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Nucor Corp (NUE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Nucor Corp is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Basic Materials · US · ISIN US6703461052

NC Nucor Corp logo Some data Sep 17, 2026

Nucor Corp

NUE · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $116.05 · Strongly overvalued (−53%)
!Quality 60/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +10.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.8% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·0.89% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
!Moderate moat 49/100
!Insider activity 48/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 18 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$274.74 $83.59 Fair Value $116.05 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $83.59 – $274.74 · fair‑value band $81.24 – $150.87 · the $248.38 price screens above the $116.05 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.

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Company profile

Nucor Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of steel and steel products. The company operates in three segments: Steel Mills, Steel Products, and Raw Materials.

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Nucor Corporation engages in the manufacture and sale of steel and steel products. The company operates in three segments: Steel Mills, Steel Products, and Raw Materials. The Steel Mills segment produces hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and galvanized sheet steel products; plate steel products; wide-flange beams, beam blanks, and H-piling and sheet piling structural steel products; and bar steel products, such as blooms, billets, concrete reinforcing and merchant bars, and engineered special bar quality products. This segment sells its products to steel service centers, fabricators, and manufacturers in the United States, Canada, and Mexico, as well as engages in the steel trading and rebar distribution businesses. The Steel Products segment offers steel joists and joist girders, steel decks, and galvanized torque tubes for use in solar arrays, hollow structural section steel tubing, electrical conduit, fabricated concrete reinforcing steel, cold finished steel, steel fasteners, steel grating and expanded metal, wire and wire mesh, metal building systems, insulated metal panels, steel racking, overhead doors, and utility towers and structures for communications and energy transmission. This segment is also involved in the piling distribution business. The Raw Materials segment produces direct reduced iron (DRI); brokers ferrous and nonferrous metals, pig iron, hot briquetted iron, and DRI; supplies ferro-alloys; processes ferrous and nonferrous scrap metal; and engages in the natural gas production and industrial gas business. This segment sells its ferrous scrap to electric arc furnace steel mills and foundries for manufacturing process; and nonferrous scrap metal to aluminum can producers, secondary aluminum smelters, steel mills and other processors, and consumers of various nonferrous metals. Nucor Corporation was founded in 1905 and is based in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Stock analysis

Nucor Corp (NUE) currently trades at $248.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $116.05, implying the stock looks roughly 114.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $130.18 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the $248.38 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $36.19, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $81.24 (bear) to $150.87 (bull), the price of $248.38 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Nucor Corp reported revenue of $32.5B in FY2025 versus $36.5B in FY2021, a compound −2.9%/yr. Reported net income was $1.7B in FY2025, compounding −28.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $57.4B · P/E ratio 24.5 · P/S ratio 1.31 · EPS (TTM) $10.14 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 5.4% · Return on equity 12.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 20.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 118% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at −53%, NUE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $81.24 Fair Value $116.05 Bull $150.87
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($5.68 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV $69.65 $84.48 $97.47 74
Residual Income $77.26 $83.36 $101.30 74
ROIC Compounder $69.65 $84.48 $105.44 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $52.07 $209.80 $285.36 62
Lynch FV $52.32 $74.74 $97.16 59
PEG = 1.0 $52.32 $74.74 $97.16 55
EPV $69.65 $84.48 $97.47 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $20.64 $42.92 $68.09 64
DDM Multi-Stage $20.64 $36.19 $45.05 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple $97.64 $130.18 $162.73 63
P/S Multiple $97.64 $130.18 $162.73 58
P/B Multiple $97.64 $130.18 $162.73 55
EV/EBIT $103.21 $144.07 $184.94 66
EV/EBITDA $116.92 $162.36 $207.79 67
EV/Revenue $86.86 $132.40 $177.93 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $45.96 $61.59 $91.93 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $77.26 $83.36 $101.30 74
ROIC Compounder $69.65 $84.48 $105.44 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $81.24 $116.05 $150.87 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 84
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 92
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.8%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+12.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.13% vs 13%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 8%

