ARS +17%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,028 ₹545.12 -47%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,844 ₹1,098 -40%
SSAB AB SSABA kr 96.04 kr 72.43 -25%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 42.64 MXN -49%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,210 ARS +53%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tata Steel Limited (TTST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2000 versus a price of $0.2010, about −0% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of TTST?
Our model-based fair value for Tata Steel Limited is $0.2000 (as of Aug 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.2010.
What is the quality score of TTST?
Tata Steel Limited has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tata Steel Limited (TTST)?
Tata Steel Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.3T (latest available figure, as of Aug 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TTST?
The net profit margin of Tata Steel Limited is about 4.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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