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Aguia Resources Limited (AGR) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$38.1M

AR Aguia Resources Limited AGR · AU
PriceA$0.0200
Fair ValueA$0.0180
Upside-10.0%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0180 – A$0.0180

Fair value as of: Jun 26, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Jun 26, 2026 — revised from A$0.0100 to A$0.0180 (+80.0%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +5.0% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

A$0.0333 A$0.0124 Fair Value A$0.0180 Jun 2025 Jun 2026

12‑month range A$0.0124 – A$0.0333 · the A$0.0200 price screens above the A$0.0180 fair value. As of Jun 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Aguia Resources Limited (AGR) currently trades at A$0.0200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0180 — implying the stock looks roughly 10.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$494K. It earns a return on equity of -8.3%. Net debt stands at A$5.1M. Fundamentals as of Jun 26, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$494K
Revenue growth (YoY) +491%
Return on equity -8.3%
Free cash flow −A$10.3M FY2025
Operating margin -839%
Net debt A$5.1M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Aguia Resources Limited engages in the exploration and development of mineral resource projects in Brazil and Colombia. The company primarily explores for phosphate, copper, gold, zinc, and silver deposits. It holds interests in the Santa Barbara Gold project located in the northern tip of the Serranía de San Lucas; Organic Phosphate project located in Rio Grande do Sul in southernmost Brazil; El Dovio property in the western range of the Colombian Andes; copper tenements in Rio Grande do Sul; and Atocha project located in Colombia. The company was formerly known as Newport Mining Limited. Aguia Resources Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Porto Alegre, Brazil.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Aguia Resources Limited reported revenue of A$299K in FY2025 versus A$6.9K in FY2021, a compound +156.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$2.8M in FY2025.

Revenue +156.9%/yr
FY21 A$6.9K
FY22 A$155K
FY23 A$60.3K
FY24 A$9.8K
FY25 A$299K
Net income
FY21 −A$10.8M
FY22 −A$1.9M
FY23 −A$2.2M
FY24 −A$5.8M
FY25 −A$2.8M

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Frequently asked questions

Is Aguia Resources Limited (AGR) undervalued?
As of Jun 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0180 versus a price of A$0.0200 — about −10% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of AGR?
Our 21-model fair value for Aguia Resources Limited is A$0.0180 (as of Jun 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0200.
What is the quality score of AGR?
Aguia Resources Limited has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Aguia Resources Limited (AGR)?
Aguia Resources Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$494K (latest available figure, as of Jun 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AGR?
The net profit margin of Aguia Resources Limited is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.