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Alphamin Resources Corp (AFMJF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Alphamin Resources Corp $3.40, price $0.99, upside +243.5%, quality 91 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Alphamin Resources Corp
AFMJF · USStrongly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside with high Quality.
✓Fair value $3.40 · Strongly undervalued (+243.5%)
✓Quality 91/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +27.5 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 25.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!17.7% dividend yield · Pays more than it earns
✓Wide moat 88/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.2530 – $1.18 · fair‑value band $1.88 – $5.61 · the $0.9899 price screens below the $3.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Alphamin Resources Corp., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells tin concentrates. Its principal project is the Bisie tin mine located in the Democratic Republic of Congo. The company was formerly known as La Plata Gold Corporation and changed its name to Alphamin Resources Corp. in October 2008.
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Alphamin Resources Corp., together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells tin concentrates. Its principal project is the Bisie tin mine located in the Democratic Republic of Congo. The company was formerly known as La Plata Gold Corporation and changed its name to Alphamin Resources Corp. in October 2008. The company was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Grand Baie, Mauritius. Alphamin Resources Corp. is a subsidiary of Alpha Mining Ltd.
Stock analysis
Alphamin Resources Corp (AFMJF) currently trades at $0.9899, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.40, implying the stock looks roughly 70.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $5.05 per share, and 21 of the 26 models we run sit above the $0.9899 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $0.7200, and 5 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $1.88 (bear) to $5.61 (bull), the price of $0.9899 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 91/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Alphamin Resources Corp reported revenue of $632M in FY2025 versus $353M in FY2021, a compound +15.7%/yr. Reported net income was $151M in FY2025, compounding +32.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.3B · P/E ratio 6.6 · P/S ratio 1.57 · EPS (TTM) $0.1500 · Net margin 23.8% · Return on equity 48.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 36.6% · Operating margin 58.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 243%, AFMJF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.88
Fair Value $3.40
Bull $5.61
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$2.13
$3.09
$5.96
75
EPV
$1.14
$1.29
$1.42
74
Growth DCF
$2.00
$3.42
$5.67
74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$2.13
$3.09
$5.96
75
Owner Earnings
$2.00
$4.10
$7.99
70
5Y Revenue Exit
$1.09
$1.60
$2.64
69
5Y EBITDA Exit
$2.08
$3.59
$6.56
70
5Y P/E Exit
$1.74
$3.60
$6.10
66
10Y Revenue Exit
$1.43
$2.48
$2.96
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
$2.11
$4.42
$8.38
62
10Y P/E Exit
$1.88
$3.75
$6.74
59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.8000
$5.56
$7.80
61
Lynch FV
$2.87
$4.10
$5.34
59
PEG = 1.0
$2.87
$4.10
$5.34
55
EPV
$1.14
$1.29
$1.42
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.7600
$1.37
$1.89
65
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.7600
$1.25
$1.47
65
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$1.50
$1.99
$2.49
63
P/S Multiple
$0.5500
$0.7400
$0.9200
58
P/B Multiple
$0.6700
$0.8900
$1.11
55
EV/EBIT
$2.33
$3.10
$3.86
66
EV/EBITDA
$2.02
$2.68
$3.34
67
EV/Revenue
$0.5600
$0.7800
$1.00
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.1500
$0.2000
$0.3000
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$2.00
$3.42
$5.67
74
Rev-Margin DCF
$1.19
$1.83
$3.19
68
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.6000
$0.7200
$1.18
72
ROIC Compounder
$1.38
$1.88
$2.47
69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$3.53
$5.05
$6.56
65
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
91/100
Of which business quality 87 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Profitability
94
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
92
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
89
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
82
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+19.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+128.5%
’00
’02
’03
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+40.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+40.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 44%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−8.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −10.3% a year for the price.
