Alphageo (India) Limited (ALPHAGEO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Alphageo (India) Limited stock ₹550, price ₹254, upside +116.7%, quality 61 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 8 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹167.22 – ₹487.43 · fair‑value band ₹436.86 – ₹707.35 · the ₹253.93 price screens below the ₹550.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 10, 2026.
Follow Alphageo (India) in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Alphageo (India) is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Alphageo (India) Limited engages in the provision of geophysical seismic data acquisition, processing, and interpretation services for exploration of hydrocarbons and minerals in India.
Show moreShow less
The company offers seismic data acquisition services, such as designing and preplanning of 2D, 3D, 4D, and 3C surveys; seismic data processing of data, reprocessing, special processing, including pre-stack imaging, and AVO inversion; and structural and stratigraphic interpretation, generation, evaluation and ranking of prospects, and evaluation of blocks for exploration.
It also provides consultancy on 3D, 4D, and 3C surveys; EM and GM services API; reservoir data acquisition; reservoir analysis; tape transcription and digitization of hard copies of maps, seismic sections and well logs into CGM, SEGY, and LAS formats; third party QC for acquisition and processing; topographic surveys with GPS and RTK; airborne surveys for mineral exploration; and geophysical mapping surveys through gravity and magnetic methods for identification of potential areas from mineral prognostication point of view.
The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Hyderabad, India.
Stock analysis
Alphageo (India) Limited (ALPHAGEO) currently trades at ₹253.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹550.16, implying the stock looks roughly 54% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ₹603.02 per share, and 6 of the 8 models we run sit above the ₹253.93 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹236.24, and 2 of the 8 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ₹436.86 (bear) to ₹707.35 (bull), the price of ₹253.93 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Alphageo (India) Limited reported revenue of ₹1.1B in FY2026 versus ₹1.5B in FY2022, a compound −7.7%/yr. Reported net income was −₹139M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹1.6B (≈ $17.3M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.97 · EPS (TTM) ₹−0.7000 · Dividend yield 2.0% · Net margin −0.3% · Return on equity −5.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin 20.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 30 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at 117%, ALPHAGEO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear₹436.86Fair Value ₹550.16Bull₹707.35
Price ₹253.93 · Upside +116.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.8%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.3% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.0% (2021) → −22.0% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
Compare Alphageo (India) Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 173 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+116.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−4.7% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−0.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)20.2% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)101.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)2.0% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.64× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months)1.05× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)7.8× · Cheaper than median
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Alphageo (India) Limited (ALPHAGEO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹550.16 versus a price of ₹253.93, about +117% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ALPHAGEO?
Our model-based fair value for Alphageo (India) Limited is ₹550.16 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹253.93.
What is the quality score of ALPHAGEO?
Alphageo (India) Limited has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alphageo (India) Limited (ALPHAGEO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹550.16 (as of Nov 10, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹436.86, optimistic scenario ₹707.35. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alphageo (India) Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹550.16, about +117% upside versus a price of ₹253.93 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹436.86, optimistic scenario ₹707.35. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alphageo (India) Limited (ALPHAGEO)?
Alphageo (India) Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹1.5B (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
Does Alphageo (India) Limited pay a dividend?
Alphageo (India) Limited currently shows a dividend yield of 1.97% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 10, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Alphageo (India) Limited (ALPHAGEO) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Alphageo (India) Limited pays a dividend of ₹5.00 per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.0%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 11, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2014. Free cash flow covers the dividend 6.52 times. Our assessment: Cash covered. The dividend is fully funded by free cash flow. The payout ratio on earnings is not available for this company.
What growth is priced into Alphageo (India) Limited (ALPHAGEO)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Alphageo (India) Limited would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -4.8 % per year. As of Nov 10, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ALPHAGEO use?
Our models discount Alphageo (India) Limited at 11.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.60, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Alphageo (India) Limited that is less than minus 40 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Alphageo (India) Limited (ALPHAGEO) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Alphageo (India) Limited grew -4.8 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of less than minus 40 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Alphageo (India) Limited (ALPHAGEO) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +13.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Alphageo (India) Limited (less than minus 40 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Alphageo (India) Limited (ALPHAGEO)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.83 %: that much free cash flow Alphageo (India) Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Alphageo (India) Limited (ALPHAGEO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alphageo (India) Limited it is ₹550.16 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of ₹253.93. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models in 4 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF).
Is Alphageo (India) Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, ALPHAGEO trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹253.93, fair value ₹550.16, a gap of about +117% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALPHAGEO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹253.93); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹550.16). For Alphageo (India) Limited the two are ₹296.23 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alphageo (India) Limited worth?
The market values Alphageo (India) Limited at about ₹1.6B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is ₹253.93; our models calculate a fair value of ₹550.16 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALPHAGEO?
Our models span a range for Alphageo (India) Limited: cautious scenario ₹436.86, base ₹550.16, optimistic ₹707.35 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price ₹253.93). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alphageo (India) Limited (ALPHAGEO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alphageo (India) Limited (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −5.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALPHAGEO from its 52-week high?
Alphageo (India) Limited trades at ₹253.93, about 28% below its 52-week high of ₹352.26 and 52% above the low of ₹167.22 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹550.16 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alphageo (India) Limited?
From the same area (Energy) we also value SLB N.V, Baker Hughes Company, Tenaris S.A, Halliburton Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alphageo (India) Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price ₹253.93, calculated fair value ₹550.16 (+117%), Quality Score 61/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALPHAGEO calculated?
We run Alphageo (India) Limited through 8 models from 4 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ₹550.16 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0% above its aggregate fair value. Alphageo (India) Limited currently trades 54% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alphageo (India) Limited (ALPHAGEO)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was ₹253.93. Our model-based fair value is ₹550.16, about +117% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alphageo (India) Limited right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹436.86). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Alphageo (India) Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Alphageo (India) Limited (ALPHAGEO)?
The market capitalisation of Alphageo (India) Limited is ₹1.6B (≈ $17.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alphageo (India) Limited (ALPHAGEO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alphageo (India) Limited is 0.97 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alphageo (India) Limited (ALPHAGEO)?
Earnings per share at Alphageo (India) Limited are ₹−0.7000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Alphageo (India) Limited (ALPHAGEO)?
The dividend yield of Alphageo (India) Limited is 2.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Alphageo (India) Limited (ALPHAGEO)?
The net margin of Alphageo (India) Limited is −0.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alphageo (India) Limited (ALPHAGEO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alphageo (India) Limited is −5.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alphageo (India) Limited (ALPHAGEO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alphageo (India) Limited is −2.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alphageo (India) Limited (ALPHAGEO)?
The operating margin of Alphageo (India) Limited is 20.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alphageo (India) Limited (ALPHAGEO)?
Revenue at Alphageo (India) Limited is growing +101% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Alphageo (India) Limited (ALPHAGEO)?
Earnings per share at Alphageo (India) Limited are growing +16.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Alphageo (India) Limited (ALPHAGEO) hold?
Alphageo (India) Limited holds more cash than debt, ₹1.2B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Alphageo (India) Limited in the live analysis
One click puts Alphageo (India) Limited on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Some data
Nov 10, 2026