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China Southern Airlines Company (600029) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 94.6B CNY

Price¥5.28
Fair Value¥3.65
Upside-30.9%
Quality87/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥1.96 – ¥6.20

Analysis

China Southern Airlines Company (600029) currently trades at ¥5.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.65 — implying the stock looks roughly 30.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 87/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

China Southern Airlines Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides airline transport services in China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Aviation Operations and Other. The company offers air passenger; freight; mail; airline catering; hotel and travel; leasing; and internet services. It also provides online services, including seat and check-in, change/refund, flight status, pre-paid luggage, transfer accommodation, and meal booking. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China. China Southern Airline…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.