NUE screens 114% overvalued. Compare with ArcelorMittal S.A →

Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 408 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −56% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 21% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.32× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.55× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.56× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 11.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 5.21× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 16
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 2
PAST (return on equity)49 · sector 14
HEALTH (low debt)84 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)18 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
ArcelorMittal S.A MT €62.86 €32.70 −48%
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD $238.23 $127.14 −47%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,268 ₹1,095 −14%
500228 500228 ₹1,268 ₹973.59 −23%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹187.29 ₹139.17 −26%
Reliance, Inc RS $394.30 $211.57 −46%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.77 ¥8.07 +40%
POSCO Holdings PKX $59.19 $68.78 +16%
Jindal Steel & Power Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,118 ₹388.42 −65%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,798 ₹793.69 −56%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nucor Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NUE

Frequently asked questions

Is Nucor Corp (NUE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $116.05 versus a price of $248.38, about −53% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NUE?
Our model-based fair value for Nucor Corp is $116.05 (as of Sep 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $248.38.
What is the quality score of NUE?
Nucor Corp has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nucor Corp (NUE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $116.05 (as of Sep 17, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $81.24, optimistic scenario $150.87. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nucor Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $116.05, about −53% upside versus a price of $248.38 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $81.24, optimistic scenario $150.87. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nucor Corp (NUE)?
Nucor Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $34.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 17, 2026).
Does Nucor Corp pay a dividend?
Nucor Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.89% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 17, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nucor Corp (NUE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nucor Corp it is $116.05 per share (as of Sep 17, 2026), against a price of $248.38. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nucor Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 17, 2026, NUE trades above its calculated fair value: price $248.38, fair value $116.05, a gap of about −53% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NUE?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($248.38); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($116.05). For Nucor Corp the two are $132.33 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nucor Corp worth?
The market values Nucor Corp at about $57.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 17, 2026). Per share that is $248.38; our models calculate a fair value of $116.05 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NUE?
Our models span a range for Nucor Corp: cautious scenario $81.24, base $116.05, optimistic $150.87 per share (as of Sep 17, 2026, price $248.38). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NUE?
Nucor Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.5 (as of Sep 17, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $116.05 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 5.2, P/B 2.6, P/S 1.6, EV/EBITDA 11.7.
What is the PEG ratio of NUE?
The PEG ratio of Nucor Corp is 5.21 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 17, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Nucor Corp (NUE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Nucor Corp (as of Sep 17, 2026): return on equity 12.3%, debt of 0.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NUE from its 52-week high?
Nucor Corp trades at $248.38, about 6% below its 52-week high of $264.67 and 118% above the low of $113.93 (as of Sep 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $116.05 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nucor Corp?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, 500228, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nucor Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 17, 2026: price $248.38, calculated fair value $116.05 (−53%), Quality Score 60/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NUE calculated?
We run Nucor Corp through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $116.05, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Nucor Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nucor Corp (NUE)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $248.38. Our model-based fair value is $116.05, about −53% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nucor Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($150.87). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($81.24 to $150.87) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Nucor Corp (NUE) come from?
Earnings per share at Nucor Corp grew +21.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.4 %, EBIT margin +7.4 %, tax rate +1.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Nucor Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Nucor Corp (NUE)?
The market capitalisation of Nucor Corp is $57.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nucor Corp (NUE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nucor Corp is 1.31 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nucor Corp (NUE)?
Earnings per share at Nucor Corp are $10.14 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Nucor Corp (NUE)?
The dividend yield of Nucor Corp is 0.9% (payout 21.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Nucor Corp (NUE)?
The net margin of Nucor Corp is 5.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nucor Corp (NUE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nucor Corp is 12.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nucor Corp (NUE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nucor Corp is 20.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nucor Corp (NUE)?
The operating margin of Nucor Corp is 11.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nucor Corp (NUE)?
Revenue at Nucor Corp is growing +21.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Nucor Corp (NUE)?
Earnings per share at Nucor Corp are growing +382% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Nucor Corp (NUE) generate?
The free cash flow of Nucor Corp is −$188M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Nucor Corp (NUE) carry?
The net debt of Nucor Corp is $4.9B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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