AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (AGR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft €12.12, price €11.40, upside +6.3%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €9.38 – €14.94 · fair‑value band €6.18 – €18.05 · the €11.40 price screens below the €12.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an industrial processor of agricultural raw materials in Austria, European Union, rest of Europe, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Food and Beverage Solutions, ACS-Starch, and ACS-Sugar.
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AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an industrial processor of agricultural raw materials in Austria, European Union, rest of Europe, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Food and Beverage Solutions, ACS-Starch, and ACS-Sugar. The company provides custom-designed and -produced formulations for foods, and solutions for beverages; and manufactures formulations for the dairy, bakery, ice cream, and food service industries. This segment also manufactures formulations for the dairy, bakery, ice cream, and food service industries. In addition, the company offers food ingredients, organic food ingredients, infant formulas and baby food, cosmetic products, and pharmaceutical products, as well as products for technical applications, such as construction chemistry sector, bioplastics, textile industry, adhesives, and paper industry. Further, it engages in the processing of sugar beets and raw cane sugar, and sale of granulated sugars and sugar specialty products, as well as offers products under the Wiener Zucker brand. Additionally, the company produces fertilizers and animal feeds, bioethanol, and betaine products. AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft was founded in 1988 and is based in Vienna, Austria. AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft operates as a subsidiary of AGRANA Zucker, Stärke und Frucht Holding AG.
Stock analysis
AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (AGR) currently trades at €11.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €12.12, implying the stock looks roughly 5.9% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €13.25 per share, and 6 of the 14 models we run sit above the €11.40 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at €9.69, and 8 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €6.18 (bear) to €18.05 (bull), the price of €11.40 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft reported revenue of €3.2B in FY2026 versus €2.9B in FY2022, a compound +2.8%/yr. Reported net income was −€40.1M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap €712M · P/S ratio 0.22 · EPS (TTM) €−0.1700 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin −1.2% · Return on equity −0.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6% · Operating margin 3.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at 6%, AGR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €6.18Fair Value €12.12Bull €18.05
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.35/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.7% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.2% (2021) → 1.5% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−2.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −4.7% a year for the price and +0.6% for the forecasts.
Compare AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 666 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score54 · Above median
Fair Value upside+9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.34× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AGR
Frequently asked questions
Is AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (AGR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €12.12 versus a price of €11.40, about +6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of AGR?
Our model-based fair value for AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft is €12.12 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €11.40.
What is the quality score of AGR?
AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (AGR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €12.12 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario €6.18, optimistic scenario €18.05. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €12.12, about +6% upside versus a price of €11.40 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €6.18, optimistic scenario €18.05. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (AGR)?
AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €3.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft pay a dividend?
AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.07% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (AGR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft would have to grow free cash flow by -2.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AGR use?
Our models discount AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft at 9.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.23, country premium for Austria. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft that is -2.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (AGR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft grew +4.9 % a year. The price currently implies -2.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (AGR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (-2.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (AGR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.87 %: that much free cash flow AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (AGR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft it is €12.12 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €11.40. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, AGR trades below its calculated fair value: price €11.40, fair value €12.12, a gap of about +6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AGR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€11.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€12.12). For AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft the two are €0.7210 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft worth?
The market values AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft at about €712M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €11.40; our models calculate a fair value of €12.12 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AGR?
Our models span a range for AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft: cautious scenario €6.18, base €12.12, optimistic €18.05 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €11.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of AGR?
The PEG ratio of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft is 0.31 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (AGR)?
Balance-sheet figures for AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −0.7%, debt of 0.34 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AGR from its 52-week high?
AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft trades at €11.40, about 7% below its 52-week high of €12.23 and 8% above the low of €10.58 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €12.12 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €11.40, calculated fair value €12.12 (+6%), Quality Score 54/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AGR calculated?
We run AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €12.12, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft currently trades 6 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (AGR)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €11.40. Our model-based fair value is €12.12, about +6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft right now?
The model range is unusually wide (€6.18 to €18.05). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Key figures of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft
How large is the market capitalisation of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (AGR)?
The market capitalisation of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft is €712M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (AGR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft is 0.22 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (AGR)?
Earnings per share at AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft are €−0.1700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (AGR)?
The dividend yield of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft is 3.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (AGR)?
The net margin of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft is −1.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (AGR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft is −0.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (AGR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (AGR)?
The operating margin of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft is 3.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (AGR)?
Revenue at AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft is growing −2.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (AGR)?
Earnings per share at AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft are growing +5.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (AGR) carry?
The net debt of AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft is €411M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 3.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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