Air China Limited (AICAF) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $11.9B
Air China Limited
AICAF · US
Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 25, 2026 — revised from $1.61 to $1.86 (+15.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −9.4% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $0.5300 – $0.9400 · fair‑value band $1.25 – $2.46 · the $0.5800 price screens below the $1.86 fair value. As of Jun 25, 2026.
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Air China Limited (AICAF) currently trades at $0.5800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.86 — implying the stock looks roughly 220.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Air China Limited generated revenue of $176B at a net margin of 1.1%. Revenue grew 11.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.0%. Net debt stands at $217B. Fundamentals as of Jun 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.25 (bear case) to $2.46 (bull case); at $0.5800, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 21% fair-value upside — at 221%, AICAF screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Air China Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides air passenger, air cargo, and airline-related services in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and internationally. It operates in Airline Operations and Other Operations segments. The company provides aircraft engineering and airport ground handling services. It is also involved in the import and export trading business; wholesale and import of aircraft parts; aircraft engine maintenance; aviation information technology consulting; and provision of cabin, airline catering, air ticketing and catering, human resources, aircraft overhaul and maintenance, and financial services. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Air China Limited reported revenue of $167B in FY2025 versus $74.5B in FY2021, a compound +22.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.7B in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
10 more Airlines stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryanair Holdings R1YA34 | R$36.60 | R$6.66 | -82% |
| Delta Air Lines, Inc DAL | $85.92 | $117.79 | +37% |
| United Airlines Holdings UAL1 | €100.00 | €85.45 | -15% |
| International Consolidated Airlines Group ICAGY | $12.28 | $21.76 | +77% |
| Southwest Airlines Co LUV | $41.40 | $12.10 | -71% |
| InterGlobe Aviation Limited INDIGO | ₹5,021 | ₹3,704 | -26% |
| Singapore Airlines Limited SINGY | $11.37 | $13.81 | +21% |
| LATAM Airlines Group LTM | $55.74 | $106.79 | +92% |
| China Southern Airlines Company 600029 | ¥5.22 | ¥3.74 | -28% |
| Deutsche Lufthansa AG 1LHA | €9.98 | €15.60 | +56% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.