AdCapital AG (ADC) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · DE · Market cap €7.0K
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −83.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.0005 – €2.90 · the €0.0005 price screens below the €0.0005 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Analysis
AdCapital AG (ADC) currently trades at €0.0005, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.0005, implying the stock looks roughly 0.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, AdCapital AG generated revenue of €158M at a net margin of -7.3%. Revenue declined 1.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -24.6%. Net debt stands at €25.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -33% fair-value upside, at 0%, ADC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€1.73) versus Growth DCF (€1.68). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
AdCapital AG, an industrial holding company, invests in electrical engineering, metal and plastics processing, machine and tool construction, and automotive sectors in Germany and internationally. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Waldbronn, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
AdCapital AG reported revenue of €159M in FY2024 versus €148M in FY2020, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was −€5.1M in FY2024.
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Peer Group
Asset Management · 706 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc BLK | $1,161 | $465.75 | -60% |
| Blackstone Inc BX | $146.41 | $52.88 | -64% |
| Investor AB INVEB | kr 417.90 | kr 835.80 | +100% |
| AB Industrivärden INDUA | kr 544.00 | kr 375.93 | -31% |
| ICICIAMC ICICIAMC | ₹3,077 | ₹1,132 | -63% |
| Hedef Holding HEDEF | 267.25 TRY | 321.44 TRY | +20% |
| Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN | ₹256.05 | ₹171.84 | -33% |
| Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG | ₹11,294 | ₹11,257 | -0% |
| HDFC Asset Management Company HDFCAMC | ₹2,490 | ₹866.78 | -65% |
| Nippon Life Asset Management Limited NAMINDIA | ₹1,182 | ₹311.00 | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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