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 61.10 SAR | 67.21 SAR | +10% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥17.08 | ¥19.15 | +12% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹588.95 | ₹647.85 | +10% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥57.18 | ¥29.56 | −48% |
| Korea Zinc Company 010130 | 1,116,000 KRW | 646,063 KRW | −42% |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 521.00 | kr 464.45 | −11% |
| Western Mining Co 601168 | ¥35.19 | ¥38.71 | +10% |
| Ivanhoe Mines Ltd IVN | C$12.06 | C$4.46 | −63% |
| Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 | ¥46.90 | ¥23.62 | −50% |
| Vedanta Limited VEDL | ₹266.35 | ₹655.92 | +146% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Alphamin Resources Corp (AFMJF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.40 versus a price of $0.9899, about +243% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AFMJF?
Our model-based fair value for Alphamin Resources Corp is $3.40 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.9899.
What is the quality score of AFMJF?
Alphamin Resources Corp has a Quality Score of 91/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alphamin Resources Corp (AFMJF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.40 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.88, optimistic scenario $5.61. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alphamin Resources Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.40, about +243% upside versus a price of $0.9899 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $1.88, optimistic scenario $5.61. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alphamin Resources Corp (AFMJF)?
Alphamin Resources Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $740M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Alphamin Resources Corp (AFMJF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Alphamin Resources Corp would have to grow free cash flow by -8.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +27.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AFMJF use?
Our models discount Alphamin Resources Corp at 11.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.94, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Alphamin Resources Corp that is -8.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Alphamin Resources Corp (AFMJF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Alphamin Resources Corp grew +27.5 % a year. The price currently implies -8.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Alphamin Resources Corp (AFMJF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Alphamin Resources Corp (-8.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Alphamin Resources Corp (AFMJF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.08 %: that much free cash flow Alphamin Resources Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Alphamin Resources Corp (AFMJF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alphamin Resources Corp it is $3.40 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.9899. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Alphamin Resources Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, AFMJF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.9899, fair value $3.40, a gap of about +243% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AFMJF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.9899); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.40). For Alphamin Resources Corp the two are $2.41 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alphamin Resources Corp worth?
The market values Alphamin Resources Corp at about $1.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.9899; our models calculate a fair value of $3.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AFMJF?
Our models span a range for Alphamin Resources Corp: cautious scenario $1.88, base $3.40, optimistic $5.61 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.9899). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is AFMJF from its 52-week high?
Alphamin Resources Corp trades at $0.9899, about 16% below its 52-week high of $1.18 and 55% above the low of $0.6371 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alphamin Resources Corp?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alphamin Resources Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.9899, calculated fair value $3.40 (+243%), Quality Score 91/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AFMJF calculated?
We run Alphamin Resources Corp through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.40, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Alphamin Resources Corp currently trades 71 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alphamin Resources Corp (AFMJF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.9899. Our model-based fair value is $3.40, about +243% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alphamin Resources Corp right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (91/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.88). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide ($1.88 to $5.61). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Key figures of Alphamin Resources Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Alphamin Resources Corp (AFMJF)?
The market capitalisation of Alphamin Resources Corp is $1.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Alphamin Resources Corp (AFMJF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Alphamin Resources Corp is 6.6. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Alphamin Resources Corp (AFMJF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alphamin Resources Corp is 1.57 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alphamin Resources Corp (AFMJF)?
Earnings per share at Alphamin Resources Corp are $0.1500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Alphamin Resources Corp (AFMJF)?
The net margin of Alphamin Resources Corp is 23.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alphamin Resources Corp (AFMJF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alphamin Resources Corp is 48.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alphamin Resources Corp (AFMJF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alphamin Resources Corp is 36.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alphamin Resources Corp (AFMJF)?
The operating margin of Alphamin Resources Corp is 58.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alphamin Resources Corp (AFMJF)?
Revenue at Alphamin Resources Corp is growing +99.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Alphamin Resources Corp (AFMJF)?
Earnings per share at Alphamin Resources Corp are growing +172% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Alphamin Resources Corp (AFMJF) hold?
Alphamin Resources Corp holds more cash than debt, $11.9M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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