AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft, (AGR) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · AT · Market cap €719M
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from €8.41 to €12.12 (+44.1%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −2.2% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (€6.18 to €18.05). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €9.38 – €15.41 · fair‑value band €6.18 – €18.05 · the €11.30 price screens below the €12.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft, (AGR) currently trades at €11.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €12.12, implying the stock looks roughly 7.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft, generated revenue of €3.2B at a net margin of -1.2%. Revenue declined 7.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.1%. Net debt stands at €411M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €6.18 (bear case) to €18.05 (bull case); at €11.30, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 7%, AGR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€11.52) versus Earnings-Based (€0.4000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an industrial processor of agricultural raw materials in Austria, European Union, rest of Europe, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Food and Beverage Solutions, ACS-Starch, and ACS-Sugar.
Full company description
AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an industrial processor of agricultural raw materials in Austria, European Union, rest of Europe, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Food and Beverage Solutions, ACS-Starch, and ACS-Sugar. The company provides custom-designed and -produced formulations for foods, and solutions for beverages; and manufactures formulations for the dairy, bakery, ice cream, and food service industries. This segment also manufactures formulations for the dairy, bakery, ice cream, and food service industries. In addition, the company offers food ingredients, organic food ingredients, infant formulas and baby food, cosmetic products, and pharmaceutical products, as well as products for technical applications, such as construction chemistry sector, bioplastics, textile industry, adhesives, and paper industry. Further, it engages in the processing of sugar beets and raw cane sugar, and sale of granulated sugars and sugar specialty products, as well as offers products under the Wiener Zucker brand. Additionally, the company produces fertilizers and animal feeds, bioethanol, and betaine products. AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft was founded in 1988 and is based in Vienna, Austria. AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft operates as a subsidiary of AGRANA Zucker, Stärke und Frucht Holding AG.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft, reported revenue of €3.2B in FY2026 versus €2.9B in FY2022, a compound +2.8%/yr. Reported net income was −€40.1M in FY2026.
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Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 653 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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